2024 Election: Biden Holds On To Slight Lead Over Trump - | Quinnipiac University Poll
"A Biden-Trump split decision on physical and emotional fitness leaves both looking vulnerable. Yes, Trump wins walking away on the age and stamina question, but voters have more confidence in Biden's empathy toward them and his emotional stability to handle the job," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
In a hypothetical 2024 general election presidential matchup, President Joe Biden holds a small lead over former President Donald Trump with 49 percent of registered voters supporting Biden and 45 percent supporting Trump, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.
This compares to Quinnipiac University's January 31 poll when Biden had 50 percent support and Trump had 44 percent support.
In today's poll, Democrats support Biden (93 - 4 percent), while Republicans support Trump (91 - 7 percent). Independents are divided, with 44 percent supporting Biden and 42 percent supporting Trump.
When the hypothetical matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 38 percent support, Trump receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 15 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 3 percent support.
AGE, PHYSICAL & MENTAL FITNESS
Voters 67 - 31 percent think that President Joe Biden is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, compared to 68 - 28 percent in Quinnipiac University's September 2023 poll.
Voters 57 - 41 percent think that Donald Trump is not too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, compared to 63 - 34 percent in September.
Voters were asked whether Biden and Trump have the physical fitness and the mental fitness to serve a second presidential term.
Physical fitness:
- Biden: 35 percent say yes, 62 percent say no;
- Trump: 60 percent say yes, 37 percent say no.
Mental fitness:
- Biden: 34 percent say yes, 64 percent say no;
- Trump: 48 percent say yes, 51 percent say no.
ETHICS, EMPATHY & TEMPERAMENT
Voters were asked whether Biden and Trump are ethical, care about average Americans, and have the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president.
Ethical:
- Biden: 49 percent say yes, 47 percent say no;
- Trump: 29 percent say yes, 68 percent say no.
Cares about average Americans:
- Biden: 51 percent say yes, 47 percent say no;
- Trump: 42 percent say yes, 57 percent say no.
Kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president:
- Biden: 49 percent say yes, 50 percent say no;
- Trump: 37 percent say yes, 61 percent say no.
"A Biden-Trump split decision on physical and emotional fitness leaves both looking vulnerable. Yes, Trump wins walking away on the age and stamina question, but voters have more confidence in Biden's empathy toward them and his emotional stability to handle the job," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
BIDEN VS. HALEY
In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between President Biden and Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley, a former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor, 46 percent of voters support Haley and 43 percent support Biden.
When the hypothetical matchup is expanded to include independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 35 percent support, Haley receives 27 percent support, Kennedy receives 24 percent support, West receives 5 percent support, and Stein receives 3 percent support.
PRIMARIES
In the 2024 Republican presidential primary, 80 percent of Republican and Republican leaning voters support Trump and 17 percent support Haley.
In the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, 80 percent of Democratic and Democratic leaning voters support Biden and 15 percent support U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips.
BIDEN JOB APPROVALS
Voters give President Biden a negative 40 - 57 percent job approval rating.
Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...
- the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: 47 percent approve, while 48 percent disapprove;
- the economy: 42 percent approve, while 55 percent disapprove;
- foreign policy: 36 percent approve, while 60 percent disapprove;
- gun violence: 32 percent approve, while 59 percent disapprove;
- the response to the war between Israel and Hamas: 31 percent approve, while 62 percent disapprove;
- the situation at the Mexican border: 29 percent approve, while 63 percent disapprove.
MOST URGENT ISSUE
Given a list of 10 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 21 percent of voters say preserving democracy in the United States, 20 percent say the economy, 17 percent say immigration, and 10 percent say gun violence. No other issue reached double digits.
Among Republicans, the top issue is immigration (35 percent) followed by the economy (24 percent) and preserving democracy in the United States (13 percent).
Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (32 percent) followed by gun violence (17 percent) and the economy (10 percent).
Among independents, the top issue is the economy (24 percent) followed by preserving democracy in the United States (18 percent) and immigration (16 percent).
NATO
A vast majority of voters (83 percent) think that U.S. membership in NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is either very important (57 percent) or somewhat important (26 percent) for the security of the United States, while 16 percent think it is not so important (9 percent) or not important at all (7 percent).
