Ron DeSantis gaining on Trump in Iowa, in virtual tie, internal poll shows
Category: News & Politics
Via: vic-eldred • last year • 74 commentsBy: Samuel Chamberlain (New York Post)
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is closing the gap on former President Donald Trump in the early nominating state of Iowa, according to an internal poll out this week.
The survey by WPA Intelligence for the DeSantis-supporting Never Back Down super PAC showed the 44-year-old governor in a virtual tie with the 76-year-old Trump in a head-to-head contest.
Trump had 45% support, while DeSantis had 43% support and 12% were undecided.
An early May head-to-head poll, taken before the Florida governor formally entered the race, showed Trump with 53% support, DeSantis on 39% and 8% undecided.
DeSantis also made up ground on Trump in an Iowa survey that incorporated the full field.
In that poll, Trump had 39% support, DeSantis had 29%, Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) had 7%, and former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley had 6% support.
Former Vice President Mike Pence and tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy each had 4% support, while none of the other contenders cracked 1%.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is closing the gap on former President Donald Trump in the early nominating state of Iowa.AP
In early May, the same survey found Trump had 48% support, DeSantis had 24% and Haley had 10% support, with no other candidate topping double figures.
"The Republican presidential caucus is a two-person race between Governor Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump," wrote WPA CEO Chris Wilson and managing director Conor Maguire, both advisers to Never Back Down.
"Despite heavy media attacks against Governor DeSantis, along with some rallying to Donald Trump following the New York indictment, DeSantis' ballot share has grown in the past month while no other candidate exceeds single digits."
The survey by WPA Intelligence for the DeSantis-supporting Never Back Down super PAC showed DeSantis in a virtual tie with Trump in a head-to-head contest as Trump had 45% support and DeSantis with 43% support.AP
The poll also found that three-quarters of likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers had a favorable view of DeSantis, while just 17% had an unfavorable view.
The governor had his highest favorability among men (80%) and women (79%) who held at least a college degree, while his favorability scores among Iowans without college degrees stood at 69%.
The survey also showed DeSantis edging Trump 46% to 45% among self-described Christian conservatives, who Wilson and Maguire said make up nearly half the Iowa Republican electorate.
The poll was released after DeSantis and his wife Casey kicked off his campaign last week with a whirlwind tour of Iowa and the early primary states of New Hampshire and South Carolina.
Trump also visited Iowa last week, holding a town hall with Fox News host Sean Hannity.
Trump still holds a sizable lead over DeSantis in public polling of the Hawkeye State.
The RealClearPolitics polling average in Iowa shows the former president on 47.7%, DeSantis at 25.3%, Haley on 5.3%, Pence on 3.7% and Ramaswamy rounding out the top five at 2.3%.
The 45th president's lead over his competitors is even wider among national Republican voters.
The RealClearPolitics average shows Trump on 53.2%, DeSantis on 22.4%, Haley on 4.4%, Pence on 3.8%, and Ramaswamy again in fifth averaging 2.6% support.
WPA Intelligence surveyed 655 likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers May 30 and June 1.
The poll's margin of error was plus-or-minus 3.8 percentage points.
Tags
Who is online
520 visitors
Oh well, this is what many on the radical left feared.
Why do you call them the 'radical left'? The D party in general would prefer to run against Trump, not just the 'radical' elements. And certainly you understand that not all Ds are 'leftists'.
one notch left of center is considered radical left by the radical right.
“The grift from this family is breathtaking,” Chris Christie said at a New Hampshire town hall. “It’s breathtaking. Jared Kushner and Ivanka Kushner walk out of the White House, and months later get $2 billion from the Saudis.”
Christie is a great debater, but he can't seem to control who benefits from his skills. In 2016 he took down Marco Rubio and it benefited Trump. Now he starts in on the Trump family. Where will that lead?
...court, prison.
For whom?
Trump's going to get a cell mate?
probably not a family member, but hopefully a hardened convict that can fully appreciate a cellmate that can't keep his mouth shut...
I doubt that the Secret Service would allow that.
bad laws get amended all the time...
What law are you talking about?
lifetime secret service protection, for a convicted and federally incarcerated felon. redundant.
Exactly, prisoners are never harmed while in federal prison.
in that particular case, who cares?
Being unable to keep your mouth shut is definitely an attractive quality in most prisons. Hopefully he will bring his own kneepads.
Those responsible to uphold the Former Presidential Protection Act.
Is that a homophobic comment?
Please post the definition for "homophobic" then look at my comment again.
Yes. Or advice based on personal expierence
Perhaps Heterosexism is more to the point. Is your belief that being heterosexual is the only "right" or "natural" way to be so you slur homosexual acts?
Please post the definition for "Heterosexism" then look at my comment again.
Maybe the comment caused excitement when the reader looked at the possibilities.
Ain't over till the fat lady sings.
I think Trump is going to get hit from all sides in the coming months. Some like Christie will attack head on. DeSantis will be more subtle and subdued with his responses and retorts to Trump's childish rants. As time goes by I think a growing number of election deniers will come to realize that Trump doesn't have a clue or a plan.
