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Trump’s takeover of GOP forces many House Republicans to head for the exits

  
Via:  Nerm_L  •  5 years ago  •  17 comments


Trump’s takeover of GOP forces many House Republicans to head for the exits
Since Trump’s inauguration, a Washington Post analysis shows, nearly 40 percent of the 241 Republicans who were in office in January 2017 are gone or leaving because of election losses, retirements including former House speaker Paul D. Ryan (Wis.), and some, such as Mitchell, who are simply quitting in disgust.

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Republican Rep. Paul Mitchell’s surprise retirement began with a President Trump tweet. 

Moments after Trump’s July 14 missive telling four U.S. congresswomen of color to “go back” to their countries of origin, the congressman from Michigan phoned a fellow House GOP leader and asked him to get Trump to stop. “It’s the wrong thing for a leader to say,” he told the leader, whom he declined to name. “It’s politically damaging to the party, to the country.”

Three days later, Mitchell was awaiting a prime-time CNN appearance when he saw footage of Trump rallygoers chanting “send her back,” aimed at one of the congresswomen, Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.). Stunned, Mitchell said he scribbled question marks on a notepad to silently ask an aide: “How do I even respond to this on TV?” 

But one of the final straws was the unwillingness of people in Trump’s orbit to listen. Mitchell implored Vice President Pence, his chief of staff, Marc Short, and “any human being that has any influence in the White House” to arrange a one-on-one conversation between him and the president so he could express his concerns.

It never happened. And 10 days after the Trump tweet, Mitchell — a two-term lawmaker who thought he’d be in Congress for years to come — announced his retirement.

“We’re here for a purpose — and it’s not this petty, childish b------t,” Mitchell, 62, said in an interview in early September. Pence’s office declined to comment.

Mitchell is among a growing list of House Republicans — 18 to date — who have announced plans to resign, retire or run for another office, part of a snowballing exodus that many Republicans fear is imperiling their chances of regaining control of the House in the 2020 elections.

And the problem for the GOP is bigger than retirements. Since Trump’s inauguration, a Washington Post analysis shows, nearly 40 percent of the 241 Republicans who were in office in January 2017 are gone or leaving because of election losses, retirements including former House speaker Paul D. Ryan (Wis.), and some, such as Mitchell, who are simply quitting in disgust.

The vast turnover is a reminder of just how much Trump has remade the GOP — and of the purge of those who dare to oppose him. Former congressman Mark Sanford (R-S.C.) lost his June 2018 primary after challenging Trump; he’s now a Republican presidential candidate. Rep. Justin Amash (I-Mich.), the only Republican to accuse Trump of impeachable acts, quit the GOP in July citing the “partisan death spiral.” His political future is uncertain.

Mitchell, who hails from a Republican-leaning district that Trump won easily in 2016, simply decided he had enough. He has a 9-year-old son with a learning disability, and remaining in a highly polarized Washington just wasn’t worth the trade-off, he said.

“Did any member of this conference expect that their job would start out every morning trying to go through the list of what’s happening in tweets of the day?” Mitchell asked, referring to Trump’s Twitter habits. “We’re not moving forward right now. We are simply thrashing around.”

The retirement numbers are particularly staggering. All told, 41 House Republicans have left national politics or announced they won’t seek reelection in the nearly three years since Trump took office. That dwarfs the 25 Democrats who retired in the first four years of former president Barack Obama’s tenure — and Republicans privately predict this is only the beginning.

Most of the departing Republicans publicly cite family as the reason for leaving. But behind the scenes, Republicans say the trend highlights a greater pessimism about the direction of the party under Trump — and their ability to win back the House next year. 

The president has doubled down on an all-base strategy for his reelection campaign, making some Republicans ask whether Trump has put his own political future ahead of the long-term viability of the party of Abraham Lincoln.

“If the party doesn’t start looking like America, there will not be a party in America,” said Rep. Will Hurd (R-Tex.), the only black House Republican, who announced his retirement in August.

House Republicans knew Trump was going to be a problem in the suburbs well before they lost 29 incumbents and their majority in the 2018 elections. In a private meeting at Camp David in early 2018, then-House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) tried to explain to Trump why the suburbs were key to the GOP keeping the House. 

Publicly, Republicans rarely challenge or criticize Trump, showering him with chants of “four more years” as he spoke to the House GOP at a policy retreat in Baltimore last week.