Two-thirds of voters (67 percent) say that the statement "NATO plays an important role in global security and the U.S. should remain a member of NATO" comes closer to their point of view, while 25 percent say that the statement "other NATO countries don't contribute enough as members and the U.S. should be independent from NATO" comes closer to their point of view.
Former President Trump recently said if re-elected, he would not protect NATO allies who do not meet their NATO spending targets and he would encourage Russia to do whatever they want against those NATO allies. More than 7 out of 10 voters (71 percent) think this is a bad idea, 18 percent think this is a good idea, and 11 percent did not offer an opinion.
"Trump's tough, hardball stance with NATO countries lands with a thud as American voters affirm the 31-member security alliance isn't just good for Europe, it's good for the United States," added Malloy.
MILITARY AID TO ISRAEL & UKRAINE
Voters 48 - 44 percent slightly oppose the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas.
Republicans (63 - 32 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Israel, while Democrats (53 - 38 percent) and independents (55 - 38 percent) oppose it.
Voters 56 - 40 percent support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia.
Democrats (84 - 15 percent) support the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine, while Republicans (60 - 36 percent) oppose it. Independents are divided, with 49 percent supporting it and 45 percent opposing it.
"The tale of two existential conflicts is a tale of two political parties bitterly divided. Republicans have Israel's back but are wary of a continuing commitment to Ukraine. Democrats are fiercely committed to arming Ukraine and far less enthusiastic about arming Israel," added Malloy.
1,421 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from February 15th - 19th with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey included 576 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points and 624 Democratic and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
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Poll Questions
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Question 1. (If Republican or Republican leaner) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump and Nikki Haley, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.......................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep RepLn Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No
Trump 80% 82% 73% 89% 82% 68% 80% 80% 60% 86%
Haley 17 16 22 9 16 27 17 17 37 11
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 2 - - 1 1 - 1 -
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 3 1 1 3 1 2 1 3
REFUSED - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - 1
-
Question 2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden and Dean Phillips, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS....................................................
DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................................
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE........
PARTYID..... LIBERAL..... Mod/ 4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Dem DemLn Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No
Biden 80% 82% 72% 85% 75% 80% 77% 81% 87% 76%
Phillips 15 13 23 12 19 16 18 13 12 13
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 1
UNDECIDED(VOL) 4 4 2 3 6 2 3 4 - 7
REFUSED - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 2
-
Question 3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 49% 7% 93% 44% 44% 53% 60% 37%
Trump 45 91 4 42 50 40 34 58
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 2 3 2
UNDECIDED(VOL) 1 - - 3 1 1 1 1
REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 47% 47% 48% 55% 42% 49% 46% 79% 45%
Trump 45 45 45 43 52 45 48 19 48
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 2 1 1 2 2 - 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 1 -
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 3
REFUSED 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
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Question 4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 38% 3% 79% 32% 36% 41% 51% 30%
Trump 37 85 3 25 39 34 26 49
Kennedy 15 9 9 30 16 15 13 15
West 3 - 4 5 4 3 3 1
Stein 3 - 4 5 3 4 4 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 1 1 3 1 3 2 2
REFUSED - - - - - - - -
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 30% 35% 40% 47% 37% 40% 38% 60% 28%
