Poll Finds Harris Rising as She Challenges Trump on Change - The New York Times
Category: News & Politics
Via: jbb • 2 months ago • 10 commentsBy: Adam Nagourney Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker (nytimes)
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
A national Times/Siena poll found Kamala Harris with a slim lead over Donald J. Trump. Voters were more likely to see her, not Mr. Trump, as a break from the status quo.
The New York Times/Siena College Poll
Sept. 29 to Oct. 6
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Among likely voters. Shaded areas represent the margin of error.
By Adam Nagourney Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker
Oct. 8, 2024 Updated 7:08 a.m. ET
Voters are now more likely to credit Vice President Kamala Harris than Donald J. Trump with representing change and caring about people like them, as Ms. Harris takes a slim lead nationally in the race for the White House, according to the latest New York Times/Siena College poll.
The finding is the first time Ms. Harris has led Mr. Trump in the Times/Siena poll since July, when President Biden dropped out of the race and Democrats rallied behind Ms. Harris as his replacement. It comes as the contest moves into its final month, and surveys from the battleground states find the race to be one of the closest in modern history.
While the Times/Siena poll shows some solid advantages for Mr. Trump, the results suggest Ms. Harris is making gains, if small ones, on questions about temperament, trust and change that can be critical in a presidential race.
The poll, conducted from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6 among 3,385 likely voters, found that Ms. Harris led Mr. Trump, the Republican, by 49 percent to 46 percent, a slight lead that is within the poll's margin of error.
[Times/Siena polls also found Trump leading in Texas and up by a wide margin in Florida. The Florida poll helps clarify what's happening in the race, Nate Cohn writes.]
Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris were even, at 47 percent each, in a mid-September Times/Siena poll, after the two candidates met in their first — and probably only — presidential debate.
How the Times/Siena poll compares
| Times/Siena Likely voters Sept. 29-Oct. 6 |
49% | 46% | Harris +4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polling average voters As of 5 a.m. Oct. 8 |
49% | 46% | Harris +3 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research Likely voters Sept. 23-Oct. 1 |
49% | 44% | Harris +5 |
| Marist College Likely voters Sept. 27-Oct. 1 |
50% | 48% | Harris +2 |
| Emerson College Likely voters Sept. 29-Oct. 1 |
50% | 49% | Harris +2 |
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Like 2020 undecideds will break heavily Democratic!
Kamala badly blew her latest interview; this time it was "60 Minutes".
More and more her unfitness for the office of the presidency is being revealed. The same goes for Walz.
I wouldn't get my hopes up just yet, the anyone-but-Trump sentiment of 2020 has pretty much played out
Challenges on change? LMAO, that is the last thing she will bring as she follows the Biden/Obama playbook. The same puppet masters won't affect any change.
And it is a pretty stupid justification for voting for Harris.
Really ?
Cause how much more unfitness could Trump possibly show you, and you would still overlook it, and vote for the scumbag ? Is there even an amount ...?
If so it can be said that Trump blew it by being too cowardly to show up.
If they exist they will, however, you won't like it.
I won't start celebrating today. At an aggregate of +2.6 it's still too close to call. Many of the swing states are even closer in polling than that national number. Now polls this week may move the needle a bit, but until those numbers come in it's all just guessing.