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Mr. Forty Percent

  

Category:  News & Politics

By:  john-russell  •  5 years ago  •  75 comments

Mr. Forty Percent

This is a representation of Trumps approval rating over time

512

At the tail end there, on May 12,     2019, his approval rating at Gallup is 42%. As you can see it dipped from 46%  last week.

Trump's approval rating across the 2 1/3 years he has been president have been remarkably consistent, never varying from the range of 37% to 44%. A couple times he got up to 45 and once to 46. This is a weekly poll by the way.

The white horizontal line in the graph is the 40% mark. Trump's approval rating hovers around that figure every week, week in , week out.

It seems clear this figure represents Trump's "base", but the interesting thing is that he cannot add to it. Most people can't stand him. And , we should say, he can't fall below these figures either. This "40 percent" would largely die for Trump.

These figures make a poll result today even more interesting. Trump was matched against Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris and Buttigieg in a Fox News poll, and  "in none of the head-to-head match-ups listed in the poll (vs. Biden, Sanders, Harris, Warren or Buttigieg) does Trump get more than 41 percent of the vote." https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/05/17/trumps-biggest-problem-biden-women/?utm_term=.83ec66b74d0e

The WAPO writer goes on to say  "If that remains his ceiling, he’s in deep, deep trouble."

Trump needs a third party candidate to take votes from the left. He can't get to 50%, not even close. Without a third party candidate to save him, he is up the creek.



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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  author  JohnRussell    5 years ago

The majority of Americans have tired of all his buffoonery.

 
 
 
The Magic 8 Ball
Masters Quiet
1.1  The Magic 8 Ball  replied to  JohnRussell @1    5 years ago

 

hint: just like 2016 - the polls are wrong

those polls are manipulated just like fake news... take them with a grain of salt.

 

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Expert
1.1.1  MrFrost  replied to  The Magic 8 Ball @1.1    5 years ago

Polls reflect popularity, not the electorate. 

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
1.1.2  Texan1211  replied to  MrFrost @1.1.1    5 years ago
Polls reflect popularity, not the electorate.

So then polls of likely voters means nothing, right?

 
 
 
It Is ME
Masters Guide
1.1.3  It Is ME  replied to  Texan1211 @1.1.2    5 years ago

They always seem to forget to poll "Actual" voters. Wonder why ?

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Expert
1.1.4  MrFrost  replied to  Texan1211 @1.1.2    5 years ago
So then polls of likely voters means nothing, right?

In a presidential election? No, they are meaningless since the outcome is decided by the electorate. In ALL other elections, where the POPULAR vote decides the winner, yes, polls DO mean something. 

Not rocket science....it's been that way for a VERY long time. 

If you want proof? Who won the popular vote in the 2016 presidential election? Who won the electorate? Get it now? 

 
 
 
livefreeordie
Junior Silent
1.1.5  livefreeordie  replied to  MrFrost @1.1.4    5 years ago

Trump appears to be headed for a landslide electoral victory since the Democrats are divided between communists and the ever moronic socialist Biden.

thats good news for our country that we have likely 4-8 years until the fall of this nation is permanent 

 
 
 
livefreeordie
Junior Silent
1.1.6  livefreeordie  replied to  MrFrost @1.1.4    5 years ago

Considering that Democrats and the left wing media have called for his impeachment since he was elected, his numbers are great.

in fact they are little different from Hussein Obama at the same point

Obama was at 44% on 4/30/11

 
 
 
Tessylo
Professor Principal
1.1.7  Tessylo  replied to  livefreeordie @1.1.5    5 years ago

socialist, communist, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah

 
 
 
Paula Bartholomew
Professor Participates
1.1.8  Paula Bartholomew  replied to  livefreeordie @1.1.5    5 years ago

Hopefully the EC realizes their monumental f up last time and won't make the same mistake twice.

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
1.1.9  Texan1211  replied to  Paula Bartholomew @1.1.8    5 years ago
Hopefully the EC realizes their monumental f up last time and won't make the same mistake twice.

The EC voted as it always does, with just two exceptions.

The EC voted as expected according to the popular vote in each state.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2  JBB    5 years ago

No President prior to Trump has ever never garnered a 50% approval at least once...