Trump 31 36 38 38 43 37 40 13 39
Kennedy 22 13 16 12 15 14 14 15 16
West 4 8 2 - 1 2 2 8 8
Stein 10 4 1 1 2 3 3 5 6
SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - - - - -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - -
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 - 3
REFUSED - - - - - - - 1 -
-
Question 5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Nikki Haley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 43% 3% 87% 35% 39% 47% 50% 30%
Haley 46 81 12 51 48 44 42 59
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 4 3 1 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 9 1 6 7 5 4 5
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2
REFUSED 2 2 - 2 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 45% 43% 39% 48% 34% 41% 38% 72% 49%
Haley 41 44 50 45 55 51 52 22 34
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 1 3 1 2 1 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 7 7 3 5 4 5 4 10
UNDECIDED(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 3
REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 -
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Question 6. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat, Nikki Haley the Republican, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent candidate, Cornel West running as an independent candidate, and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate, for whom would you vote? (INCLUDES LEANERS)
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Biden 35% 1% 74% 25% 31% 38% 45% 25%
Haley 27 56 8 22 28 26 28 36
Kennedy 24 30 9 37 26 23 17 29
West 5 2 4 7 6 4 3 2
Stein 3 - 4 4 3 3 2 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 1 1 - 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 - 1 2 1 1 2
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 3 1 2 1 3 2 3
REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Biden 27% 32% 36% 44% 30% 35% 33% 59% 28%
Haley 18 26 27 31 36 31 33 9 11
Kennedy 32 24 26 19 25 24 24 18 34
West 8 9 4 - 3 3 3 7 10
Stein 11 2 1 1 3 1 2 4 6
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 - 5
UNDECIDED(VOL) 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 5
REFUSED - - 1 1 - 1 1 - -
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Question 7. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 41% 87% 4% 35% 44% 38% 26% 53%
Unfavorable 58 13 95 63 54 61 72 46
Hvn't hrd enough 1 - - 1 1 - 1 1
REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 39% 41% 41% 40% 45% 40% 42% 16% 47%
Unfavorable 60 56 59 59 54 59 56 83 50
Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1
REFUSED - 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 1
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Question 8. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 41% 6% 83% 35% 37% 45% 53% 31%
Unfavorable 56 92 16 61 61 51 46 66
Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 2
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 30% 38% 45% 51% 35% 44% 40% 67% 35%
Unfavorable 66 60 52 46 63 54 58 30 60
Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 2 1 2 1 1 3 3
REFUSED - - 2 2 - 1 1 - 2
-
Question 9. Is your opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 29% 40% 11% 38% 31% 27% 23% 33%
Unfavorable 32 17 51 29 31 32 50 29
Hvn't hrd enough 38 42 36 32 37 40 26 38
REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 -
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 29% 32% 28% 26% 29% 29% 29% 26% 34%
Unfavorable 21 31 33 41 36 38 37 24 22
Hvn't hrd enough 51 36 38 31 35 32 34 49 42
REFUSED - 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
-
Question 10. Is your opinion of Nikki Haley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 29% 42% 22% 30% 31% 28% 41% 32%
Unfavorable 42 32 50 44 43 41 41 37
Hvn't hrd enough 27 24 27 25 25 30 16 29
REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 17% 24% 35% 39% 39% 32% 35% 15% 14%
Unfavorable 41 45 43 39 38 39 39 44 52
Hvn't hrd enough 40 30 21 22 22 27 24 41 33
REFUSED 2 1 - 1 2 2 2 - 1
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Question 11. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Favorable 33% 3% 73% 23% 27% 39% 41% 25%
Unfavorable 52 90 12 57 58 46 46 61
Hvn't hrd enough 14 7 13 18 13 14 11 13
REFUSED 1 - 2 1 2 1 2 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Favorable 26% 34% 35% 38% 26% 35% 31% 59% 26%
Unfavorable 48 55 53 47 61 51 55 27 53
Hvn't hrd enough 23 10 11 13 12 13 13 13 20
REFUSED 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
