Harris jumps to second in Iowa poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Sen. Kamala Harris' polling surge continued Tuesday, as a new poll of Iowa caucus-goers shows her in second place in the crucial early state.
Harris only trails former Vice President Joe Biden, whom she confronted in the pivotal moment of last week's first Democratic primary debate, according to the USA Today/Suffolk University poll in Iowa .
Biden has 24 percent to Harris’ 16 percent. Sen. Elizabeth Warren is in third at 13 percent, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 9 percent. South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 6 percent, and Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Cory Booker are each at 2 percent, the last candidates above that mark.
This is the second poll this week that has shown a bump for Harris. A national CNN/SRSS poll released Monday also had Harris in second place, bunched with Warren and Sanders — and trailing only Biden.
This is the first poll that Suffolk University/USA Today has released in Iowa this cycle.
However, in a CBS News/YouGov poll in the state taken before the debates, Harris was in the middle of the pack.
This newly-released USA Today/Suffolk poll is a qualifying poll for the primary debates, according to the Democratic National Committee. With two weeks to go until the July 16 deadline to meet the DNC's criteria for the second debate, later this month in Detroit, the number of qualified candidates remains at 21 — the same 20 who debated last week, plus Montana Gov. Steve Bullock. But the DNC says it will use tiebreaker procedures to keep the field at 20 candidates.
For the third debate in September, candidates much reach 2 percent in four polls released between June 28 and August 28, in addition to receiving donations from 130,000 Americans. The USA Today/Suffolk poll is the second qualifying poll for the third debate, and six candidates have now received 2 percent in both: Biden, Harris, Warren, Sanders, Klobuchar and Buttigieg. Booker may have also picked up a second qualifying poll for the September debate, receiving a rounded 2 percent in the USA Today/Suffolk poll, though the DNC has not clarified whether it will count the 1.8 percent Suffolk reported as Booker's vote share as reaching 2 percent. (Most pollsters round their results to the nearest whole percentage point, as does USA Today, the DNC-approved media sponsor for this survey.)
The Suffolk University/USA Today poll surveyed 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucus-goers from June 28-July 1. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
07/02/2019 12:19 PM EDT
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I know it's very early but I always felt that Harris would eventually be the Democratic nominee. She delivered that blow to Biden cleanly and decisively. Dems don't usually vote for who they think can win a general election. They usually vote for who they like. She is the best & the brightest on that stage.
Yep.
Doesn't say much for the party though !
I'd change that to voters in general. How many people really thought Trump would win the general election?
What surprises me is how few people vote in their local elections, which often have a greater direct impact on their lives than national elections.
Good point!
What surprises me is how few people vote in their local elections, which often have a greater direct impact on their lives than national elections.
New York City comes to mind.
Donald Trump is off topic
Forced busing must play well among Democrats.
I have a question for you.
How did you feel about bussing?
I am against forced busing.
Harris wants to impose it on the country.
Bussing was a bad idea that turned out to be a total disaster, a product of many left wing minds to try to "balance" things out, hated equally by left and right, by blacks and whites.
I agree with both of you, so why is everyone so down on Biden about this?
Because he won't man up and admit bussing was a disaster. Instead he makes the claim he is not opposed to busing.
“I did not oppose busing in America,” Biden responded.
But he did.
He keeps back peddling & apologizing. At the time Harris had no opinion:
"Harris began attending a white school in 1970 as a first-grader. Her mother would kiss her goodbye and then she would walk to the corner and get on the bus to Thousand Oaks Elementary School, Harris wrote in her 2019 memoir. “I only learned later that we were part of a national experiment in desegregation.… At the time, all I knew was that the big yellow bus was the way I got to school.”
https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-2020-kamala-harris-berkeley-busing-20190701-story.html?
But calling on Biden simply doing what the majority called for back them, scored a big win for Harris with liberals in the first debate.
It might not have been popular with those who were bused, both black & white, IMO it was always popular with rich white liberals. On debate night, it was a litmus test. The issue almost certain to be raised caught Biden totally unprepared.
