Polls show Harris, Trump in close race in Pa., but one has an advantage - pennlive.com
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Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris and former President and Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump. (AP Photos)AP
By J.D. Prose
Recent polls of Pennsylvania voters show Vice President Kamala Harris either tied with former President Donald Trump or inching ahead as the post-Labor Day sprint to November begins.
A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was the most favorable for Harris, showing her with a 51% to 47% lead over Trump among registered voters, which was outside the margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
That poll found that Harris leads in six of seven swing states and has surged ahead of Trump by 2 points in North Carolina and Georgia, where he previously led. The two are tied in Arizona.
"Harris' surging fortunes in North Carolina have forced Republicans to spend more than $16 million on television ads there supporting Trump in the last five weeks," reported Bloomberg.com.
Harris is also ahead in Michigan (+3 points), Nevada (+4) and Wisconsin (+8).
The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was taken after independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the White House race and endorsed Trump.
Bloomberg reported that "the number of swing-state voters who said they were undecided or would not vote increased this month, suggesting that many Kennedy voters might now stay home."
Harris' lead in Pennsylvania was just 1 point in a Redfield & Wilton Strategies (RWS) poll for The Telegraph, a British media outlet.
In that poll Harris and Trump each lead in three swing states and are tied in Nevada.
According to the RWS poll, Trump leads Harris in Arizona (+1 point), Georgia (+2) and North Carolina (+1), while she led in Michigan (+3) and Wisconsin (+4), as well as Pennsylvania.
That poll also surveyed the Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race and determined that Democratic Sen. Bob Casey has a 44% to 38% lead over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
A poll by Emerson College Polling/The Hill had Harris and Trump tied at 48% in Pennsylvania with 3% undecided.
That poll had Harris doing better than Trump in the state with independents (48% to 40%), voters under 30 (65% to 35%) and women (54% to 42%), while Trump had the advantage among men (55% to 41%).
Casey led McCormick 48% to 44% in the Emerson/Hill poll, which surveyed 950 Pennsylvanians and has a credibility interval of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
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Don't forget that Hillary was polling well at this point in 2016.