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Question 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 40% 7% 78% 35% 39% 41% 53% 30%
Disapprove 57 93 19 61 59 55 45 69
DK/NA 3 - 3 4 2 4 2 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 29% 37% 43% 50% 36% 42% 39% 64% 32%
Disapprove 67 60 55 47 63 56 59 30 62
DK/NA 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 5 6
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Question 12a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q12) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve strongly 21% 1% 47% 15% 19% 23% 29% 15%
Approve smwht 19 6 30 19 19 18 24 14
Disapprove smwht 12 4 13 16 10 13 11 12
Disapprove strongly 45 88 7 45 49 42 34 57
DK/NA 3 - 3 4 3 4 2 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve strongly 6% 14% 25% 38% 18% 24% 21% 37% 12%
Approve smwht 23 23 17 12 17 18 18 26 20
Disapprove smwht 22 14 8 6 12 11 11 15 10
Disapprove strongly 45 46 47 41 51 46 48 15 52
DK/NA 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 7 6
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Question 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the economy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 42% 7% 81% 39% 41% 44% 56% 33%
Disapprove 55 93 17 58 56 54 42 65
DK/NA 3 - 2 3 3 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 28% 44% 43% 51% 41% 44% 43% 60% 33%
Disapprove 66 55 55 47 58 54 56 32 65
DK/NA 6 1 2 2 2 2 2 8 1
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Question 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - foreign policy?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 36% 7% 65% 36% 36% 35% 49% 30%
Disapprove 60 91 29 59 60 60 48 67
DK/NA 4 1 5 5 4 5 3 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 19% 31% 39% 50% 36% 38% 37% 53% 24%
Disapprove 72 65 59 47 62 58 60 40 71
DK/NA 9 3 2 3 2 4 3 7 5
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Question 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - the situation at the Mexican border?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 29% 4% 58% 25% 30% 29% 38% 24%
Disapprove 63 93 31 66 65 61 54 70
DK/NA 8 3 11 9 6 10 7 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 21% 32% 27% 36% 29% 30% 29% 45% 21%
Disapprove 66 62 67 56 67 61 64 45 69
DK/NA 13 6 6 7 5 9 7 10 10
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Question 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling - gun violence?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 32% 7% 60% 30% 32% 32% 44% 24%
Disapprove 59 88 32 59 60 58 48 68
DK/NA 9 5 8 11 8 10 8 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 25% 32% 32% 39% 29% 35% 32% 45% 26%
Disapprove 64 61 59 54 63 57 60 40 67
DK/NA 12 7 9 7 7 8 8 15 7
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Question 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to the war between Israel and Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 31% 17% 48% 30% 32% 30% 42% 26%
Disapprove 62 77 46 62 62 61 52 65
DK/NA 7 7 6 8 6 9 6 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 17% 26% 36% 43% 33% 32% 33% 41% 23%
Disapprove 73 70 56 50 61 58 60 52 70
DK/NA 9 4 8 7 5 9 7 7 7
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Question 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 47% 14% 81% 45% 46% 47% 62% 39%
Disapprove 48 82 12 49 50 45 35 56
DK/NA 5 4 7 5 4 7 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 41% 44% 48% 55% 47% 49% 48% 60% 37%
Disapprove 50 52 49 40 49 46 47 29 56
DK/NA 10 4 3 5 4 5 4 11 7
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Question 19. In your opinion, what is the most urgent issue facing the country today: the economy, climate change, health care, racial inequality, immigration, abortion, gun violence, crime, preserving democracy in the United States, or international conflicts?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Economy 20% 24% 10% 24% 24% 16% 14% 20%
Climate change 4 1 6 4 5 3 6 4
Health care 5 1 9 4 4 6 7 4
Racial inequality 4 1 4 5 3 4 1 2
Immigration 17 35 4 16 19 16 18 24
Abortion 5 5 8 4 2 8 6 4
Gun violence 10 5 17 8 6 15 9 8
Crime 4 6 2 5 5 4 4 4
Preserving democracy 21 13 32 18 23 19 29 21
Intl conflicts 5 4 4 7 6 5 4 5
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2
DK/NA 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Economy 30% 22% 20% 10% 19% 16% 18% 17% 28%
Climate change 5 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 2
Health care 8 7 5 2 4 6 5 6 6
Racial inequality 5 4 3 3 1 3 2 14 3
