Trump’s breakthrough deal with Mexico turns into a mirage

  
Via:  tessylo  •  3 months ago  •  4 comments

Trump’s breakthrough deal with Mexico turns into a mirage

S E E D E D   C O N T E N T


Trump’s breakthrough deal with Mexico turns into a mirage


06/10/19 08:00 AM











Donald Trump made   an audacious threat   a couple of weeks ago, declaring his intention to impose harsh trade sanctions on Mexico unless our southern neighbors “substantially stopped the illegal inflow of aliens coming through its territory.” Those new taxes were scheduled to take effect today.

At least for now, that policy is on indefinite hold: the American president   announced   late Friday that his administration and Mexico “reached a signed agreement.” At first blush, this may look like a clear victory for Trump’s controversial strategy.

After all, the president took a gamble by threatening an ally and risking the health of his own country’s economy, but as a result of Trump’s tactics, the White House says Mexico is taking new steps to stem immigration, including deploying national guard troops.

Doesn’t this count as a   presidential tantrum   getting results? Do Republican loyalists   touting this   as a success story have a point? Alas, no. The   New York Times   reported   on a nagging detail: Mexico had already promised to take these actions before Trump issued his threat.


Friday’s joint declaration says Mexico agreed to the “deployment of its National Guard throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border.” But the Mexican government had already pledged to do that in March during secret talks in Miami between Kirstjen Nielsen, then the secretary of homeland security, and Olga Sanchez, the Mexican secretary of the interior, the officials said.
The centerpiece of Mr. Trump’s deal was an expansion of a program to allow asylum-seekers to remain in Mexico while their legal cases proceed. But that arrangement was reached in December in a pair of painstakingly negotiated diplomatic notes that the two countries exchanged. Ms. Nielsen announced the Migrant Protection Protocols during a hearing of the House Judiciary Committee five days before Christmas.

A   Politico   report   added, “A person familiar with the negotiations under former Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen confirmed   New York Times   reporting that much of what Mexico agreed to do this week was already on track months ago.”

Oh. So, Trump wants us to believe he extracted historic concessions through his hardball negotiating tactics, which, as it turns out, isn’t at all what happened.

In fact, by some measures, the White House’s new line is largely backwards: all the American president has to show for his efforts are a few measures that   aren’t expected   to make much of a difference, and which Mexico had already agreed to implement.

All of which suggests Trump was apparently bluffing – again – just as some of his Democratic critics   predicted .

In an apparent bid to put a positive spin on his apparent failure, the Republican took two additional steps. First, on Saturday, Trump   claimed   via Twitter that Mexico has “agreed to immediately begin buying large quantities of agricultural product” from American farmers. It sounded like a positive development, right up until observers noticed   how nonsensical   this was.

For one thing, Mexican consumers are   already buying   American agricultural products in large quantities. Second, the Mexican government doesn’t even have a mechanism in place to make such a purchase.

But even putting those details aside, the more obvious problem was that Trump pointed to a provision in the agreement that   does not exist . In fact, when asked about the American president’s boast, Mexican officials made clear they had   no idea   what he was referring to.

When that talking point collapsed, Trump returned to Twitter with   a new argument : Mexico agreed to some secret concessions, which were omitted from the formal agreement, and which the Republican intends to talk about “at the appropriate time.”

There’s nothing to suggest these secret provisions exist, and White House officials were   reluctant to explain   what he meant.

It’s tempting to think the larger dynamic has effectively reset to where things stood before the tariff ultimatum was first issued, but that’s not quite right. As of this morning, Trump has done additional harm to his credibility and weakened his administration’s negotiating posture in the eyes of the world at a delicate time.

Or put another way, the president may be in worse position now than he was when he launched this gambit in the first place.





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Tessylo
1  seeder  Tessylo    3 months ago

Donald Trump made   an audacious threat   a couple of weeks ago, declaring his intention to impose harsh trade sanctions on Mexico unless our southern neighbors “substantially stopped the illegal inflow of aliens coming through its territory.” Those new taxes were scheduled to take effect today.

At least for now, that policy is on indefinite hold: the American president   announced   late Friday that his administration and Mexico “reached a signed agreement.” At first blush, this may look like a clear victory for Trump’s controversial strategy.

After all, the president took a gamble by threatening an ally and risking the health of his own country’s economy, but as a result of Trump’s tactics, the White House says Mexico is taking new steps to stem immigration, including deploying national guard troops.

Doesn’t this count as a   presidential tantrum   getting results? Do Republican loyalists   touting this   as a success story have a point? Alas, no. The   New York Times   reported   on a nagging detail: Mexico had already promised to take these actions before Trump issued his threat.


Friday’s joint declaration says Mexico agreed to the “deployment of its National Guard throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border.” But the Mexican government had already pledged to do that in March during secret talks in Miami between Kirstjen Nielsen, then the secretary of homeland security, and Olga Sanchez, the Mexican secretary of the interior, the officials said.
The centerpiece of Mr. Trump’s deal was an expansion of a program to allow asylum-seekers to remain in Mexico while their legal cases proceed. But that arrangement was reached in December in a pair of painstakingly negotiated diplomatic notes that the two countries exchanged. Ms. Nielsen announced the Migrant Protection Protocols during a hearing of the House Judiciary Committee five days before Christmas.

Politico   report  added, “A person familiar with the negotiations under former Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen confirmed  New York Times  reporting that much of what Mexico agreed to do this week was already on track months ago.”

Oh. So, Trump wants us to believe he extracted historic concessions through his hardball negotiating tactics, which, as it turns out, isn’t at all what happened.

In fact, by some measures, the White House’s new line is largely backwards: all the American president has to show for his efforts are a few measures that  aren’t expected  to make much of a difference, and which Mexico had already agreed to implement.

All of which suggests Trump was apparently bluffing – again – just as some of his Democratic critics  predicted .

 
 
 
freepress
3  freepress    3 months ago

Not only a mirage, but a classic con man shell game, a trick of the mind that has his eager followers lapping it up.

 
 
 
Tessylo
3.1  seeder  Tessylo  replied to  freepress @3    3 months ago

So true.

 
 
 
Nerm_L
4  Nerm_L    3 months ago

A pledge is not implementation.  The surge in border jumpers shows that Mexico has not implemented what Mexico pledged to do.

Like it or not, one job of the President is to enforce agreements to ensure that the terms are implemented.  What the reporting has done is establish justification for imposing tariffs on Mexico.

While it's true that Trump treats the Presidency as some sort of quasi-reality entertainment venue, the justification for imposing tariffs on Mexico is appropriate.  The pledges made by Mexico provide the justification.  Just because Trump is a buffoon hasn't stopped the government from doing the work its supposed to do.

 
 
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