Baron Creek

Hysteria Reigns Supreme!... Must Be Nearing the Election.

  
By:  Baron Creek  •  Nonsense and Ramblings  •  2 weeks ago  •  11 comments

Hysteria Reigns Supreme!... Must Be Nearing the Election.
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary. - H. L. Mencken

Puzzled

I am puzzled by the hysteria surrounding the "what if" of one or more of the Presidential/Vice-Presidential candidates succumbing to some illness etc. I suppose that in these unsettled times, hysteria can run rampant and there are those among us that benefit from creating hysteria.

The Presidential and Vice-Presidential candidates are on the same ticket. Voting for one, is a vote for the other. Been that way for about 216 years. The V.P. candidate was handpicked by the Presidential candidate and supported by the convention and would clearly be the person to assume the top part of the ticket… in the event of something terrible happening. That newly minted Presidential candidate would have a large say in the new V.P. candidate selection. In any case the ticket moves forward, even if one of the original parties is no longer available.  

Each party has rules for such things up until the electoral college vote in December. Afterwards the electoral votes are locked in, regardless of whether the candidate is living or dead. If the top spot is vacant on January 20th, the V.P. Elect is sworn in as president and will nominate a V.P. to be approved by the congress. I suppose both the Presidential and Vice-Presidential candidate could befall tragedy simultaneously, but at some point we have to consider the likelihood of such an occurrence, just as we would consider the likelihood of an asteroid striking earth with such force as to shove the earth out of orbit and into oblivion. Not saying neither could happen, but just relying on the Constitution as arbiter of all things prior to 1-20-21, completely overlooks state laws, which provide guidance and gives wide latitude to political parties.

Now imagine Olivia Newton-Johns "physical" changed to "hysterical". That is what runs through my mind. 

The Election

This time in 2016, saw the electoral college estimates as democrat-308; republican-180, and tossup-50. The last polling prior to the election indicated d-233; r-191; and t-114. Currently it is D-308; r-131; t-99.

When I compare current to 2016, it would seem to indicate a possibility of a Republican comeback. Looking deep into individual states indicates a much large gap in voter preference, compared to 2016. Pennsylvania, for example, had a composite this time in 2016 of d48%-r39% and was considered safe, with 13% of voters either undecided or 3rd party. Just prior to the 2016 Election, the spread was d46%-r44%, with 10% undecided or 3rd party. Currently the composite is d53.2%-r43.6%, with only 3.2% undecided or 3rd party.  The republicans won by a slim margin of 0.71%.

So, while the numbers “might” suggest a comeback is possible, Clinton had nothing but bad news during the last 3~4 weeks of the campaign in 2016, which elevated the “Never Clinton” voters. Indications are the “Never Trump” voters are being elevated.

Grocery shopping and shortages

It has become soup weather, so I am glad I stocked up back in the summer. Paper products still seem to be hit and miss. Again, I got stocked up, so if I miss getting something… no big deal.

As for the prices… most meats and poultry are showing a slight rise… although I really have not purchased anything along those lines. That is what was forecasted for September. My mind says that some of the grain-based foods are also likely to rise a bit as commodity prices are up, although none seem to be near record levels. It is just piling onto everything else.

The September CPI is not due out until next week and with it comes the C.O.L.A. adjustments. It won’t be enough to keep up with inflation, but what else is new?

Seriously!!

I read where Trump has said he is halting stimulus negotiations. If Trump lies all the time, then he must be lying about this... right? I'm not ruling anything out. 

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Baron Creek
1  author  Baron Creek    2 weeks ago

What's happening in your world?

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
1.1  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  Baron Creek @1    2 weeks ago

In my world?  No problems at all. Everything is back to normal pre-virus except for a few intelligent safeguard guidelines still being followed (and everyone is too intelligent and understanding to bitch about them).  Everything is open for business, including movie theatres, schools are running normally, very few covid cases occurring - mostly people coming from elsewhere, economy is rebounding.  So how are things in Trump country?

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
1.1.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  Buzz of the Orient @1.1    2 weeks ago
So how are things in Trump

No slaves Buzz. No being people being interned in concentration camps because of their religion. And no guilt for trying to cover up a disease that ruined millions of people lives around the globe.

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
1.1.2  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  Sean Treacy @1.1.1    2 weeks ago

Glad to hear it.  No problems at all?

 
 
 
JBB
1.1.3  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @1.1.1    2 weeks ago

It takes a lot of chutzpah to dog Buzz about supposed internment camps in China when you are all in for interning refugee children here!

256

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
1.1.4  Trout Giggles  replied to  Buzz of the Orient @1.1.2    2 weeks ago

We have problems, Buzz

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
1.1.5  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  Trout Giggles @1.1.4    2 weeks ago

Yes, T.G., I know.  One is that you probably won't find a Trump supporter who will admit it. 

 
 
 
Kavika
2  Kavika     2 weeks ago

I'm buying up all the popcorn that I can find. The next 4 weeks are gonna be fun.

 
 
 
Baron Creek
2.1  author  Baron Creek  replied to  Kavika @2    2 weeks ago

Thank goodness we record each and every show and skip through the ads. My worry is that the delayed fall viewing schedule, currently slated to open up near or just after the election, will be preempted every time an absentee ballot is counted. Thanksgiving will take on a whole new meaning this year. lol!

 
 
 
Hal A. Lujah
3  Hal A. Lujah    2 weeks ago

Another apropos quote.

On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last, and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.

H. L. Mencken

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
4  Buzz of the Orient    2 weeks ago

Why is anyone worried about a shortage of toilet paper?  It's Autumn - lots of leaves around.