1/31/24 - 2024 Matchups: Biden Opens Up Lead Over Trump In Head-To-Head, Quinnipiac University National Poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
As signs point to the 2024 presidential election being a repeat of the 2020 race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Biden holds a lead over Trump 50 - 44 percent among registered voters in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
In Quinnipiac University's December 20, 2023 poll, the same hypothetical 2024 general election matchup was 'too close to call' as President Biden received 47 percent support and former President Trump received 46 percent support.
In today's poll, Democrats (96 - 2 percent) and independents (52 - 40 percent) support Biden, while Republicans (91 - 7 percent) support Trump.
The gender gap is widening.
Women 58 - 36 percent support Biden, up from December when it was 53 - 41 percent.
Men 53 - 42 percent support Trump, largely unchanged from December when it was 51 - 41 percent.
"The gender demographic tells a story to keep an eye on. Propelled by female voters in just the past few weeks, the head-to-head tie with Trump morphs into a modest lead for Biden," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup that includes independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 39 percent support, Trump receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 14 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support.
Among independents in the five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, Biden receives 35 percent support, Trump receives 27 percent support, Kennedy receives 24 percent support, West receives 5 percent support, and Stein receives 5 percent support.
BIDEN VS. HALEY
In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between President Biden and Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley, a former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor, 47 percent of voters support Haley and 42 percent support Biden.
In today's poll, Democrats (87 - 10 percent) support Biden, while Republicans (79 - 4 percent) and independents (53 - 37 percent) support Haley.
In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup that includes independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 36 percent support, Haley receives 29 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 21 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support.
Among Republicans in the five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, Biden receives 3 percent support, Haley receives 57 percent support, Kennedy receives 24 percent support, and West receives 1 percent support.
"In a head-to-head matchup against Biden, Haley outperforms Trump, thanks to independents. Add third party candidates to the mix and her numbers slip in part because of her weakness among Republicans," added Malloy.
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES
With the 2024 Republican presidential primary now whittled down to two candidates, 77 percent of Republican and Republican leaning voters support Trump and 21 percent support Haley. In December's poll with more candidates in the race, Trump received 67 percent support and Haley received 11 percent support.
In the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, Biden receives 78 percent support among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, author Marianne Williamson receives 11 percent support, and U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips receives 6 percent support.
BIDEN
Voters give President Biden a negative 41 - 55 percent job approval rating. While still deep in the red, it is his highest job approval rating since June 2023.
Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...
- the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 47 percent approve, 46 percent disapprove, with 8 percent not offering an opinion;
- the economy: 42 percent approve, 55 percent disapprove, with 3 percent not offering an opinion;
- foreign policy: 37 percent approve, 57 percent disapprove, with 5 percent not offering an opinion;
- the response to the war between Israel and Hamas: 34 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion;
- the situation at the Mexican border: 28 percent approve, 63 percent disapprove, with 10 percent not offering an opinion.
"As inflation fears cool and the bruising campaign heats up, President Biden rides a welcome small uptick in confidence in his handling of the economy," added Malloy.
MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT
More than 8 in 10 voters (84 percent) are either very concerned (41 percent) or somewhat concerned (43 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 15 percent are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (4 percent).
"Are the winds of war swirling in the sands of the Middle East? As American troops take deadly fire from terrorist proxies, the conflict footprint is broadening and with it, the concerns of a large majority of voters are solidifying," added Malloy.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
Given a list of 10 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 24 percent of voters say preserving democracy in the United States, 20 percent say the economy, and 20 percent say immigration.
There are wide gaps by party identification.
Among Republicans, the top issues are immigration (38 percent), the economy (29 percent), and preserving democracy in the United States (12 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (39 percent) followed by the economy (12 percent), with no other issue reaching double digits.
Among independents, the top issues are preserving democracy in the United States (23 percent), immigration (19 percent), and the economy (18 percent).
U.S. - MEXICO BORDER
A majority of voters (61 percent) consider the situation at the border between the U.S. and Mexico a crisis, while 33 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 4 percent think it is not a problem at all.
There are wide gaps by party identification.
Among Republicans, 82 percent think it is a crisis and 17 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis.
Among Democrats, 43 percent think it is a crisis, 51 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 6 percent think it is not a problem at all.
Among independents, 60 percent think it is a crisis, 35 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 3 percent think it is not a problem at all.