Immigration 9 12 20 25 25 18 22 5 10
Abortion 5 9 4 4 3 6 5 4 6
Gun violence 15 11 9 9 6 11 9 13 15
Crime 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 2 6
Preserving democracy 10 19 22 31 24 24 24 24 13
Intl conflicts 7 5 5 4 6 4 5 6 5
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 2 2 2 1 4
DK/NA - 1 2 3 1 1 1 3 2
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Question 20. In deciding your vote for president, how important is the vice-presidential candidate; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very important 45% 51% 46% 39% 40% 51% 36% 48%
Somewhat important 42 40 42 43 43 41 49 43
Not so important 8 6 7 12 12 5 11 7
Not important at all 4 2 4 6 5 3 4 3
DK/NA - - - - - - - -
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very important 31% 42% 46% 59% 37% 48% 43% 51% 49%
Somewhat important 52 43 42 34 46 45 46 33 41
Not so important 11 10 8 5 12 5 8 7 7
Not important at all 5 5 4 2 4 2 3 8 1
DK/NA - - - 1 - - - - 1
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Question 21. Do you think Joe Biden is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Too old 67% 85% 46% 71% 68% 66% 59% 72%
No 31 13 53 27 29 33 38 26
DK/NA 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Too old 78% 70% 67% 55% 68% 66% 67% 57% 70%
No 21 28 32 43 29 32 31 40 28
DK/NA - 3 1 2 3 2 2 3 2
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Question 22. Do you think Donald Trump is too old to effectively serve another 4-year term as president, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Too old 41% 13% 61% 46% 37% 44% 46% 32%
No 57 86 36 52 59 54 52 66
DK/NA 3 1 4 2 3 2 2 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Too old 50% 43% 37% 36% 34% 41% 37% 61% 40%
No 49 55 61 59 63 58 60 33 59
DK/NA 1 1 2 5 4 1 2 5 1
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Question 23. Would you say that Joe Biden is ethical, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Ethical 49% 14% 83% 50% 47% 50% 62% 39%
No 47 83 14 45 48 46 35 58
DK/NA 4 3 2 5 5 3 3 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Ethical 42% 48% 52% 55% 47% 50% 48% 72% 41%
No 54 49 45 42 51 47 49 24 54
DK/NA 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 5
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Question 24. Would you say that Donald Trump is ethical, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Ethical 29% 66% 3% 24% 30% 28% 19% 42%
No 68 30 97 72 67 69 78 55
DK/NA 3 4 1 3 4 3 3 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Ethical 25% 27% 29% 32% 34% 32% 33% 14% 26%
No 72 71 67 65 63 65 64 84 70
DK/NA 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 4
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Question 25. Would you say that Joe Biden cares about average Americans, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Cares 51% 15% 87% 50% 48% 53% 65% 39%
No 47 83 12 47 50 45 34 58
DK/NA 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Cares 42% 49% 55% 58% 47% 52% 50% 77% 42%
No 55 48 44 41 51 47 49 19 58
DK/NA 3 3 - 2 2 1 2 4 -
-
Question 26. Would you say that Donald Trump cares about average Americans, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Cares 42% 89% 4% 37% 46% 38% 31% 55%
No 57 10 96 62 52 61 68 44
DK/NA 1 1 - 2 2 - 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Cares 37% 42% 44% 42% 50% 42% 45% 16% 44%
No 61 57 56 57 49 58 54 82 54
DK/NA 2 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 2
-
Question 27. Do you think Joe Biden has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 49% 12% 89% 43% 45% 52% 63% 38%
No 50 87 10 57 54 46 37 60
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 39% 49% 51% 55% 45% 51% 48% 75% 38%
No 60 51 47 43 54 48 51 24 60
DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 2
-
Question 28. Do you think Donald Trump has the kind of personality and temperament it takes to serve effectively as president, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 37% 79% 3% 31% 41% 33% 25% 49%
No 61 19 97 67 57 66 74 49
DK/NA 2 2 - 2 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 32% 37% 36% 38% 44% 36% 40% 12% 39%
No 65 62 61 62 55 62 59 87 57
DK/NA 3 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 3
-
Question 29. Do you think Joe Biden has the physical fitness to serve a second presidential term, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 35% 7% 64% 33% 31% 38% 46% 27%
No 62 91 34 62 66 59 52 69
DK/NA 3 1 2 6 3 3 3 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 24% 33% 35% 46% 32% 36% 34% 59% 23%
No 73 65 61 50 66 60 63 40 74
