Kamala Harris Has an Independent Women Problem, According to New Poll - Newsweek
By: Kaitlin Lewis (Newsweek)
Not what we are supposed to believe.
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
CLOSE X By Kaitlin Lewis Night ReporterFOLLOW
Vice President Kamala Harris appears to be trailing among independent women voters since announcing her run for the presidency, per a recent national poll.
Harris has made big waves among the Democratic Party since being endorsed by President Joe Biden to take his place at the top of the party's ticket this November. As of Monday, her campaign said that she has secured enough support from delegates to be her party's presumptive nominee, and the last 48 hours have brought in a record number of donations for Democrats.
According to a poll conducted by NPR, PBS News and Marist, however, Harris is likely in for a neck-and-neck battle against former President Donald Trump, who formally accepted the Republican presidential nomination last week. The poll released on Tuesday found that Harris trailed Trump by 1 percentage point (45 percent to 46 percent, respectively) across nationally registered voters. In such a close contest, either candidate will have to rely on key demographics—such as independent women voters—to push them to victory in November.
Trump, according to the Marist poll, surpasses Harris in this crucial category. Forty-six percent of independent voters surveyed this week said that they would pick the former president in a hypothetical matchup between him and Harris, compared to 32 percent of independents who said they would back the vice president. Breaking down even further, Harris only gained the support of 29 percent of independent women, compared to the 43 percent that said they would back Trump if the election was held today. The poll was conducted on July 22 and includes the response from 1,117 registered voters nationwide.
The results are a significant step back from how Biden, who dropped out of the 2024 election on Sunday, was faring among independent women. In an NPR/PBS/Marist poll conducted between July 9 and 10, 48 percent of independent women said that they would back the president if the election was held today. That result followed Biden's rocky first debate performance on June 27, which ignited concerns among Democrats about the president's ability to defeat Trump in November.
Newsweek sent an email to Marist Poll for comment on Tuesday.
Polling prior to Biden dropping out of the race showed that Harris may have a tough time winning over independent and moderate voters. According to the compiling of polling data conducted by NBC News in January, April and July, Harris has a lower net score than Biden among independents—while Biden's net rating was negative favorability review by 25 percentage points between the three months reviewed, Harris had a net negative of 29 points among independents.
NPR pointed out, however, that the most recent NPR/PBS News/Marist poll found that a growing number of independents may be up for grabs following Biden's exit. Nearly 1 in 5 independents indicated in the survey this week that they are undecided when given Harris and Trump on the ballot. Earlier this month, when voters were asked to choose between Biden and Trump, only 4 percent of independents indicated they were undecided.
Harris hosted her first rally as the presumptive Democratic nominee in Wisconsin on Tuesday, a pivotal swing state that Biden flipped in 2020 against Trump. Much of her campaign messaging has focused on protecting women's rights and access to abortion, a winning issue for Democrats since the overturn of Roe v. Wade that could help the vice president's popularity among suburban and independent women voters before November.
Harris told her supporters in Milwaukee on Tuesday, "We who believe in reproductive freedom will stop Donald Trump's extreme abortion bans because we trust women to make decisions about their own body and not have their government tell them what to do."
"And when Congress passes a law to restore reproductive freedoms as president of the United States, I will sign it into law," Harris added while the crowd cheered.
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That can't be can it?
What a surprise!
The key to Harris's success, Sleep with the boss while his wife is home faithfully taking care of the kids, that should go over well with suburban housewives.
Gee less than a week ago, according to Republican pundits, Trump was on cruise control. Now it's neck and neck? That seems like a swift downfall for Trump.
This election is about one thing only, Trump's massive unfitness to hold public office. If Harris and the Democrats PROSECUTE this case properly we will be rid of Trump on Nov 5th.
In your dreams, this election is also about the democrats lying and duplicity, they have lied to us for months about Joes fitness to serve, they have lied about their ability to fix the border issue's, they held a sham primary knowing full well that Biden didn't have the mental capacity to continue or they are fucking idiots for not knowing it have been obvious for months to non-partisans that Joe is unfit.
If you think people are going to vote for Trump because Bidens infirmity was slow walked you are hallucinating.
No, this election is about the direction of the country for the next 4 years. Do we want to continue down the same path as the last 8? Of Democrats weaponizing government against their political opponents. Of wide open borders with millions of illegals flooding in sucking up resources intended for US citizens. Of a President that will ignore Supreme Court rulings; and will try to alter the way the size of the Supreme Court, and the way it operates. Of a President that will continue the war on our energy resources and increase prices for US everyone. Of continuing to throw money and resources away in the sink hole that is Ukraine.
Democrats can try to run this election like one of their kangaroo courts; but they are not the sole arbitrators- and if they try they will rightfully be removed.
Better judgements will be available in September after her honeymoon ends and the convention bump is over.