During a fundraiser before his speech, Trump bragged that he was the reason the GOP won a North Carolina special election held days earlier, according to an individual in the room who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak freely.

The president had hosted a rally for Dan Bishop the night before the election — but Trump carried the district by 12 points in 2016, and the seat should not have been competitive.

“He has not been a net positive for suburban House Republicans, I mean, that’s a truism,” said former congressman Ryan Costello (Pa.), a moderate Republican who retired in 2018 rather than face a difficult reelection in the Philadelphia suburbs. “Down ballot, for the Republicans, you are basically judged by whatever the president does, and not by what you do.” 

Even in leadership circles, there’s an admission that Trump isn’t helping the party in the suburbs. No one, however, is willing to say it aloud.

“Unless we figure out exactly how we’re going to win back suburban voters, we’re going to be in the minority for a while,” said a GOP leadership aide who spoke on the condition of anonymity to talk frankly. 

The aide said such knowledge has been driving many of the recent retirements: “I think a lot of members are pretty nervous that Trump doesn’t win reelection. And then we’re in the minority and we have a Democrat in the White House. . . . We’re in the wilderness right now, but if you lose the White House, then that is the extreme wilderness.”

Tim Murtaugh, a spokesman for the Trump campaign, pushed back, saying, “the only people who can find fault with President Trump’s influence on the Republican Party are those who have seen their own power and control wither away.”

After the 2012 election, when Republicans failed to beat Obama, the party conducted an internal “autopsy” and determined that the GOP needed to do more to attract minorities. That plan yielded success in the House with the election of two black Republicans — Hurd and Utah’s Mia Love, Hispanics such as Carlos Curbelo of Miami, and five GOP women.

But Curbelo, who lost in the Democratic wave last year along with Love, said Trump “hijacked everything,” effectively erasing all the progress they’ve made with minorities.

“He’s turned [the GOP] into a personal vessel for his brand,” Curbelo said. “The president seems to be doubling down on an all-base strategy; perhaps that can work for him . . . but it certainly makes it very difficult for Republicans to win a majority of seats in the House.”

Hurd, a former CIA official who would have faced a difficult reelection in a Democratic-leaning district, has been increasingly vocal about the direction of the party. He told a Republican LGBTQ group in June that the GOP wasn’t expanding in some places because unnamed people weren’t following “real basic things that we should all learn when we’re in kindergarten”: “Don’t be a racist. Don’t be a misogynist, right? Don’t be a homophobe.”

“The electorate is changing . . . and if you’re not staying up to date, and if you’re not talking to people who are going to be future voters, then you’re going to have a problem at the ballot box,” Hurd said in an interview. “It’s women in the suburbs, minorities and young people — those are going to be the key groups and key voters in 2020.”

The quiet frustration with Trump extends beyond Republicans in swing districts, according to multiple GOP officials. One Republican aide close to Rep. Martha Roby, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak frankly, said the Alabamian decided to retire in part because she was tired of pretending she backed Trump.

Roby was one of the first Republicans to disavow Trump after he bragged about grabbing women by their genitals in a video that emerged days before the 2016 election.

Roby’s conservative base turned on her, however, and the next election cycle, she had to reverse course and embrace Trump to defeat a primary challenger. 

“It would not matter who is president or speaker of the House. Rep. Roby has chosen to close this chapter,” said Emily Taylor, a spokeswoman for Roby.

A former House Republican close with Rep. Susan Brooks said she also has struggled with Trump’s tone, though the Indiana Republican pushed back on the suggestion that frustration with Trump was the reason for her retirement.

Brooks, 59, who is one of 13 House GOP women and the lawmaker tasked with recruiting GOP candidates, said in a statement that she was “ready to pass the baton” and sought a more flexible schedule.

Interviews with about a half dozen of the retiring GOP members in the past two weeks found a reluctance to speak freely about Trump and his impact.

Rep. Rob Bishop (R-Utah) said Trump’s tweets are “more divisive” than he would like, but the former Natural Resources Committee chairman said he’s leaving because “this is the maximum ability I have to be helpful to the state.” Bishop is term-limited on the panel.

Rep. John Shimkus (R-Ill.), another retiring member, declined to say whether he had any problems with Trump.

“The president is the de facto head of the party by definition, but the party for me is less government, individual responsibility, lower taxes, more personal freedoms and liberties,” he said.

“People come and go. Personalities are personalities,” he added.

Mitchell has been perhaps the most forthright about his reasons for leaving. 