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
2.1  Greg Jones  replied to  JBB @2    5 years ago

His approval rating is higher than Obama's was at this point in his term of presidency.

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Expert
2.1.2  MrFrost  replied to  Greg Jones @2.1    5 years ago

Yea, there are many on the right that hated seeing a black guy in charge of the country. 

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Expert
2.1.3  MrFrost  replied to  Release The Kraken @2.1.1    5 years ago

I tend to look at RCP because they are an average of all the polls. More data means more accuracy. 

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
2.2  Texan1211  replied to  JBB @2    5 years ago
No President prior to Trump has ever never garnered a 50% approval at least once...

Not a requirement. Not important.

it is nothing more than a poll.

Phffft.

 
 
 
XXJefferson51
Senior Guide
2.2.1  XXJefferson51  replied to  Texan1211 @2.2    5 years ago

Trump has exceeded 50% in the Rasmussen daily tracking poll. 

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Expert
2.2.2  MrFrost  replied to  XXJefferson51 @2.2.1    5 years ago

Trump has never been above 46%, average of ALL the polls, (including rasmussen).

 

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
2.3  Sparty On  replied to  JBB @2    5 years ago

Not a surprise.    

No president prior to Trump has received this level of hatred from the media and the left.    And largely because they are butthurt that Trump won even after most of them promised he had no pathway to do so.

I just hope enough people see thru it once again in 2020.    It would be akin to letting a child get what they want by throwing a temper tantrum ...... never a good thing.    Not good at all.

 
 
 
pat wilson
Professor Participates
2.3.1  pat wilson  replied to  Sparty On @2.3    5 years ago
No president prior to Trump has received this level of hatred from the media and the left.

No president prior to trump has been as vile and unqualified. Not a surprise.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
2.3.2  Sparty On  replied to  pat wilson @2.3.1    5 years ago

You need to bone up on your history there Pat.    Try to be unbiased if you can if you chose to do so.

I won’t hold my breath for that to happen

 
 
 
XXJefferson51
Senior Guide
2.3.3  XXJefferson51  replied to  Sparty On @2.3.2    5 years ago

Me either....

 
 
 
pat wilson
Professor Participates
2.3.4  pat wilson  replied to  Sparty On @2.3.2    5 years ago

Name me one who even comes close to being worse. You can't.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
2.3.5  Sparty On  replied to  pat wilson @2.3.4    5 years ago

The fact that you think I can’t name even one speaks to your mindset.     Either you are hopelessly saddled with partisan/emotional bias or your understanding of history is sophomoric at best.

Trump isn’t close to the bottom.    The question isn’t if I can name one.   It’s which one do I name?    Buchanan?    A Johnson?     Pierce or Harding perhaps?    I could keep going.

Based on your mindset I don’t expect you to agree but you would be wrong from a purely historical perspective.

Less emotion, more reason please.

 
 
 
pat wilson
Professor Participates
2.3.6  pat wilson  replied to  Sparty On @2.3.5    5 years ago

I'm not a student of presidential history but I have read some and yes the ones you mentioned were bad but I stand by my opinion that trump is, by far the worst.

 
 
 
Ender
Professor Principal
2.3.7  Ender  replied to  pat wilson @2.3.6    5 years ago

What makes him even worse (IMO) is all the corrupt, self serving people he surrounds himself with.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
2.3.8  Sparty On  replied to  pat wilson @2.3.6    5 years ago

I understand but like I said.   Less emotion, more reason.   Saying that Trump is worse than say a President who helped enable the Civil War, is not logical.

Its not even close .......

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
2.3.9  Ronin2  replied to  pat wilson @2.3.1    5 years ago

LBJ wasn't vile?  As for qualified- his own party hated him.  But he has that all important D behind his name right?

 
 
 
Paula Bartholomew
Professor Participates
2.4  Paula Bartholomew  replied to  JBB @2    5 years ago

No President prior to Trump has ever never garnered a 50% approval at least once

Wrong.