True, he beat the chosen one ….. the gall, the unmitigated gall of that man …..
Very few people reference Hillary Clinton anymore. Congratulations on your dedication to the topic.
Hillary is standing in the wings...
just in case something happens to Kamala.
You may recall that the Secret Service Director broke the glass ceiling only to be taken down by a "sloped roof."
So?
Thx, I try to be as dedicated as many of my friends on the left here regarding their favorite topic of Trump but unfortunately fall short of that standard.
Very short …
Ummmm.... no.
Heard this morning that one of the reasons no one was on the building was the roof was too hot. The agent assigned said it was too hot to go up there.
There will be all kinds of rumors.
There are two stories here.
The first is the ineptness of the Secret Service Director and her lie about not denying the Trump campaign's requests for more protection.
The other is the tight grip the FBI has on the details.
The fact remains they didn’t cover that roof. There is no excuse that will make that dog hunt.
None.
Judging from the number of right wing articles about Harris, it appears that Putin and Xi are coming up with some new conspiracy theories for the republicans to run with.
Yes comrade, the transition is complete. From better dead than red Cold War Marine, to goose stepping commie …… power to the people comrade ….
Maybe if they try really, really, really, hard they can equal the amount of left wing conspiracy articles about Trump.
They need to work quickly. Just look at the number of "Smoking Gun", "We Got Him Now" and hurt feelings articles that have been.
I don't think they'll be able to match that level of foil hat nonsense.
You mean the convicted felon, adjudged rapist, and all around stinky guy Trump?
You mean the Misdefelon?
A general election Presidential candidate not elected by the people.
And who is threatening Democracy again?
EXACTLY!!
Until 1970 the majority of States did not hold presidential primaries, is it your thesis that democracy did not exist in the US until then?
Secret voting arrived in 1888 and the first state around the turn of the twentieth century. Both reforms were meant to reduce the power of Party bosses who traded convention delegate floor votes for power, patronage, or cash.
Is it your thesis that the candidate selection by party bosses instead of citizen voters makes for democracy?
See 3.6.3.
Could not have said it better.
Canada has been doing it all along, is it your thesis that Canada is not a democracy?
I haven't provided a thesis.
That's a cop-out, something I don't recall the younger Wry ever doing.
I don't have an informed opinion on Canadian politics.
I hate to have to inform you of this, but this is about as good as it's going to get for Kamala, once her record as a Senator comes under intense scrutiny. Most voters have no interest in identity politics, of which she is the worst example imaginable. Being a woman of color won't take her very far.
Harris and Biden always polled very similarly. She’s still losing. The democrats believe that she can add net voters to that total, while no one thought Biden could. That’s why they ditched him.
A polite way of saying they used him up and threw him out like trash when done.
One wonders how much money Biden got to go along with it?
$450 million and counting ... /S
I’m sure many are very happy with their donation to the cause.
Looks like you missed the /s.
No, I did not. To anyone who thinks some of that won’t find its way into the Biden crime family slush fund ….. I have a slightly used suspension bridge for sale connecting lower and upper Michigan.
It’s a nice one ……
Yeah, that's not it. It's about the incompetence and failure of the Biden Admin, of which Harris is part of.
It is the expected bump Harris would get for not being a doddering old man.
As much as the media attempts to prop her up it will not last.
The Trump campaign only needs to roll out her statements from the 2019 DNC debates when she ran in the far left lane.
That tit will be countered with a lot of tat. Why you persist in saying such silly things is 'almost' confounding.
They've failed at every other attempt. Nov 5th will just be another failure of the Democrats.
This is the only polling I've seen thus far and it's only been a couple of days. Let's wait until, at least, a week after the DNC to make any serious inferences to any numbers.
2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris Polls | RealClearPolling
Thanks. That's not as accurate as they are mostly from before Biden dropped out, but as I said we'll get more numbers and see where this goes as a few weeks pass.
New one from CNN just came out.
Agreed. This is the honeymoon phase for Harris. Don't they say the best day of a candidate is the first day after announcement of the campaign...
Yes and there is often a spike the week following the convention too, but not always. Trump got a small spike after the shooting, but nothing after the RNC. I'll be interested to see where Harris falls by mid Sep. I mean nothing about this is normal anymore, but up until now we've been expecting a nailbiter race so I have no idea where this will go now. Filtering out all the partisan noise I don't think anyone else does either.
Independent thinkers not picking giggles?
Say it ain’t so, Joe.
who is she running against again?
The person elected by the people to do so.
I predicted this move months ago. Right when I heard they were letting Biden debate Trump. They were chumming the water with their boy Biden.
A Harris presidency will make Biden’s look like a success.
**NOTE** - I inadvertently left the "No Trump" in the RBR's when I should not have. Please disregard.