A pragmatic former businessman, he came to Congress in 2017 to work on health care and trade. Two years later, he blamed both parties for putting partisan sniping above solutions.

Trump’s tweet telling Omar, Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) and Ayanna S. Pressley (D-Mass.) to “fix the totally broken and crime infested places from which they came,” upset him. Three were born in the United States; Omar, a Somali refu­gee, became a U.S. citizen as a teenager.

Mitchell said he always taught his children that “you don’t stare at people that look different; you don’t assume bad things because people look different than you.” 

“The personal diminishing of someone else is destructive to a country,” he said.

As Mitchell headed home that July weekend, he asked himself: Would the divisiveness get any better? 

His decision was difficult, said an emotional Mitchell.

“Fewer than 12,500 people have ever done this. Congress has the opportunity to do incredible things for this country. I worked hard to be here. I love what it stands for. But I can’t afflict that trade-off, that sacrifice on [my son], when in fact all we’re sacrificing is just time because . . . we’re not solving the nation’s problems here,” he said. 


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Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1  seeder  Nerm_L    5 years ago

Donald Trump has been reshaping the Republican Party.  Trump has not been subservient to party politics that protects the Reagan legacy.  In fact, Trump has forced a new political ideology onto the Republican Party by attacking much of the underlying Reagan legacy.  

Trump has opened the door for political ideas that are more representative of the American cross section.  Republicans are being forced to look at what is really important to more voters.  Trump is allowing the Republican Party to become younger and more idealistic rather than being trapped by the WWII inspired political ideology of Reagan.  Today's Republican Party is much, much closer to admitting that 'greed is not good'.

As the Republican Party makes the transition to the 21st century there should be little doubt that Democrats will be more successful in winning elections.  But have little fear; Democrats will no doubt pursue another Obamacare fiasco and be swept from office.  The question is whether or not the Republican Party can transition quickly enough.

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
1.2  Trout Giggles  replied to  Nerm_L @1    5 years ago
Today's Republican Party is much, much closer to admitting that 'greed is not good'.

That's funny considering that trmp is the de facto head of the party

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1.2.1  seeder  Nerm_L  replied to  Trout Giggles @1.2    5 years ago
That's funny considering that trmp is the de facto head of the party

Yes, Trump is the de facto head of the Republican Party.  That's pretty much the point, isn't it?

Like it or not, voters really did elect Donald Trump to be the 45th President.  The voters chose Trump over the other sixteen Republican alternatives.  And the voters chose Trump over the Democratic alternative.

Much has been said about Clinton receiving more votes than Trump.  But Clinton received 48 pct of the vote; certainly not a majority of votes.  The election results really does suggest that the divisions in the country run far deeper than political ideology.  The results indicate a rejection of Reagan Republicans and Reagan Democrats.  The results indicate a desire to overturn the 'world order' that both parties have been assiduously imposing on the country for the last four decades.

The country needed Trump to turn the page.  

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
1.2.2  Trout Giggles  replied to  Nerm_L @1.2.1    5 years ago

You're contradicting yourself. trmp is about greed. But the article states that the new republican party is rejecting greed.

Which is it?

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1.2.3  seeder  Nerm_L  replied to  Trout Giggles @1.2.2    5 years ago
You're contradicting yourself. trmp is about greed. But the article states that the new republican party is rejecting greed. Which is it?

Haven't you noticed the change?  

Business Roundtable Redefines the Purpose of a Corporation to Promote ‘An Economy That Serves All Americans’

Four years ago the Republican Party would have erupted in outrage over the Business Roundtable making such statements.  And under President Obama the business community would have rejected any such statement as ludicrous.  

Is there any doubt that Republicans could drum up bipartisan support for squelching Trump's renegotiation of trade agreements?  Is there any doubt that Republicans could drum up bipartisan support for imposing limits on the President's use of tariffs?  Is there any doubt that Republicans could obtain bipartisan support for rejecting diplomatic overtures to North Korea?

Trump even got Republicans to enact a tax increase; something that would have been unheard of four years ago.

Yes, the Republican Party is gradually shifting away from the idea that 'greed is good'.  And Trump really does deserve the credit for making that shift possible.  

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
1.2.4  Trout Giggles  replied to  Nerm_L @1.2.3    5 years ago
Trump even got Republicans to enact a tax increase;

What tax increase?

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1.2.5  seeder  Nerm_L  replied to  Trout Giggles @1.2.4    5 years ago
What tax increase?