I'm a little surprised Biden was so unprepared for this. It's so weak to be seemingly resigned to the fate of being beat up on racial issues by Harris simply because she's black. He could easily say to her something like, "Sorry, but you don't get to be sanctimonious on racial justice with me just because you're black. I didn't build my career by throwing people of color behind bars. That was you."
It's so weak to be seemingly resigned to the fate of being beat up on racial issues by Harris simply because she's black.
But that’s modern liberalism in a nutshell. Identity triumphs all. He can’t respond like you recommend or he’d be destroyed.
Or at least do what Mayor Pete did when hit over the head with the "racial incident" in South Bend.
RACHEL MADDOW: In the last five years, civil rights activists in our country have led a national debate over race and the criminal justice system. Your community of South Bend, Indiana, has recently been in an uproar over an officer-involved shooting. The police force in South Bend is now six percent black in a city that is 26 percent black. Why has that not improved over your two terms as mayor?
MAYOR PETE BUTTIGIEG: Because I couldn’t get it done. (then came the reasons)
In other words Buttigieg had enough sense to first own it, then try and explain it.
She definitely checks all of the boxes for the hard left physically; female and minority.
Surprised this alone didn't move her to the front of the pack; but I guess it is hard to gain traction in this area.
Where her opponents could attack her. (from the same linked artlicle).
It is still early, but if she can continue to make Joe look bad the nomination might be hers to lose.
Pulled out her race card on Biden....he should have known better.
I'm not surprised that Harris is gaining. She has a lot of power behind her to help her be smart and slick while Biden is relying on his mediocre political career and his connection to Obama and the scandals of that administration.
But, Harris still needs to be careful. When people learn that:
they might change their minds about her.
Btw.. I am not impressed by Harris since this is what really came in, in second place:
Undecided-------------------------------------------------------- 105 21.00
I think it's just way to early to get excited about anybody. How I wish things would change and campaigning could not start before 5 months prior to the election.
Neither am I. I would never vote for her. She is good at telling people what they want to hear while her eyes and body language say something totally opposite.
I have no trust for candidates who build themselves mostly on attacking other candidates instead of their own merits for the position they are running for, and their positions on serious issues that are known to be of primary importance to the American people as a whole, not just their own party.
The American flag does not recognize the difference between Republicans, Democrats or Independents, skin color, ethnic background, religion or sexual orientation, but, represents all the citizens as the whole of America.
Any candidates, on both sides, who feel they are above that are not true Americans.
JMOO
There you go Raven! Well said!
Oh for Petes sake. Trump is amassing a war chest of hundreds of millions dollars for the sole purpose of playing dirty in the election. The idea that a candidate will oppose that with sunshine and flowers and will win is a fantasy.
It's going to be a down and dirty political war. Some people will have to shield their eyes I'm afraid.
John, only because you did the same for me once....."Trump is off topic...Post # 2
Oh for Pete's sake! What has that got to do with what I said? We all know what Trump and his troops will do, that goes without saying. But, why should other candidates follow his example if they want to be taken seriously?
It has nothing to do with fantasy, only in your own dreams. It has to do with giving the American people a viable alternative.
I am disappointed that the Republicans are so far up Trumps behind that they are afraid to even have an alternative candidate run for the Oval office against Trump. Surely they are not so stupid as to think that there is no possible way they can lose the WH in the next election with just Trump running. Only idiots would be so stupid, as not all Americans are Republicans, and not all Republicans who think for themselves are gung-ho Trump supporters.
And......it will not be the first down and dirty election the American people have had to face.....and did so with eyes wide open and clarity of mind.
So your 'sky is falling' scare tactic does not actually ring true. At least not for those who don't believe in Santa Claus or the Tooth Fairy.
In a primary the way to victory is by attacking the front runner. I know some think it would be wonderful to not soil one another.
It's nothing new. Politics has always been dirty business.
Now more than ever.