Nearly 6 in 10 voters (59 percent) think U.S. policy on immigration is not strict enough, 20 percent think it is about right, and 15 percent think it is too strict.
Voters are split when it comes to building a wall along the border with Mexico, with 49 percent opposing building a wall and 47 percent supporting it. This compares to a Quinnipiac University national poll in October 2023 when 52 percent supported building a wall along the border with Mexico (an all-time high) and 44 percent opposed it.
Nearly 6 in 10 voters (58 percent) think immigrants from other cultures have a mainly positive impact on American society, while 27 percent think immigrants from other countries have a mainly negative impact, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.
ECONOMY
Thirty-six percent of voters describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (6 percent) or good (30 percent), while 63 percent describe it as either not so good (29 percent) or poor (34 percent).
This compares to a Quinnipiac University poll in August 2023 when 30 percent of voters described it as either excellent (3 percent) or good (27 percent) and 69 percent described it as either not so good (32 percent) or poor (37 percent).
Asked what they consider is the best measure of how the nation's economy is doing, 46 percent of voters say the prices of goods and services they buy, 19 percent say the unemployment rate and job reports, 15 percent say their personal finances, 9 percent say the housing market, and 5 percent say the stock market index.
1,650 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from January 25th - 29th with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey included 696 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The survey included 693 Democratic and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Email poll@qu.edu or follow us on X (formerly known as Twitter) @QuinnipiacPoll.
Poll Questions
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Question 1. (If Republican or Republican leaner) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump and Nikki Haley, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 77% 80% 68% 92% 79% 61% 82% 72% 60% 85%
Haley 21 18 30 7 19 37 17 26 37 13
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - -
UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
REFUSED - - - - 1 - - 1 - 1
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Question 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) How excited are you to support [candidate chosen]; are you extremely excited, very excited, mildly excited, or not that excited?
REGISTERED VOTERS.............
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1...........
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1
Tot Trump Haley
Extremely excited 35% 40% 14%
Very excited 27 29 19
Mildly excited 23 19 40
Not that excited 13 10 23
DK/NA 2 2 3
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Question 2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Marianne Williamson, and Dean Phillips, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... LIBERAL..... Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Dem DemLn Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Biden 78% 80% 72% 70% 85% 78% 81% 76% 87% 74%
Williamson 11 9 16 16 7 10 10 11 7 11
Phillips 6 5 8 10 3 6 5 7 2 8
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 1
UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 5 2 3 4 4 2 5 2 6
REFUSED - - - - - - - - - -
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Question 2a. (If candidate chosen q2) How excited are you to support [candidate chosen]; are you extremely excited, very excited, mildly excited, or not that excited?
REGISTERED VOTERS............
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.
CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2..........
CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2
Not
Tot Biden Biden
Extremely excited 17% 19% 4%
Very excited 22 25 8
Mildly excited 32 31 35
Not that excited 28 23 49
DK/NA 1 1 4
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Question 3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 50% 7% 96% 52% 42% 58% 62% 36%
Trump 44 91 2 40 53 36 33 60
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 2 2 3 1
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 - 4 2 2 1 1
REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 55% 48% 48% 54% 37% 54% 46% 78% 45%
Trump 41 46 45 42 59 41 49 16 47
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - 1 1 - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 2 4
UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 1 4 1 1 2 1 1 3
REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 3 1
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Question 4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 39% 5% 82% 35% 34% 44% 55% 28%
Trump 37 85 1 27 46 30 28 52
Kennedy 14 7 8 24 12 16 11 14
West 3 - 4 5 4 3 2 1
Stein 2 - 1 5 1 3 2 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 - -
UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 3
REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 35% 37% 38% 48% 32% 43% 38% 56% 31%
Trump 33 38 39 39 51 35 42 15 37
Kennedy 16 17 16 7 12 13 13 13 20
West 7 3 3 1 2 1 1 13 3
Stein 5 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 3
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - 1 - - - - 2
UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 1 3 2 1 4 2 1 2
REFUSED - 1 - - - 1 - 1 1
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Question 5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Nikki Haley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 42% 4% 87% 37% 36% 48% 51% 29%
Haley 47 79 10 53 51 43 44 56
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 1 2 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 10 1 4 7 4 3 6
UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 3 1 5
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 44% 43% 38% 48% 31% 43% 38% 70% 41%
Haley 48 47 50 42 57 48 52 23 45
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 6 4 5 6 4 5 4 10
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 3 4 2 3 3 3 2 3
REFUSED - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1
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Question 6. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Nikki Haley the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 36% 3% 80% 27% 30% 41% 47% 24%
Haley 29 57 5 30 32 27 31 37
Kennedy 21 24 6 28 24 18 15 26
West 3 1 4 5 4 3 2 2
Stein 2 - 2 4 1 2 1 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 2 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 7 - 1 3 3 1 4
UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 4 2 2 3 3 1 3
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 33% 33% 35% 45% 27% 38% 33% 60% 28%
Haley 28 24 32 33 37 32 34 12 22
Kennedy 20 28 20 13 25 18 21 11 27
West 6 4 3 1 3 1 2 11 4
Stein 5 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 2 3 3 2 3 2 7
UNDECIDED(VOL) 5 3 3 1 1 4 2 2 5
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
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Question 7. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 37% 80% 2% 28% 46% 29% 25% 53%
Unfavorable 59 18 96 66 50 67 74 43
Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2
REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2 - 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 32% 40% 38% 38% 51% 35% 42% 17% 40%
Unfavorable 65 57 58 59 46 62 55 79 54
Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2
REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3
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Question 8. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 40% 6% 83% 35% 32% 47% 50% 29%
Unfavorable 55 91 14 60 64 48 48 66
Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 2 3 3 2 1 2
REFUSED 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 32% 36% 43% 50% 30% 44% 37% 71% 30%
Unfavorable 63 61 53 45 68 51 59 25 61
Hvn't hrd enough 5 - 4 1 1 2 2 3 7
REFUSED - 3 1 3 1 3 2 1 3
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Question 9. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 24% 35% 9% 29% 29% 20% 22% 28%
Unfavorable 33 16 55 31 34 32 49 27
Hvn't hrd enough 42 48 36 38 36 47 29 43
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 20% 27% 27% 22% 31% 22% 26% 13% 26%
Unfavorable 34 29 29 39 35 35 35 33 18
Hvn't hrd enough 46 43 42 38 33 41 38 54 56
REFUSED - - 2 2 1 1 1 - -
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Question 10. Is your opinion of Nikki Haley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 28% 36% 21% 30% 29% 27% 38% 28%
Unfavorable 43 36 53 39 44 42 43 40
Hvn't hrd enough 28 27 25 29 26 30 18 30
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 19% 27% 30% 38% 32% 32% 32% 16% 23%
Unfavorable 43 48 41 38 46 38 41 45 44
Hvn't hrd enough 38 25 27 22 22 29 26 38 32
REFUSED - 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 -
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Question 11. (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Republican primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be a better leader: Donald Trump or Nikki Haley?
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 78% 81% 67% 94% 75% 65% 81% 74% 60% 86%
Haley 18 16 25 5 19 30 16 20 31 10
NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) 1 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 1
DK/NA 4 3 6 1 6 4 2 6 8 3
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Question 12. (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Republican primary for president, which candidate do you think - has better policy ideas: Donald Trump or Nikki Haley?
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 77% 80% 71% 95% 79% 59% 81% 73% 67% 82%
Haley 16 13 23 4 15 28 16 16 26 11
NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) 2 2 - - 1 3 1 3 2 2
DK/NA 5 5 5 - 5 10 2 8 5 5
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Question 13. (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Republican primary for president, which candidate do you think - has a better chance of winning against President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election: Donald Trump or Nikki Haley?
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 81% 84% 72% 94% 81% 68% 83% 78% 70% 85%
Haley 15 13 21 6 13 26 15 15 24 11
NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 2 1 2 2 1
DK/NA 3 2 6 - 4 5 1 5 5 3
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Question 14. (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Republican primary for president, which candidate do you think - cares more about people like you: Donald Trump or Nikki Haley?