The limit on SALT deductions really is a tax increase.  While that may seem like a small deal, it's actually a huge shift away from the TEA Party nonsense of the six years before Trump's election.  In 2012, Mitch McConnell would have been apoplectic over even such a small tax increase.  Republicans would have fought the idea of any tax increase for any reason.

 
 
 
Tacos!
Professor Guide
1.2.6  Tacos!  replied to  Nerm_L @1.2.5    5 years ago
Republicans would have fought the idea of any tax increase for any reason.

I'm not sure that's true, at least it shouldn't be. One of the things they have been saying for years is that we need to lower the tax rates, but close off exclusions, deductions, loopholes, etc.

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1.2.7  seeder  Nerm_L  replied to  Tacos! @1.2.6    5 years ago
I'm not sure that's true, at least it shouldn't be. One of the things they have been saying for years is that we need to lower the tax rates, but close off exclusions, deductions, loopholes, etc.

Maybe.  But Republicans never seemed to get around to making their blather a reality.

Now Republicans have been shown that a tax increase won't be the end of the world and, as an added bonus, Democrats begin screeching about raising taxes too much.

Reagan Republicans and Reagan Democrats have been scratching each others backs for the last four decades.  Trump hasn't played by those rules.  

 
 
 
Perrie Halpern R.A.
Professor Principal
1.2.8  Perrie Halpern R.A.  replied to  Tacos! @1.2.6    5 years ago

Not sure that will ever happen. The loopholes are plentyful for the 1% and not so much for the middle class. Here is a list of the ones that the 1% use.

There are more, like Trust funds etc. Stuff the averge Joe doesn't get

 
 
 
Perrie Halpern R.A.
Professor Principal
1.2.9  Perrie Halpern R.A.  replied to  Nerm_L @1.2.5    5 years ago
The limit on SALT deductions really is a tax increase

No, it wasn't. It was designed to hurt specific states. Those who didn't vote for him. The thing is, there are some states that are right on the brink of feeling it. That will not play out well for them. 

Also this year's new brackets will hurt the middle class more. 

And let's not forget the tariffs VAT to goods. The consumer is paying for this. 

 
 
 
Sunshine
Professor Quiet
2  Sunshine    5 years ago

Be a good thing if more retired.  There should be term limits for all congressional members.  

 
 
 
lib50
Professor Silent
3  lib50    5 years ago

The day of gop reckoning is nigh, and Trump is taking them further from what a majority of Americans want.  Especially young Americans.  The desperation is already causing a shitshow.

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
3.1  Ronin2  replied to  lib50 @3    5 years ago

Heard it all before after Bush Jr. jrSmiley_80_smiley_image.gif

The Republican Party is dead. No Republican will ever hold the White House again. The Republicans are the party of the dying. Not enough old white people for the Republicans to ever hold any type of power again.  The blather went on, and on, and on.

All complete and utter bullshit. We only have a two party system. The Democrats will do some massive overreach law like the garbage PPACA; and then they will be on the receiving end of the fallout. Who is there left to vote for- a different group of Democrats that will be toting the party line; or desire to run even further left into disaster? No, they will have to vote the Republicans back in until they fuck up. The circle is never ending.

Funny how Democrats are so unwilling to discuss any of their insane exploding clown car of candidates' policies. Instead they just beat the Trump drum ever louder hoping to distract everyone from the fact their ideas will bankrupt the US forever.  Paying for all of the "free shit" will cause unbelievable pain not just to corporations and the rich- who will take their money and leave; but to the middle class and poor.

Elizabeth Warren is scared shitless of discussing the costs for her free Medicare for all BS. She cannot even admit the taxes will go up significantly for the middle class.

Light needs to be shed on how the Democratic candidates plan on paying for their insane policies. 

Of course the Democrats in Congress, and the media are desperate for any and all distractions.

 
 
 
Tacos!
Professor Guide
4  Tacos!    5 years ago

There's something to be said in favor of people who don't think they need to be in a position of power for their whole lives, no matter what. We have too many politicians who do nothing else with their lives and hang on way too long.

I think some of them have quit because they can't take the partisan gridlock and games. I get that. If it feels like you can't get anything done, after all, why stay? Honestly, though, if you get out because you don't like the president, that's kind of a weak reason. Not everything a congressman does needs to revolve around the president. He'll be gone in a few years, anyway.

If you really object to his behavior, just say so. It's perfectly ok to support a president's policy and say you think he's a pig at the same time.

 
 

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