Kamala Harris Not Leading a Single Battleground State in New Poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Vice President Kamala Harris is not leading in a single battleground state, according to a new poll.
The survey, conducted by Navigator Research between July 31 and August 8, showed the Democratic presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump are tied in Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Harris is behind in Arizona and Pennsylvania.
In the 2020 Presidential Election, Joe Biden carried Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Donald Trump defeated Biden in North Carolina.
However, the states are now neck and neck, according to Navigator Research.
In Michigan, the two candidates are tied on 44 percent each when third party candidate s are included, while in Wisconsin they are tied on 45 percent and in North Carolina they are tied on 46 percent.
But in Arizona and Pennsylvania, Harris is performing marginally worse than Trump, who is 1 point ahead of her in Arizona on 46 percent and 2 points ahead of her in Pennsylvania, also on 46 percent.
Overall, the race is tied at 45 percent across the battleground states when third party candidates are included, with 7 percent voting for a third-party candidate and 3 percent undecided, according to the poll which surveyed 600 likely voters in each battleground state and had a margin of error of +/- 4.0 percentage points.
Newsweek has contacted the Harris campaign for comment via email.
Surveys have consistently indicated that Harris enjoys stronger support among women, as well as Black and Hispanic voters, while Trump maintains an edge among men and white voters—and this poll follows the same pattern.
However, results have differed on independent voters, with some previous national polls, including those conducted by ActiVote and the Economist and YouGov giving Harris a lead among independent voters, while others including J.L. Partners showed Trump in the lead.
Navigate Research showed Harris trailing Trump among independents by 5 points (38 percent—43 percent), but the deficit between the two candidates was larger among independent men (31 percent Harris—50 percent Trump), compared to independent women (39 percent Harris—39 percent Trump).
The poll showed her favorability rating among independents was lower than Trump's, with 39 percent of independent voters viewing her favorably compared to 46 percent for Trump. And 59 percent view Harris unfavorably, while 53 percent view Trump unfavorably, suggesting the Vice President is struggling to win independents over.
Since launching her campaign in July, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls, with every poll aggregator showing her in the lead.
However, in the battleground states, the polls are more volatile, with Harris leading in some and Trump leading in others.
A poll released by Redfield & Wilton Strategies yesterday showed that Harris was ahead of Trump in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while he was leading her in Arizona, Michigan and North Carolina.
But a YouGov/CBS poll from August 2 showed neither Trump nor Harris had a significant lead in any of the battleground states, with the two candidates in an overall deadlock.
According to FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, Harris is in the lead in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Michigan, while Trump leads in North Carolina.
Across all the swing states, Harris has reduced Trump's margins compared to June, when Biden was still in the race, FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows.
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So soon?
She hasn't even answered a question.
Her "acceptance" speech should be something to behold. Just make sure your food has had time to fully digest. That nasally, almost whining voice is hard to take even on an empty stomach. And that continuous bobblehead motion when she pauses............
Her speech is already out there.
Perfect LOL
A survey conducted between July 31 and August 8 is hardly a new poll, although, Navigator Research may have hired Cyber Ninjas to do the 'math' and several of them lacked the required quantity of toes.