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 73% 76% 64% 91% 72% 56% 76% 69% 56% 80%
Haley 21 18 29 6 20 35 19 22 34 14
NO DIFFERENCE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 1
DK/NA 5 5 4 2 5 7 3 7 6 5
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Question 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 41% 5% 83% 36% 35% 46% 52% 30%
Disapprove 55 94 16 58 62 49 45 67
DK/NA 4 1 1 6 4 5 3 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 35% 36% 43% 50% 31% 44% 38% 65% 31%
Disapprove 63 57 54 47 67 51 58 33 60
DK/NA 3 7 4 3 2 5 3 2 9
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Question 15a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q15) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve strongly 20% 2% 49% 11% 16% 23% 30% 14%
Approve smwht 20 3 33 24 19 22 22 14
Disapprove smwht 11 9 9 16 9 13 9 10
Disapprove strongly 44 84 7 42 53 36 36 57
DK/NA 5 2 2 7 4 6 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve strongly 8% 16% 22% 33% 16% 24% 20% 35% 9%
Approve smwht 26 20 21 15 15 19 17 30 22
Disapprove smwht 19 12 11 5 6 12 9 14 12
Disapprove strongly 44 45 43 42 60 39 49 19 47
DK/NA 3 7 4 5 2 6 4 2 9
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Question 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 42% 5% 83% 41% 37% 46% 57% 29%
Disapprove 55 94 15 55 61 50 42 68
DK/NA 3 1 2 4 2 4 1 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 29% 40% 45% 52% 34% 45% 40% 63% 32%
Disapprove 65 58 52 46 64 52 58 34 65
DK/NA 6 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 3
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Question 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - foreign policy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 37% 7% 71% 35% 31% 42% 49% 28%
Disapprove 57 91 24 58 65 51 47 64
DK/NA 5 1 4 7 4 7 4 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 29% 34% 40% 46% 30% 41% 36% 52% 29%
Disapprove 63 63 57 47 66 51 58 42 68
DK/NA 8 3 4 6 4 8 6 6 3
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Question 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the situation at the Mexican border?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 28% 4% 58% 24% 23% 32% 34% 22%
Disapprove 63 94 31 65 71 56 56 69
DK/NA 10 1 11 11 6 13 9 9
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 26% 29% 29% 30% 22% 30% 26% 47% 20%
Disapprove 59 61 66 61 73 57 64 45 71
DK/NA 15 9 6 9 6 12 9 8 9
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Question 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to the war between Israel and Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 34% 19% 53% 32% 34% 34% 44% 28%
Disapprove 56 74 39 58 56 55 49 59
DK/NA 10 7 8 10 10 11 8 13
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 19% 32% 40% 42% 34% 34% 34% 38% 23%
Disapprove 71 57 53 45 57 53 55 54 67
DK/NA 10 11 6 13 9 12 11 8 10
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Question 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 47% 14% 81% 46% 44% 49% 61% 34%
Disapprove 46 80 14 46 51 41 34 57
DK/NA 8 6 5 8 5 10 5 9
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 45% 44% 47% 52% 42% 47% 44% 58% 41%
Disapprove 49 48 47 40 53 44 48 34 51
DK/NA 6 8 7 8 5 9 7 8 8
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Question 21. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, climate change, health care, racial inequality, immigration, abortion, gun violence, crime, preserving democracy in the United States, or international conflicts?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Economy 20% 29% 12% 18% 19% 21% 13% 22%
Climate change 4 - 8 3 3 5 6 2
Health care 6 5 6 6 5 6 4 7
Racial inequality 3 1 6 2 4 2 2 2
Immigration 20 38 4 19 26 14 19 27
Abortion 5 2 8 4 3 7 6 5
Gun violence 6 1 7 8 4 7 5 3
Crime 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 2
Preserving democracy 24 12 39 23 22 25 32 21
Intl conflicts 6 5 7 6 7 5 6 4
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 3 2 3 3
DK/NA 2 3 - 2 1 3 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Economy 22% 25% 20% 14% 17% 20% 18% 22% 26%
Climate change 5 2 3 4 4 4 4 2 4
Health care 12 4 7 2 4 7 6 4 4
Racial inequality 2 5 3 3 2 2 2 12 1
Immigration 10 17 23 26 31 18 24 3 19
Abortion 6 4 5 5 2 8 6 7 2
Gun violence 9 6 3 6 2 5 4 10 9
Crime 3 3 4 2 2 2 2 3 6
Preserving democracy 15 24 24 28 25 26 25 21 18
Intl conflicts 10 7 5 3 6 4 5 10 7
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 2
DK/NA 4 1 1 3 1 2 1 3 3
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Question 22. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Excellent 6% 1% 14% 5% 7% 6% 11% 4%
Good 30 10 53 32 32 29 44 23
Not so good 29 33 22 30 28 29 24 30
Poor 34 55 10 33 33 34 21 42
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Excellent 3% 5% 7% 10% 7% 6% 7% 9% 4%
Good 21 31 29 38 30 32 31 33 27
Not so good 37 27 29 24 29 27 28 30 26
Poor 38 37 33 27 34 34 34 27 42
