Poll: Donald Trump losing ground to Joe Biden in Florida - Florida Politics
Category: News & Politics
Via: jbb • 4 years ago • 18 commentsBy: AGGancarski (Florida Politics - Campaigns Elections. Lobbying Government.)
Pollsters said Biden had "notable strength" in the Sunshine State.
By
A.G. Gancarski
on
August 12, 2020
Though the big news of the political week was Joe Biden selecting Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate, new polling says Biden was surging in Florida even before the rollout.
The Change Research/CNBC "States of Play" poll, conducted from August 7 through 9, shows Biden with a six point lead over President Donald Trump, both nationally and in Florida, at 50% to 44% in each cohort.
In a memo accompanying the results, pollsters said Biden had "notable strength" in the Sunshine State.
For Biden, that result represents a good news/bad news scenario. Biden was up nine points nationally (51% to 42%), but only three points in Florida when the poll was previously conducted in late July.
The poll focuses on battleground states, and shows a 48% to 44% lead across battleground states
The poll finds that Biden leads Trump (48% to 44%) among likely voters across the battleground states as a whole (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). Biden leads in all states but the North Carolina, where Trump is up 1 point.
Trump is underwater in the battleground states, which this survey lumps together as an aggregate, with 43% personal favorability against 53% unfavorability, with 50% of those regarding the President "very unfavorably."
The President's job approval, meanwhile, is somewhat better among battleground voters, with 46% approving of his job performance and 51% disapproving.
Biden's favorability is at 43%, but those who dislike him are entrenched in their positions, with 44% seeing the former Barack Obama Vice President very unfavorably.
President Trump'a audacious executive orders that would, at least in theory, offer expanded unemployment relief among other government benefits, have not resolved the question of whether Biden or he is best suited to drive American economic resurgence. Battleground voters are evenly split as to who would handle the job better.
The poll of 2,701 likely voters was conducted online across the battleground states, and assumes a 1.9% margin of error.
In this article:CNBC, CNBC/Change Research poll, Donald Trump, Featured Post, Joe Biden, Kamala HarrisWritten ByA.G. Gancarski
A.G. Gancarski has been a correspondent for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. In 2018, he was a finalist for an Association of Alternative Newsweeklies "best political column." He can be reached at AG@FloridaPolitics.com
Pollsters say Biden has "Notable Strength" in Florida!
most of trump's florida base are in refrigerated semi trailers now...
I wonder how many seniors have left trump because of his coronavirus fuck ups. Once those people leave him, I don't see them going back.
Trump's lousy illegal executive order defunding Social Security and Medicare has gone over like the proverbial lead balloon among Florida seniors...
Well, with senior voters everywhere. They hate it!
Unfortunately there are many 'seniors' and others that do not comprehend the long term effects of Trump's proposals.
This too. Within a matter of hours there will be another Trumpian attack on another American institution which conveniently relegates the recent attacks on other things into a recessed back burner.
But the back burner is stacked to the ceiling...
Illegal? Can you cite a legal ruling on that?
I trust seniors to not be such dumbasses to believe that a temporary break on SS taxes is going to change their lives or threaten their hard-earned SS benefits.
At least they have lived long enough to have learned not to believe such ridiculous tripe.
Why are American seniors dumping Trump?
Yeah. I wonder how many sealed indictments await the man?
I also wonder what US INTEL has been able to retrieve as to what was discussed, agreed to, asked for or promised at Helsinki? This could be a bigger story than the refiled court case in 2016 of an Epstein case originally filed in 2012. This case may be moving forward as Barr is running into more obstacles than he envisioned in his effort to 'deep six' it again.
Trump is to America what Saddam was to Iraq!
Hummm .... How fast can we commission a statue? It doesn't have to be bronze.
Could it have something to do with SS, Medicare,the Post Office and being afraid that seeing your grand kids might kill you?
It could...
why are you calling something illegal and can't back it up?
they can't stack shit that high...
Am yet unable to discern why there is 'Trump strength' anywhere except for people like my two cousins, one of which is a proud racist and the other who believes Trump was sent by god.
Trust me - I feel your pain.
The Change Research/CNBC poll is an online poll and has shown greater error than some traditional polls. It is also a 6 state poll so the Florida sample size runs around 500. Still, it is in line with other polls being conducted. See RealClearPolitics Florida.The spread today is about what the spread was this time in 2016 except in 2016 Trump had a pretty good July.
One of the polls that looks interesting is the St. Pete pol l. Pretty good size and also suggests a 6% lead for Biden with about 3% undecided - something to keep in mind.
Obama won Florida by about 1% in 2012, Trump won by about 1% in 2016.
I would expect things to tighten up from time to time.