Trump wins generic vote big, 30% Democrats back him
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Former President Donald Trump's campaign juggernaut is roaring through the country with such force that now, he is winning the general election generic vote with 53% support from likely 2024 voters.
Coming on the same day that a Morning Consult survey had him leading the GOP race with a high of 61%, a Rasmussen Reports survey said that more than a majority of voters plan to vote for him.
And that includes Democrats.
Asked, "How likely are you to vote for former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election?" 30% of Democrats said "very" or "somewhat likely." Some 50% of black people agreed, as did 80% of Republicans.
What's more, voters appear so focused on Trump that they don't care who he picks as vice president.
Likely voters overwhelmingly said that his choice for a running mate wouldn't matter. Asked, "Would the choice of a vice-presidential candidate not make much difference in whether you vote for Trump?" 57% agreed. The rest were divided over his pick of a woman, a black person, or a nonpolitician.
The results showing Trump's support appeared to surprise the analysts at Rasmussen, which has had the race close for months, unlike others such as the Washington Post showing a Trump blowout of President Joe Biden.
"Eighty percent of Republicans are likely to vote for Trump in 2024, including 64% who are 'Very Likely' to vote for him. Perhaps surprisingly, however, 30% of Democrats also say they're at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump in next year's presidential election. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 50% are at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump in 2024, including 32% who say it's 'Very Likely' they'll vote for the former president next year," Rasmussen said.
The polling outfit added, "Majorities of every racial category — 53% of whites, 50% of black voters and 52% of other minorities — say they're at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump in 2024. Twenty-five percent of black Trump voters say they would be more likely to vote for him if he picked a black running mate."
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Say it ain't so Joe.....
It ain't so, and do remember it was me who told you...
Okay, do you have a link to indicate otherwise? Preferably one a little more current than others have given.
Not bloody likely. This poll is flawed.
Your link seems to be a little old....
Does not matter, macro dynamics like these are very slow to change.
Okay
Says who?
Trump's election threw the dynamics all out of whack!
Then show me the massive shift of the Black vote from D to R.
Provide us all a link.
Are you implying that you noticed in the Pew chart, that the Black vote had been roughly 80% D for almost 30 years?
So it would be quite remarkable for it to shift to 50% in 2024 when it was 83% in 2019.
The other data would be polling that shows the Black vote is moving to 50% R.
See? This is not difficult to figure out.
No it's not really,
So now he is going to leap to 50% of the Black vote?
What on Earth are you trying to argue?
Or that either one was more important than capabilities...
The Pew chart ended in 2018/2019. Do you think the Black vote for D dropped from 83% D to 50% D in 4 years?
~30 years of roughly 80% and now abruptly to 50%. And this has never been reported on the news sources??
This implies that you think the economy has caused the Black vote to go 50% R??
That would be a staggeringly abrupt change in a macro trend.
You desperately need a link for this one.
No, I don't.. the link to the Rasmussen Report poll is in the seeded article. If you wish to prove it's flawed, please feel free...
I am not pretending anything. I am reading your posts which wallow in non-committal vague language.
I gave evidence @2 that it is flawed.
Are you comfortable with the notion that the Black vote would, in four years, leap from 83% D / 10% R to 50% R?
Evidence? Not in my opinion. Polls are just subjective snapshots in time. Yours seems dated. I'm not sure what you mean by comfortable but I wouldn't discount a major swing based on the economy.
Do you think it is likely that the Black vote would, in four years, leap from 83% D / 10% R to 50% R and that this has gone unreported?
Prove it..
Prove what?
Seriously doubt that I'll believe any polls from Rasmussen Reports or any stories from the Washington Examiner in this lifetime.