Obama - 69

GW Bush - 90

G.H.W. Bush - 89

Clinton - 73

Reagan - 71

Carter - 74

Ford - 70

Nixon - 64

Johnson - 79

Kennedy - 82

Eisenhower - 77

Truman - 87

Roosevelt - 83

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
2.4.1  Texan1211  replied to  Paula Bartholomew @2.4    5 years ago

I think the poster just worded it a little awkwardly.

What he is saying is that every President before Trump has had at least one 50% approval rating.

 
 
 
Paula Bartholomew
Professor Participates
2.4.2  Paula Bartholomew  replied to  Texan1211 @2.4.1    5 years ago

The "never ever" part seemed pretty clear as to the comment's intent.  But if it is indeed what you said, apologies to the poster.

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
2.4.3  Texan1211  replied to  Paula Bartholomew @2.4.2    5 years ago

It is worded awkwardly, but it does say ever never, not never ever.

 
 
 
Dean Moriarty
Professor Quiet
3  Dean Moriarty    5 years ago

Not too shabby when you compare it to congress with a 22% approval rating. 

 
 
 
Dismayed Patriot
Professor Quiet
3.1  Dismayed Patriot  replied to  Dean Moriarty @3    5 years ago
Not too shabby when you compare it to congress with a 22% approval rating. 

22% is still far better than the anemic 13% they averaged under republicans for the last 8 years they were the majority.

With a Democrat majority congress now actually doing the job of oversight their approval rating will continue to rise. They might break 50% if they have the fortitude to do what responsible patriotic Americans want them to and start impeachment hearings. Even Republicans see the hand writing on the wall. Trump has been weighed nd measured and found wanting. Republican Justin Amash joins more than 900 former federal prosecutors, from both Republican and Democratic administrations, who believe Trump’s behavior , as outlined by Mueller, would have resulted in “multiple felony charges for obstruction of justice” were he a private citizen and not the president of the United States . Conservative law professor J.W. Verret, a former member of the Trump transition team, has written how the “elaborate pattern of obstruction” uncovered by the report is, at a minimum, enough “to get the impeachment process started.”

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
3.1.1  Sparty On  replied to  Dismayed Patriot @3.1    5 years ago

Lol ..... my horrible rating is better than your horrible rating.

Classic!

 
 
 
bbl-1
Professor Quiet
5  bbl-1    5 years ago

Guess we will have to see if the "Lock her up" mode will work again.

As far as the Trump.  No Trump, ever, has had a pet.  Not in their nature.

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
5.1  Texan1211  replied to  bbl-1 @5    5 years ago
As far as the Trump. No Trump, ever, has had a pet.

OMG!!! Please, STOP THE PRESSES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This just in!!! No Trump has ever had a pet--like millions and millions of other people!

Oh, NO, Mr. Bill!!!!!!!

Helllllppppppp!

 
 
 
freepress
Freshman Silent
6  freepress    5 years ago

Trump is a New York coastal elite "billionaire", who would never have a beer with ANYONE who voted for him unless they have a membership to Mar-a-Lago or a Trump club.

Talk about a "globalist", did any Trump voter making less than a million dollars a year bother to even register the fact he nad his family are a global empire in foreign hotels, golf clubs and real estate? How about all those foreign visas and illegals that have been revealed here in America who work at Trump properties?

Now we see his base finally awaken to the reality of how the tax scam hit their taxes, how the no good horrible "tariffs" have hit manufacturing and farming, and how the plan to cut insurance plans across the board into junk plans with no pre-existing coverage and the gutting of ACA. There is no "winning" here.

Anyone who still blindly supports the level of cruelty against the American people and the total incompetence of all his appointees is delusional.

How many are now in jail, about a half dozen of his closest campaign managers, lawyers and appointees.

Not to mention the number of appointees who were so corrupt and biased they could not be confirmed, and the several appointees under investigation for blatant corruption. The investigations into Trump and his family are well founded because a clear pattern of behavior has now legally been established that he 'pals around with criminals". Birds of a feather.

 
 
 
The Magic 8 Ball
Masters Quiet
7  The Magic 8 Ball    5 years ago
Mr. Forty Percent

too funny.

only about 40 percent believe trump will NOT be re-elected in 2020

scroll to bottom page 38

enjoy :)

 
 

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