Joe Biden Hammering Donald Trump in Latest Head-to-Head Poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
President Joe Biden is leading former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch and candidates backed by Trump are more likely to be opposed by Americans, according to a new poll.
A YouGov poll conducted for Yahoo News has found that Biden enjoys a six-point lead among registered voters when it comes to another head-to-head contest with Trump.
The survey found that Biden leads Trump in a potential 2024 match-up with 43 percent to the former president's 40 percent among U.S. adults but enjoyed 48 percent support among registered voters, compared to 42 percent who opted for Trump.
US President Joe Biden speaks during a signing ceremony for H.R. 5376, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on August 16, 2022. A new poll shows Biden defeating former President Donald Trump by six points in a potential 2024 rematch.MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images
The poll was conducted from September 2 to 6 among 1,643 U.S. adults. The number of registered voters polled was 1,247.
A Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted from July 28 to August 1 had found Biden beating Trump with 45 percent to 42 percent among registered voters.
In potentially good news for the president's party, the share of Democrats in the September poll who said they would definitely vote in the 2022 midterm elections was greater than the share of Republicans who said the same.
Among registered voters, 45 percent said they "definitely will vote" this year and of those, 48 percent of Democrats said they will definitely vote in 2022 compared to 45 percent of Republicans.
Americans also showed less disapproval of candidates endorsed by Biden than those endorsed by Trump. A combined 45 percent of registered voters said they would vote against a Trump-endorsed candidate, with 8 percent they "probably" would and 37 percent saying they "definitely" would.
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By contrast, 38 percent of registered voters said they would vote against a candidate endorsed by the president, with 8 percent saying they "probably" would and 30 percent responding that they "definitely" would.
Biden's approval rating has been on an upward trajectory over the past month and stood at 42.5 percent as of Wednesday, while disapproval of the job he's doing was at 53.2 percent, according to poll tracker FiveThirtyEight.
Neither Biden nor Trump have formally declared a 2024 White House run but both have indicated that they will run again. Trump remains the favorite for the GOP nomination. The only defeated president to subsequently return to the White House was Democrat Grover Cleveland in 1892.
The latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll is likely to be viewed as more good news for Democrats as the party's chances in the midterm elections appear to have improved in recent weeks.
Though polls earlier this year suggested the president's party would suffer major losses, more recent figures have suggested that Democrats could perform better than initially expected.
Democrats are slightly favored to retain control of the Senate, according to the most recent analysis by FiveThirtyEight. The GOP was favored to win the Senate in the same analysis as recently as July 25.
Republicans have remained favored to win the House of Representatives but with two months until midterms, there is still the possibility that Democrats could pull off an upset victory and keep both chambers of Congress.
That outcome appears unlikely based on the most recent polling but Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has indicated she is "absolutely" prepared to lead another Democratic majority.
Mo Joe..
A loss of support should change that. (One would normally expect.)
Trump is last weeks news. His legal woes have mounted to a point where it's going to be harder and harder to support him. Only the most treasonous and unamerican will continue to help him.
“Only the most treasonous and unamerican will continue to help him.”
So easy to see. But just wait for those dancers so eager to disparage a poll when the results are contradictory to the agenda.
I'm not a Republican. I voted for Bernie every chance I had but I also voted for Hillary more than once in my life (I'm from New York). I provide this context because I am still unfamiliar to most.
When it comes to Biden vs. Whomever there is a lot of risk between now and 2024. Why did America vote for Biden? We wanted a way out of Covid and a return to normalcy. Covid wriggled away from us (400 to 500 Americns are still dying each day from it). And the economy? Christ, it's a mess. Inflation is high and there are labor market imbalances and it might take a brief recession to get the economic bones realigned.
And then there is and endless supply of racists in the electorate. I don't know if our elections reflect who we really are considering how many people simply don't vote, but our electorate sure is an ugly beast.
Biden's advisers seem to buy into the theory that people don't for somebody but rather against the other guy.
If that other guy isn't Trump then there might be a problem for the Democrats in 2024.
Not for you all on the left. You all still haven't moved on from the "big lie" of 2016. 7 years later and you are STILL trying to prove some kind of wrong doing. It took less time to investigate and identify key players in 9/11.
Yeah, the guy with a 39% approval rating is winning.
Not!
I note you jumped on one of the weaker pollsters. Reuters-Ipsos is a B- rating pollster and the poll in question surveyed 'adults', not the far more accurate 'likely voters' widely used by Rasmussen which has Biden at 45%.
FiveThirtyEight has him at 44% of likely voters, still underwater but better.
Have you noticed the new adjective being used to describe Rasmussen?
What a difference a favorable Poll makes!
Liberals always refer to Rasmussen as an outlier and a far right pollster.
Why the change of heart?
That is easy. It is the same reason why MAGA conservatives turned on Liz Cheney. If one agrees one is (temporarily) a friend; if not, a foe. Basic unsophisticated partisanship.
There was none on my part. If I have any criticism of Rasmussen it is with their numbers this 'far' out, they have a long standing history of being an outlier until the final weeks. Post numbers from FOX with their A rating and I will not argue with them.
I did not use an adjective to describe Rasmussen, merely the method they use. Election polls come out in 3 basic forms: Adults, Registered Voters and Likely Voters. Historically polls of Likely Voters are considered to be the more accurate of the 3 and especially so in the waning weeks.
"What a difference a favorable Poll makes!"
What a difference thinking on your part might make!
I called it, didn't I?
Stop tilting at windmills.
I picked the second poll that came up in a google search. The one right below the 538 poll.
”Biden approval polls”
Google must be asleep at the switch to allow that poll to remain on the first page of that search .....
It's part of the mellowing procession unto the grave, and honestly ... a lot of fun.
Lol ..... if you say so ....
Here comes a true story about a vigilante and a shotgun.
Black people defend themselves all the time. They don't call the cops. The cops aren't around to protect black people. The cops are there to protect white people. That's the way is is. It's been that way for so long that it's ingrained in black culture.
You've obviously missed the boat. You, and many of the blissful, should search - shotgun fetterman - maybe even throw in - racist - and form your own opinions.
The trust fund baby, Uncle Fester wannabe, is now black? You sure about that? That is the only way what you wrote makes any damn sense.
The all powerful D behind Fetterman's name saved him. Seems Democrats don't give a shit about racists in their own party. "Heard gun shots. Quick chase down the nearest black male in my pickup and hold him hostage at gun point until authorities arrive". Fetter broke the law. There is no damn "may have" about it. You are correct about one thing. His victim didn't file charges because he knew a white male Democrat is above the law.
Shotgun, Fetterman - an easily weaponized issue.
Shotgun fetterman ..... shotgun joe ..... coincidence?
I think not .....
Yuck. I hope neither one of them runs again. I didn’t like this choice in 2020, and I like it even less now. Please, someone else - someone with sharp mental faculties and pulse - run for this office.
The younger versions will run. Newsom vs DeSantis will make it easy on all of us.
Here are some interesting polls:
"Georgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker and incumbent GOP Gov. Brian Kemp are both widening their leads over their Democratic opponents, according to a poll."
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/polling/georgia-republicans-walker-kemp-widen-lead-over-democratic-opponents-poll?utm_source=sf&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=twjs
Well .... that poll must be wrong and worthless.
It just can’t be accurate .......
Can you imagine if it were a Rasmussen Poll?