DK/NA 1 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 1
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Question 23. For you personally, which of the following do you consider the best measure of how the nation's economy is doing: the stock market index, the unemployment rate and job reports, the prices of goods and services you buy, your personal finances, or the housing market?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Stock market 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 5% 7% 4%
Unemployment/Jobs 19 11 32 18 21 18 26 13
Price of goods/srvcs 46 61 31 47 48 43 45 53
Personal finances 15 13 18 15 16 14 14 16
Housing market 9 7 7 12 7 11 5 9
DK/NA 6 3 5 5 3 8 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Stock market 4% 1% 7% 8% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4%
Unemployment/Jobs 22 21 17 19 17 19 18 23 21
Price of goods/srvcs 43 44 52 43 53 47 50 28 44
Personal finances 12 14 15 18 17 14 15 15 11
Housing market 16 13 4 6 5 9 7 22 10
DK/NA 3 6 5 6 3 6 4 6 9
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Question 24. Do you think the nation's democracy is in danger of collapse, or don't you think so?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Danger 67% 67% 71% 61% 61% 72% 67% 68%
No 29 29 25 35 36 23 30 27
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 5 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Danger 59% 72% 68% 68% 60% 74% 68% 73% 67%
No 37 25 29 28 37 21 28 22 31
DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5 4 5 2
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Question 25. Given what you know about the situation in the Middle East, how concerned are you that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very concerned 41% 48% 33% 42% 38% 43% 36% 44%
Somewhat concerned 43 39 48 41 40 45 49 40
Not so concerned 11 10 13 13 15 9 12 11
Not concerned at all 4 2 5 3 7 2 3 4
DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very concerned 31% 41% 43% 45% 37% 44% 41% 45% 44%
Somewhat concerned 46 45 40 41 40 45 43 34 41
Not so concerned 14 10 12 10 17 8 12 11 9
Not concerned at all 7 4 4 3 5 2 3 7 6
DK/NA 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 -
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Question 26. Do you think U.S. policy on immigration is: too strict, not strict enough, or about right?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Too strict 15% 4% 25% 13% 11% 17% 17% 9%
Not strict enough 59 85 38 58 66 54 53 69
About right 20 7 30 22 19 21 22 15
DK/NA 6 3 7 8 4 8 7 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Too strict 28% 20% 9% 6% 10% 14% 12% 21% 22%
Not strict enough 37 56 68 70 71 56 63 52 50
About right 29 20 20 15 17 19 18 21 25
DK/NA 6 4 3 10 3 10 7 6 3
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Question 27. Overall, do you think immigrants from other cultures have a mainly positive or a mainly negative impact on American society?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Mainly positive 58% 29% 81% 67% 58% 59% 76% 43%
Mainly negative 27 50 11 21 30 25 16 39
DK/NA 14 21 7 12 12 16 8 18
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Mainly positive 77% 62% 53% 47% 55% 57% 56% 60% 61%
Mainly negative 17 21 31 37 32 28 30 26 20
DK/NA 6 17 16 16 13 15 14 14 20
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Question 28. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 47% 84% 13% 42% 54% 40% 38% 61%
Oppose 49 13 82 53 42 55 59 35
DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 5 3 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 30% 48% 51% 52% 61% 45% 52% 37% 35%
Oppose 66 49 44 43 36 50 44 59 59
DK/NA 4 3 5 5 3 5 4 4 6
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Question 29. In thinking about the border between the U.S. and Mexico, do you consider the situation there a crisis, a problem but not a crisis, or not a problem at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Crisis 61% 82% 43% 60% 62% 60% 58% 69%
Problem/Not crisis 33 17 51 35 33 34 36 28
Not a problem at all 4 - 6 3 3 4 5 1
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Crisis 44% 60% 65% 69% 66% 63% 65% 46% 60%
Problem/Not crisis 48 32 30 29 29 32 31 44 35
Not a problem at all 4 7 3 1 3 2 3 9 5
DK/NA 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
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MAGA will long remember that golden moment at the end of January in 2024 when for that one brief instance they believed Trump had any chances...
Keep saying that and a lot of on the bubble Biden voters will simply stay home,
Hard to believe anyone is on the bubble about Biden, but then again, its hard to understand people already committed to voting for him.
They need to be totally committed to "One flew over the cuckoo's nest"
John R already seeded this yesterday. You guys gonna be repeating the same spin every day until the election?
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