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Iran ceasefire: Trump, not Iran, blinked first in the war. Why?

  
Via:  Nerm_L  •  7 months ago  •  12 comments

By:   Anand Singh (India Today)

Iran ceasefire: Trump, not Iran, blinked first in the war. Why?
US President Donald Trump's war cry has turned into just a cry, and then a walk-back.

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One view from India.  (Don't underestimate the importance of India.)  But the opinion that Trump blinked isn't limited to India.

London:  

Asia:  

Middle East:  

Eastern Europe:  


S E E D E D   C O N T E N T


April 8, 2026 -- If you look at the events that have transpired in the last 24 hours, you would think Armageddon was about to arrive. The president of the most powerful office on Earth said he would wipe out an entire civilisation . The US Marines were practising firing drills aboard the USS Tripoli, and a B-52 bomber, a nuclear-capable strategic aircraft, took off from the UK's Fairford airbase. All signs of something big about to come. The deadline was just a couple of hours away when these developments were unfolding.

Iran, on the other hand, had its targets set on major energy infrastructure in Middle Eastern countries, almost ready to fire. Then came something that nobody expected. Amid the war drums, a white flag popped up, and the sound of cluck cluck. A chicken appeared on the battlefield. It was US President Donald Trump who had blinked, yet again.

But why did Trump, who was battering Iran left, right, and centre, suddenly announce a ceasefire? That too, with Iran's demands putting both the US and Israel's objectives on the back foot?

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Bow down to the Iranian civilization pic.twitter.com/7d9eRkVE9n— Iran in India (@Iran_in_India) April 8, 2026

Let's first have a look at the demands that Iran has called for. It has demanded controlled passage through the Strait of Hormuz, something that Tehran has said might never be restored to the original status quo that prevailed before the war. The demand also asks for Iran's dominance in the Strait.

Then there are reparations. Full payment for Iran's damages, and the release of Iranian properties seized abroad.

Tehran has asked the US to end the war against the "Axis of Resistance", withdraw US combat forces from all bases in the Middle East, and ratify all issues at the UN Security Council.

Then come even bigger ones: termination of all International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors resolutions, and most importantly, lifting primary and secondary sanctions on Iran.

The Don agreed to all of them. But why?

The answer lies in the frustration seen in the Supreme Commander of the United States' Military. When America's bombs fell short of making Iran bow, Trump's F-bombs started dropping. Defence analysts began pointing out that what we are seeing is the US President's frustration spilling into the open, because things are not going the way he wanted them to be.

More than anything else, the situation has started to turn against Trump back home .

From Republicans to Democrats, and from celebrities to ordinary citizens, the sentiment back in the US about the war in Iran has been the same—the war is absolutely unnecessary.

And for a President fighting an unpopular war, it was showing on the streets. The biggest example of it came in the No Kings 3.0 protests in late March against the Trump administration, which saw more than 3,300 organised events across the country that drew a combined estimated eight to nine million protesters — the largest single-day protest in American history.

Midterm elections are due just over six months from now, and such a level of unpopularity might not play in the Republicans' favour, especially when the Democrats have flipped over 21% of GOP-held legislative seats in 2025.

Trump's tariffs have already pinched the American commoners' pockets , and with a war that the US is (or let's hope was) fighting at the behest of Israel, the economy was again staring at a bigger disaster.

It wasn't America's war to begin with. The US got into it because of Israel's fear of Iran's nuclear capabilities and its support for proxy militias threatening Israeli security.

The more the US tried to batter Iran, the worse things got for it and Israel, as Tehran wreaked havoc in the Middle East and triggered global energy supply shocks.

Strikes aimed at degrading Iran's military infrastructure and forcing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz only ended up choking it further.

The costs mounted rapidly for the US. In just the first six days of Operation Epic Fury, the Pentagon estimated direct military spending at $11.3 billion. By day 12, independent analyses placed the total around $16.5 billion, with daily rates averaging $500-900 million thereafter.

Over roughly five weeks until early April, cumulative direct costs are likely to exceed $30-40 billion.

This is where critics and American citizens began asking again, how is there no money for healthcare, but always money for war?

The cluck was long coming.

Through the war in Iran, Trump repeatedly extended his deadlines for assaults on Tehran and its energy infrastructure. Since launching the initial ultimatum on March 21, he first issued a 48-hour demand for Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face strikes on power plants.

Hours before expiration, he paused for "productive talks."

On March 26, he added a 10-day extension to April 6 at 8 pm ET.

Then, there were further short shifts, including a 24-hour push and additional pauses. Trump repeatedly framed each deadline as potentially final while citing ongoing negotiations.

Then, the ceasefire. The famous TACO. A diplomatic cluck this time. Apocalypse now, not anytime soon.


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Nerm_L
Professor Expert
1  seeder  Nerm_L    7 months ago

So, where does Trump's war of choice with Iran stand at the moment?  Is this the end of the beginning?  Is this the beginning of the end?  Is this just more of the same?

President Trump is not the person we can trust to tell us.

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
2  Trout Giggles    7 months ago

Thanks for posting a seed on this, Nerm. I can freely give my opinions on your seeds

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
2.1  seeder  Nerm_L  replied to  Trout Giggles @2    7 months ago
Thanks for posting a seed on this, Nerm. I can freely give my opinions on your seeds

Just don't violate the CoC or ToS (too much).

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
2.1.1  Trout Giggles  replied to  Nerm_L @2.1    7 months ago

I think I got that out of my system yesterday. Besides, I'm ignoring everybody that bugs the crap out of me and that's pretty much over 1/2 the site

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
3  Trout Giggles    7 months ago

Chicken tacos for lunch, anyone?

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
4  Hallux    7 months ago

Basic rule of Life. I get a Titanic, you get a Titanic, everyone gets a Titanic. Octets led by Wallace Hartley are optional.

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
5  Sean Treacy    7 months ago

Yesterday:  Trump is a madman! He's going to nuke Iran  he must be removed from office! 

Today: Trump didn't nuke Iran! He's such a pussy!

Got to love progressives.  

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
5.1  Hallux  replied to  Sean Treacy @5    7 months ago

All of which you would have said if Biden were still president. It's getting tiresome.

 
 
 
RU4Real
Freshman Silent
5.2  RU4Real  replied to  Sean Treacy @5    7 months ago

Do you believe Trump swearing to obliterate Iran, take them totally off the map, 8pmEST if they don't cave to his will, then caving when they basically tell him, okay a-hole, try it, as part of Art of the Deal?

Not being snarky, but seriously asking.

 
 
 
evilone
Professor Guide
6  evilone    7 months ago

Trump still polls somewhere around 80% with registered Republicans, but is almost the opposite with Independents at somewhere around 30%. Starting new wars has not been a particularly popular move. Add to that grocery and gas prices continue to climb with Dems pointing at attacking Iran has made those even worse. 

original

A continued war over the strait could push fuel prices to over $5... affecting increases in farming costs and transportation costs. It shows how short sighted and stupid Trump and/or his advisers are during a mid-term election. The odds on the Dems taking the House are very high, over 85%. While the odds on the Senate shifting control are 50/50.

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
7  Trout Giggles    7 months ago
and a B-52 bomber, a nuclear-capable strategic aircraft, took off from the UK's Fairford airbase

Did anybody feel concern when they learned of this? 

 
 
 
Jeremy Retired in NC
Professor Guide
7.1  Jeremy Retired in NC  replied to  Trout Giggles @7    7 months ago

You obviously don't know how many "nuclear-capable" weapons systems are in the arsenal of the United States that have been deployed and are spread every where the US military is located.

 
 

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