It's about winning my friend. If Trump is going to bring out every hate-filled moron on the left, we have to go with someone else. We are lucky to have a much younger and more effective model in the wings.
DeSantis will never be president. Abortion by itself will sink him.
Of course there are many other reasons as well.
You consider those who would vote against Trump to be "hate-filled moron"s?
Well, here I am a hate-filled moron because I won't be voting for trmp.
Thanks, Vic for telling me what I am. It's always good to get the best information to start the day
Same here. I find it unpatriotic, irrational and irresponsible to vote for Trump. I could, however, make a case that many who would vote 'for' Trump for PotUS could be described as "hate-filled morons".
always consider the source. it's best not to pay much heed to extremists and fanatics.
You could, but you won't because you are a decent human being
Oh I just might.
I want him to come right out and call me a hate-filled lefty moron. He certainly implied I am and everyone else here who won't be voting for trmp
Actually I think he was referring to what happened in 2020. A total of voters for the record books. Many of whom probably would not have voted otherwise except for the fact it was made easier by new rules supposedly brought on by covid. Mail in.
Let Vic speak for himself, please
Not a problem.
That isn't what he wrote.
This is a good one!
I know you and a few others think I and others here are hate-filled morons. Have the guts to say it. Call us out by name and say what you really feel
“It isn't so much that liberals are ignorant. It's just that they know so many things that aren't so.”
― Ronald Reagan
what's that got to do with the price of beer in Texass
Obtuse.
It would be pointless for me to simply repeat what he wrote. That does not establish anything. So instead I posed a question so that Vic can tell us 'no, that is not really what I meant' or 'yes, that is my position' or something else that is clearer than what he wrote.
See?
Notice the question mark in what you quoted.
there ya go with the name calling
Unfortunately the government doesn’t support “Buy America Act” when purchasing politicians through the mail. We ended up with cheap Chinese knock-offs.
I did not call you anything at all.
Yeah, I won't parse words with you. You either read and comprehended what he wrote or you don't.
Do you truly not comprehend that I asked Vic a question to prompt him to be clearer? Or are you just trolling?
I comprehend you asked a question.
I also believe you understood what he wrote but you seem intent on proving me wrong there.
the latter...
"Call us out by name and say what you really feel"
No need to do that, which would only generate tickets.
Judging by the quality, or lack of it in many comments here, the description is pretty accurate
Take a wild guess.
Did you take time to read Vic's comment?
Did you comprehend it if you read it?
Obtuse was a direct reference to what you posted, not you personally.
Everything isn't about you.
[deleted]
Watching that first one, I can see why we are at the point we are at...
Holy cow...
To prevent it from getting worse, this thread is locked, charger
I am enjoying watching the radical right eat itself.
In other words the New York Post headline is considerably misleading. Trump leads DeSantis by 10 percent. There is no "head to head" in a primary with 7 or 8 candidates.
It is not misleading, one just has to read BEYOND the headlines.
Admittedly I never majored in math, but isn't 10% less than 24%?
DeSantis HAS closed the gap according to the poll.
I just don't like when something is called misleading because readers didn't read the article, just the headline, which was created to get clicks.
Is that the kind of thinking a Texas education gets you?
I say the HEADLINE is misleading, and you say "look beyond the headline."
Why would I look beyond the headline when I am talking about the headline?
[deleted]
Because I know headlines don't tell the whole story and I am curious enough to read the whole thing.
let me know after you read the article if it is still misleading to you.
Just to make it clear to you, the headline claims Trump and DeSantis are in a virtual tie in Iowa.
That is true only when you make it a head to head contest, which is NOT what the Iowa caucuses will be. There are 6 to 8 other candidates AND THERE WILL BE ON CAUCUS DAY.
The New York Post cherry picked which element of the poll they wanted to emphasize, and they chose the misleading element because it made DeSantis look better.
[Deleted]
Look, JR, it has always been clear to me since I read the article.
I hope the same for you.
[Deleted]
You know, people who know polls know that if a spread is around 2, it usually falls within the margin of error.
Now, I can understand your angst over this if you don't think 2% with a margin of error isn't a virtual tie, but I can't change that.
So you could speak as an informed person on the entire article, not a cherry-picked HEADLINE?
Even Hillary Clinton couldn't save Trump now. Republicans have the advantage this time. With a rather diverse field of candidates, Republicans have a chance to address every issue and voter concern with a viable choice.
Democrats are stuck with Biden till the bitter end. And as the 6 week Presidential campaign nears (14 months from now) Democrats will have twisted themselves into pretzels. Democrats are going to try a woke blitz but, inevitably, the woke fringe must be thrown under the bus to appeal to normal independents. Biden will have to hide his entire cabinet in the basement.
The only way Biden has a chance this time is to become Trump. The country is growing tired of the stupid woke left-wing extremism; the blowback is becoming too conspicuous to obscure with woke smoke any longer. Going woke won't be a winner for Biden. So, Biden has to become Trump. And Republicans are already primed to run against Trump.
My that's a lot of 'wokes', careful the letters on the keys will wear out ... @!@