U.S. Trade Deficit Hit Record in 2022 - WSJ
Category: News & Politics
Via: vic-eldred • 2 years ago • 33 commentsBy: Harriet Torry and Jason Douglas (WSJ)
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
U.S. imports rose in December as demand for consumer goods and autos picked up, partially offsetting a weakening in global trade late last year and widening the U.S. trade deficit by 10.5%.
The trade deficit in goods and services was a seasonally adjusted $67.4 billion in December, the Commerce Department said Tuesday, up from a revised $61 billion November.
The U.S. trade deficit for all of 2022 rose 12.2% to $948.1 billion, the widest gap on record, as the U.S. continued to depend heavily on imports from other countries to meet domestic demand. Exports also rose last year as global demand for U.S.-made products picked up. A U.S. dollar rally last year drove up the cost of U.S. goods and helped widen the annual deficit.
U.S. imports rose 1.3% in December from November and exports decreased 0.9% during the same period. Overall imports of goods and services fell in the final two quarters of the year, the department said, closing out a year in which high inflation, the Ukraine war and supply imbalances weighed on global demand.
Demand for exported goods like industrial supplies and consumer goods made by the world’s largest economy waned in December, and Americans bought more foreign-made products such as cellphones and vehicles. The trade figures aren’t adjusted for inflation.
International commerce weakened across the globe at the end of the year. In China, an export boom that propelled the world’s second-largest economy through much of the pandemic has sputtered as inflation and rising interest rates squeeze spending in the U.S. and Europe.
China’s exports to the rest of the world fell 9.9% in December compared with a year earlier, a steeper decline than the 8.7% drop recorded in November, according to Chinese customs data, reversing a long spell of surging exports as Western consumers snapped up electronics and other consumer goods while working from home during the pandemic.
In Europe, trade fell sharply at the end of 2022, reflecting weakening domestic and overseas demand. German imports of goods dropped 6.1% in December from the prior month, while exports fell by 6.3%. In France, imports were 1.9% lower in the fourth quarter compared with the third, while exports were down 0.3%.
Trade trends reflect a normalization of commerce as the impact of the pandemic fades, Gregory Daco, chief economist, Ernst & Young LLP, said. “Both supply and demand are rebalancing after a massive shock,” he said.
Global demand for U.S. exports has eased, he said, adding imports are likely to come “under increased pressure in an environment where consumer spending and business investment growth are moderating,” he added.
Recent U.S. economic figures have been mixed as the Federal Reserve continues raising interest rates to cool the economy and bring down inflation. Consumer spending weakened late last year and manufacturing activity declined . But job growth accelerated in January and the economy grew at a solid 2.9% annual rate last quarter.
The economic outlook has improved recently in other parts of the world. China eased Covid-19 restrictions and largely reopened its economy. And Europe showed signs of stabilizing after the easing energy shortage threats related to the Ukraine war. The global economy is expected to grow this year at a faster pace than previously expected, the International Monetary Fund said last week.
Chinese exports for 2022 were 7% higher than a year earlier, at $3.6 trillion, though that marked a slowdown from a double-digit percentage gain in 2021. That has reinforced concerns that China will no longer be able to count on robust trade to power its growth in 2023.
Fading Western demand and China’s zero-tolerance approach to Covid-19 outbreaks through last year took their toll on overseas sales by other Asian export powerhouses last year, too. South Korea’s exports in December were 9.6% lower than a year earlier, while exports from Taiwan were down 3%, according to data provider CEIC.
Japan’s exports in December grew 11.5%, aided by a steep fall in the yen against the dollar and other major currencies. Still, that was slower than the near-20% annual growth recorded in November, and sharply below annual growth of close to 30% recorded in September.
Exports of U.S. liquefied natural gas boomed after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to sanctions on its energy products. Americans flocked to Europe as international travel reopened, taking advantage of a strong dollar.
Growth in U.S. imports slowed last year compared with 2021 as consumers spent less on goods such as home-fitness equipment and furniture and shifted spending to services. Spending on services rose 4.5% last year, while spending on goods declined 0.4%, according to the Commerce Department.
Households spent down savings that were built up earlier in the pandemic. Borrowing costs rose rapidly as interest rates climbed.
Global shipping demand has slowed since November after retailers amassed excess inventory, said Anthony Fullbrook, the U.S. head of Taiwanese cargo and freight company OEC Group.
“We’re still dealing with oversupply, over-inventory from Covid,” he said. Mr. Fulbrook said the sharp slowdown in the U.S. housing market has reduced demand for shipments of furniture, kitchenware and lighting. “Globally, everyone is suffering from excess supply,” he said.
A wider trade deficit is consistent with a U.S. economy growing faster than other parts of the world, as people with higher incomes in the U.S. buy more imported goods.
“The U.S. consumer has a very steady pulse, they’re looking healthy,” Visa Inc. Chief Financial Officer Vasant Prabhu said. “Under the surface there have been changes, shifts from buying products to services and from buying things to doing things,” he said.
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I wonder if this gets mentioned at tonight's State of the Union address?
We did it to ourselves
you did it to yourself by voting for trump twice.
That makes no sense, but it wasn't intented to, was it?
You got it.
I can only shake my head. The article talks about how the rest of the world is doing about the same as we are and republicans only see from a limited perspective.
he article talks about how the rest of the world is doing about the same
How can every country be running record trade deficits? Its a zero sum game.
Did you read the article? It talks about China, Taiwan and South Korea all being down in exports.
Talks about Germany and Europe.
Like I said, can only see from a limited perspective.
You tell me if you know.
It also lists their imports are down so it makes sense that we would be exporting less if these other countries are having a hard time and not importing as much.
It talks about an imbalance that is trying to work itself out after a global pandemic.
Maybe the republicans can enact more tariffs and make things cost more...
“I haven't a clue about…”
….pick the topic…so tired of the ‘but trump’ idiocy. Some folks use him as a defensive crutch in lieu of offering anything of substance in healing or moving forward.
It's pretty common among those suffering from TDS.
Speaking of common ailments entrapped by common diagnoses ... 'common sense' falls prey to its own sword.
Spare us all by coming up with something new Jeremy.
A few years? Your being generous aren't you? I'm seeing decades.
I don't blame either of them, the blame game is a partisan infatuation that in America has become a traditional pastime wherein the 'best' cherry picker according to his/her followers 'wins'.
Oh goody, Nostradamus finally has a second coming.
I read all of the posts and took a shot at both sides ... yes-yes, I know that is a no-no.
K level's understand me, should I try for a younger crowd?
Alas my equals are nesting 'neath the Elysium at the Asylum of Charenton ... seems they one and all came down with the Danbury shakes.
So, the United States can't compete in capitalist trade? Yet we're supposed to believe that, somehow, this is an endorsement for the neoliberal rule-based international order.
China is the largest exporter in the world, and the US is second worldwide in exports.
The US is the largest importer in the world and China is the second in worldwide imports.
There are two ways to reverse this and that is purchasing less from other countries or exporting more from the US to other countries.
US exports topped two trillion for the first time in history led by exports of fossil fuels.
As the second-largest exporter in the world—outranked only by China—total U.S. exports for 2022 could top $2 trillion for the first time, according to Census Bureau data . (Final totals will be released in February.) According to the data available so far this year, through October, the following are the United States’ top exports :
China is our third-largest export market.