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Social Security could be depleted by 2023 if Trump eliminates payroll tax, chief actuary says - Business Insider

  

Category:  News & Politics

Via:  jbb  •  4 years ago  •  14 comments

By:   Joseph Zeballos-Roig (Business Insider)

Social Security could be depleted by 2023 if Trump eliminates payroll tax, chief actuary says - Business Insider
Trump has said he would move to eliminate the payroll taxes that help fund Social Security if he were re-elected.

You can kiss your secured retirements goodbye...


S E E D E D   C O N T E N T



The Social Security trust fund would be exhausted by 2023 if payroll taxes were eliminated, the Social Security Administration's chief actuary said in a letter to four Democrats.

Trump has said he would move to eliminate the payroll taxes that help fund Social Security if he were re-elected.

The analysis is based on the assumption that no federal money would be redirected to replace the revenue, a step that's been taken in the past by Congress.

Democrats ripped into Trump's proposal on Monday.

The Social Security trust fund would be exhausted by 2023 if the payroll tax was eliminated without an alternative source of revenue to replace it, according to the Social Security Administration's chief actuary in a letter released yesterday.

Four Democratic senators — Sens. Bernie Sanders, Chuck Schumer, Ron Wyden, and Chris Van Hollen — requested the analysis after President Donald Trump said he would scrap the payroll tax if he were elected to a second term.

The 15.3% levy is evenly divided between workers and employers, and helps finance both Social Security and Medicare. It's taken out of employees' paychecks.

The president said he would make "permanent cuts" after he signed an executive order earlier this month implementing a payroll tax holiday that goes into effect on Sept. 1.

People earning below $104,000 annually don't have to pay the tax through the end of the year. The White House argued it will significantly bump workers' paychecks, but it's not likely they'll see many benefits from the order.

At another press conference, Trump doubled down on his campaign pledge.

"We will be, on the assumption I win, we are going to be terminating the payroll tax after the beginning of the new year," he said on Aug. 12. He claimed the step wouldn't affect Social Security's finances as funds could be redirected from the government's general revenue. However, that requires Congress to act.

The analysis from the Social Security Administration's chief actuary was based on the assumption no federal money would be diverted to ensure the program's financial stability. Economists say it's already on shakier ground due to the higher unemployment rates caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

Democrats tore into the president for the potential consequences of his proposal to eliminate the levy.

"Donald Trump's proposal to eliminate the payroll tax would bankrupt Social Security in just three years," Sen. Wyden said in a statement released on Monday. "While Democrats would protect Social Security for generations to come, Donald Trump would throw seniors to the wolves to give big corporations billions per year in tax breaks."

"Instead of dismantling Social Security, we must expand it so that every senior can retire with the dignity they deserve," Sen. Sanders said.

The payroll tax holiday only defers taxes owed until next year and doesn't waive them. Only Congress has the authority forgive those payments. But it's unlikely that lawmakers will move in that direction since a payroll tax cut has long sparked resistance among both Democrats and many Republicans.

A coalition of business groups, anxious of footing the bill in 2021, said they aren't implementing the order, calling it "unworkable." They also warned some employees could face up to $2,200 in tax obligations next year. Instead, most of those businesses said they'll keep setting aside and paying the tax.

"Therefore, many of our members will likely decline to implement deferral, choosing instead to continue to withhold and remit to the government the payroll taxes required by law," they said in a letter published last week.


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JBB
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JBB    4 years ago

Retirees may have to go back to work if Trump wins!

 
 
 
Account Deleted
Freshman Silent
1.1  Account Deleted  replied to  JBB @1    4 years ago
Retirees may have to go back to work if Trump wins!

Won't they feed us in the political re-education camps they are building in abandoned Wal-Mart stores?

 
 
 
Dismayed Patriot
Professor Quiet
1.1.1  Dismayed Patriot  replied to  Account Deleted @1.1    4 years ago
Won't they feed us in the political re-education camps they are building in abandoned Wal-Mart stores?

Nope, into the Soylent Green vats with you! After 60 it's your job to feed everybody else!

 
 
 
Account Deleted
Freshman Silent
1.1.2  Account Deleted  replied to  Dismayed Patriot @1.1.1    4 years ago
into the Soylent Green vats with you!

Next you're going to tell me "the State doesn't want citizens with good taste - it wants citizens who taste good "

 
 
 
Dismayed Patriot
Professor Quiet
1.1.3  Dismayed Patriot  replied to  Account Deleted @1.1.2    4 years ago
"the State doesn't want citizens with good taste - it wants citizens who taste good "

"To Serve Man"...

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
2  Sean Treacy    4 years ago

Trump can't eliminate the payroll tax. 

 was based on the assumption no federal money would be diverted to ensure the program's financial stabilit

That, of course, will never happen.

Retirees may have to go back to work if Trump wins!

Retirees will have to go back to work in a decade no matter who wins if you believe Congress won't divert money to cover shortfalls.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @2    4 years ago

Yet Trump and the gop are actively defunding and undermining Social Security and Medicare.

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
3  Greg Jones    4 years ago

"Instead of dismantling Social Security, we must expand it so that every senior can retire with the dignity they deserve," Sen. Sanders said.

The Dems want illegal aliens to receive Social Security and have the right to vote.

 
 
 
Account Deleted
Freshman Silent
3.1  Account Deleted  replied to  Greg Jones @3    4 years ago

Well, Democrats would like undocumented workers to pay into social security. It would then be fine for them to collect SS when they reach retirement age.

One of the biggest problems with SS is that it is a generational transfer of wealth. Works fine as long as there are many workers paying into the retirement of a few. The US is below the replacement birth rate - has been for several years - is expected to be below replacement for many more years.

So every year, fewer and fewer young workers paying in to SS.

So you can either have more babies or increase immigration.

 
 
 
Kavika
Professor Principal
3.1.1  Kavika   replied to  Account Deleted @3.1    4 years ago

Undocumented workers paid $13 billion into SS and $3 billion into medicare in 2016.

 
 
 
Paula Bartholomew
Professor Participates
4  Paula Bartholomew    4 years ago

Hear that [deleteds?]  Y'all ready to have your parents and grandparents move back in with you because trump wants to knee cap them?

 
 
 
Duck Hawk
Freshman Silent
5  Duck Hawk    4 years ago

I'm curious, what will happen to all the disabled people on SSDI. They cannot go back to work. Do they just go homeless and starve? Is the Republican party bringing back Reagan's policy of benign neglect? we've seen where that gets us.

 
 
 
Dismayed Patriot
Professor Quiet
5.1  Dismayed Patriot  replied to  Duck Hawk @5    4 years ago
Is the Republican party bringing back Reagan's policy of benign neglect?

I think this time around they are supporting more of a malignant neglect. A real intentional stripping of the poor and elderlies ability to survive and the problem will just work itself out...

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