DK/NA 3 2 3 4 3 4 3 2 2
-
Question 30. Do you think Donald Trump has the physical fitness to serve a second presidential term, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 60% 91% 29% 63% 63% 57% 57% 69%
No 37 8 67 32 34 39 39 27
DK/NA 4 1 4 5 4 4 4 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 52% 61% 64% 59% 68% 61% 64% 42% 52%
No 44 37 32 35 28 35 32 53 46
DK/NA 3 2 4 6 3 4 4 5 2
-
Question 31. Do you think Joe Biden has the mental fitness to serve a second presidential term, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 34% 5% 66% 32% 31% 37% 44% 25%
No 64 95 32 66 67 61 54 74
DK/NA 2 - 2 2 2 2 2 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 21% 31% 36% 47% 30% 34% 32% 54% 29%
No 77 68 63 51 69 64 66 43 71
DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 -
-
Question 32. Do you think Donald Trump has the mental fitness to serve a second presidential term, or not?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Has 48% 91% 11% 46% 54% 43% 36% 59%
No 51 9 88 53 45 57 63 40
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Has 47% 50% 49% 45% 56% 44% 50% 31% 51%
No 53 49 49 54 43 55 49 68 48
DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
-
Question 33. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Israel for their efforts in the war with Hamas?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 44% 63% 38% 38% 45% 44% 52% 50%
Oppose 48 32 53 55 49 47 41 44
DK/NA 8 5 8 8 6 9 8 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 29% 33% 53% 59% 51% 51% 51% 27% 40%
Oppose 62 61 41 30 44 42 43 62 55
DK/NA 9 6 5 11 6 8 7 10 5
-
Question 34. Do you support or oppose the United States sending more military aid to Ukraine for their efforts in the war with Russia?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 56% 36% 84% 49% 57% 54% 71% 51%
Oppose 40 60 15 45 40 41 25 44
DK/NA 4 4 1 5 3 5 4 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 55% 45% 55% 66% 61% 57% 59% 52% 49%
Oppose 41 52 43 29 36 38 37 44 49
DK/NA 5 3 2 5 3 5 4 4 3
-
Question 35. How important do you think U.S. membership in NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, is for the security of the U.S.; very important, somewhat important, not so important, or not important at all?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very important 57% 33% 82% 56% 56% 58% 66% 52%
Somewhat important 26 35 15 27 26 26 21 25
Not so important 9 17 1 7 8 9 6 10
Not important at all 7 12 - 7 9 5 5 8
DK/NA 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very important 50% 53% 53% 69% 58% 58% 58% 64% 50%
Somewhat important 34 25 28 19 23 24 24 27 33
Not so important 8 11 9 5 9 9 9 3 9
Not important at all 6 7 8 5 8 5 7 3 8
DK/NA 2 3 1 2 1 4 3 3 -
-
Question 36. Which comes closer to your point of view about NATO: other NATO countries don't contribute enough as members and the U.S. should be independent from NATO or NATO plays an important role in global security and the U.S. should remain a member of NATO?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Be independent 25% 48% 5% 24% 27% 23% 16% 31%
Remain a member 67 43 89 68 67 67 79 61
DK/NA 8 9 7 8 7 9 4 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Be independent 25% 25% 28% 20% 27% 23% 25% 13% 29%
Remain a member 69 67 65 70 68 68 68 75 60
DK/NA 6 8 7 10 5 8 7 12 10
-
Question 37. As you may know, former President Donald Trump recently said if re-elected he would not protect NATO allies who do not meet their NATO spending targets and he would encourage Russia to do whatever they want against those NATO allies. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
REGISTERED VOTERS..........................................
WHITE........
4 YR COLL DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Good idea 18% 38% 2% 16% 20% 16% 13% 23%
Bad idea 71 39 97 76 71 71 81 61
DK/NA 11 23 1 9 9 13 6 15
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Good idea 17% 20% 21% 15% 20% 19% 19% 11% 15%
Bad idea 78 69 70 73 70 68 69 82 75
DK/NA 5 11 9 12 10 13 12 7 10
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Democrats will unite behind President Biden, as will Independents, women and minorities. Joe will whoop Trump by 10,000,000 votes...
45% support is Trump's absolute maximum and Biden's rock bottom. It is kind of cute though that MAGAs thinks Trump has a chance...
45% support is Trump's absolute maximum
… and an solid indication that the inmates are dangerously close to running the asylum.
Lol. A two week old poll. How desperate can you get?
This is as of today on RCP...