Biden Leads Over Trump in Five Battleground States as Much as 12 Points: Poll
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Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden currently leads President Donald Trump across five key battleground states, with his largest lead being as much as 12 points, according to a new poll.
The poll, which was conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, found Biden leading Trump in Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
According to the poll, Biden's largest lead comes in Michigan, as 50 percent of respondents said they'd vote for the former vice president on the November 3 election, while 38 percent sided with Trump. In Michigan, the poll surveyed 812 likely voters in Michigan from August 16 to August 19 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.44 percentage points.
Biden also holds a 10-point lead over Trump in Wisconsin (49 to 39 percent); a nine-point lead in Arizona (47 to 38 percent); an eight-point lead in Florida (49 to 41 percent); and a seven-point lead in Pennsylvania (48 to 41 percent).
In comparison, Trump holds the advantage in North Carolina, as 46 percent said they would vote for him, while 44 percent chose Biden.
According to the poll, 856 likely voters were surveyed in Arizona, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.35 percentage points; 967 in North Carolina, with a margin of error of 3.15 percentage points; 1,280 in Florida, with a margin of error of 2.874 percentage points; 1,006 in Pennsylvania, with a margin of error of 3.09 percentage points; and 672 in Wisconsin, with a margin of error of 3.78 percentage points.
US President Donald Trump delivers remarks at the 2020 Council for National Policy Meeting at the Ritz Carlton in Pentagon City in Arlington, Virginia on August 21, 2020.Nicholas Kamm/Getty
The poll also found a Biden receiving his approval ratings across each state in his decision to choose California Senator Kamala Harris as his running mate. In Arizona, 48 percent said they approve compared to 28 percent that said they disapprove.
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In North Carolina, 43 percent said they approved and 31 percent said they disapprove; in Florida, 51 percent they approve and 25 percent said the opposite; in Pennsylvania, 49 percent approved and 27 percent said they disapprove; in Michigan, 48 percent said they approve and 26 percent said they disapprove; and in Wisconsin, 43 percent said they approve and 24 percent said the opposite.
In addition to Biden holding a lead over Trump in the five key battleground states, several recently conducted national polls show the former vice president ahead in the race.
A separate poll conducted by The Economist/YouGov found Biden leading by 10 points, as 50 percent said they would vote for him if the election were held today, compared to 40 percent that chose Trump. The Economist/YouGov surveyed 1,500 U.S. adults from August 16 to August 18 and the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
RealClearPolitics average of several nationally conducted polls shows Biden leading by 7.6 points.
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Chances are greater than 90% Trump loses Nov 3rd...
He lost PA which was his crown jewel.
Elections are funny things. The polls certainly indicate Trump will lose, but I think more in terms of the fundamental factors.
Trump has a chance for reelection if:
Other than that, it seems to me that Trump is going to be a one-term president.