Biden's approval rating just hit its lowest mark on record
By: Brent D. Griffiths (Business Insider via Yahoo News)
Joe Biden doesn't have enough political capital to do anything. Wall to wall 'but Trump' distractions won't transform Joe Biden into a President that can accomplish anything. Biden has become a lame duck President before he can win reelection.
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
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President Joe Biden just hit an all-time low in one approval-rating tracker.
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According to FiveThirtyEight, Biden's approval rating Monday was the lowest of his presidency.
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Previous dips in his approval rating came when gas prices spiked and the US withdrew from Afghanistan.
On Monday, Biden notched the unpleasant distinction of recording his lowest-ever mark in FiveThirtyEight's weighted tracker, which found he had a 37.4% approval rating.
This comes as polling shows worrying signs that his support among nonwhite voters is falling. Some progressives have also hammered the White House over its response to Israel's handling of the war in Gaza in the aftermath of Hamas' October 7 attack.
Biden's approval rating cratered after the US's chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan and has never recovered. His previous low came in July 2022, around the time gas prices hit over $5 a gallon.
In comparison, former President Donald Trump's favorability rating has increased slightly since he left office in the wake of the Capitol riot. According to FiveThirtyEight's weighted average, Trump has a 41.6% favorability rating. Trump is facing a perilous future after becoming the first-ever former president to be convicted of a felony.
Neither Trump nor Biden is widely popular, which may be a reflection of the hyperpartisan political era. In 2016, Gallup found that Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton were the least-popular presidential candidates dating back to when the pollster began measuring it in 1956.
Biden's lower popularity puts him at significant risk of losing in November. Gallup's poll found Biden's approval rating for the 13th quarter of his term, which ended on April 18, is lower than any other president's since its polling began with Dwight D. Eisenhower.
Four other modern presidents had an average sub-50% approval rating at this same point in time. Only one, Barack Obama, won reelection. Trump, whose Gallup average was 46.8% at this time in 2020, lost to Biden that November.
The president is hoping that he can change the narrative this month as he's expected to increase his campaigning. He also pushed for a June debate, the earliest-ever faceoff between two major presidential candidates. The debate, hosted by CNN, is scheduled for June 27.
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So, Joe Biden wins reelection and the country only gets a booby prize. Democrats' prospects for 2026 and 2028 ain't looking too rosy. Democrats have fallen and can't get up.
And FiveThirtyEight's partisan Nate Silver is telling the dems to get someone else.
It's not rocket science. Joe Biden represents the end of an era. And that end of era includes more than just politics. A Biden win won't help Democrats in future elections.
They have a very light bench. Where would they turn?
Could anyone else get on ballots this late? There was some polling talking head yesterday, some women I've never heard of before, predicting Biden would drop out before the Dem Convention.
I don't know. By the conventional wisdom of the era that Biden represents then, yes, Democrats have a light bench. But that conventional wisdom doesn't seem to be working any longer. Trump defying that old conventional wisdom in such dramatic fashion really does suggest we're entering a new era.
The push button politics of the last four decades ain't working any longer. Biden pushes a button and gets groin kicked in the polls. Trump's low approval shouldn't be coupled with enthusiasm from the base, too.
Anything can happen at the upcoming convention, coming up in a little over two months from now. Heaven only knows what kind of shenanigans that various groups will attempt, or if there will be a repeat of the '68 riots.
The DNC Convention is the last stop for that.
Re-electing Biden would be like the Titanic backing up and hitting the iceberg a second time.
Biden is at a record low and still tied with Trump in the national election polls. According to yesterday's polling Biden gained a point and Trump lost a point, but still statistically tied.
Will we be looking at record low voting totals this fall?
“Will we be looking at record low voting totals this fall?”
Given the current political landscape and the dearth of leadership at every level, apathy is a natural response to the purely partisan demagoguery. Sad and actually tragic in that it is self-inflicted.
“The death of democracy is not likely to be an assassination from ambush. It will be a slow extinction from apathy, indifference, and undernourishment.” ~ Robert M. Hutchins
Mail-in voting has upset that conventional wisdom. IMO there's really no way to predict turnout any longer. We could possibly see an uptick in votes for third party candidates which, if it happens, will usher in a completely new political landscape.
We've had mail-in voting long enough to be factored into various polling models.
I disagree we will see much of an uptick in third party candidates until such a time as one of them is actually popular. JFK Jr is currently leading in that category with 7.9% no where near enough to be more than a bother. I'll be watching the polling trends now until the election to see where it goes.
Where someone like Dwane Johnson decide to run for political office under a 3rd party that would be a game changer, but it would take a sustained marketing effort afterwards not to go back to our current status quo.
Oh, that's just plain bullshit. 2020 was the first election where mail-in voting had such a dramatic influence on the outcome. Biden won the election on mail-in ballots. That's unprecedented.
Mail-in voting makes it much easier to protest with the ballot. The Presidential election ain't the only election on those ballots. So, we're likely to see some rather strange data this election. At some point the data becomes so skewed that it won't be possible to put a partisan spin on it.
RFK, Jr. drawing away 8 pct of the vote is HUGE based on the conventional wisdom of the last four decades. And RFK doing that well now means that he could draw even more of the vote at election time. Candidates who were considered marginal in previous elections could gain much more influence as protest votes.
The only way we can go back to the status quo, at this point, is for Democrats to throw mail-in voting under the bus. And down ballot politicians will be very vocal in opposing a return to the status quo.
Every time i think the parties chose the worst candidates in history, they prove me wrong four year later. Biden v trump is an exponentially worse pairing than it was in 2020. I can only imagine what 2028 will bring.
Hopefully, DeSantis and Haley.
I can't argue with that.
I think that will be determined by the elections this fall and the mid-terms. Who wins, who loses and what people said was priority in the exit polls.
Putting populists (left or right doesn't really matter) in full control would be the worst thing to happen in the history of the country, but I'm getting to the point of believing ordinary people must have to experience the horror before they'll actually believe it. We'll need a cathartic historical moment to get a majority of people in this country all pulling in the same direction and since it wasn't J6 it will probably be something much more violent.
Worse? You want worse?
Then I give you AOC vs MTG. God, what a shitshow that would be... Were that to happen I may have to pull a Hollywood liberal and move to Canada.
Two sides of the same populist coin? I don't think either one of them are popular enough to fill the big chair.
Biden could keel over tomorrow and Trump would still lose fair and square. A ham sandwich could outperform Donald Trump.
If the polls are any indication of how bad Biden truly is, if Biden keels over tomorrow will be the only way trump loses.
And a ham sandwich has a higher cognitive rating than Biden currently does. so if a ham sandwich could outperform trump, and trump is currently leading Biden, Does that make Biden a shit sandwich? or something worse?