Enemies of the Sun

Does anyone remember the Cheney energy task force? Early in theGeorge W. Bush administration, Vice President Dick Cheney released areport that was widely derided as a document written by and for Big
Energy because it was. The administration fought tooth and nail tokeep the process by which the report was produced secret, but the listof people the task force met was eventually leaked, and it was exactlywhat youd expect: a whos who of energy industry executives, withenvironmental groups getting a chance to make their case only afterthe work was essentially done.

But heres the thing: by the standards of todays Republican Party,the Cheney report was enlightened, even left-leaning. One wholechapter was devoted to conservation, another to renewable energy. Bycontrast, recent speeches by Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio still the mostlikely Republican presidential nominees barely address either topic.When it comes to energy policy, the G.O.P. has become fossilized. Thatis, its fossil fuels, and only fossil fuels, all the way.And thats a remarkable development, because while its true thatfracking has led to a boom in U.S. gas and oil production, were also living in an era of spectacular progress in wind and solar energy. Why has the right become so hostile to technologies that look more and more like the wave of the future? Before I try to answer that question, a few facts about renewable energy.

Wind and solar used to have a reputation as hippie-dippy stuff, not part of any serious approach to our energy future, and many people still have that perception. But its way out of date. The cost of wind power has dropped sharply 30 percent in just the past five years, according to the International Energy Agency. And solar panels are becoming cheaper and more efficient at a startling rate, reminiscent of the progress in microchips that underlies the information technology revolution. As a result, renewables account for essentially all recent growth in electricity generation capacity in advanced countries.

Furthermore, renewables have become major industries in their own right, employing several hundred thousand people in the United States. Employment in the solar industry alone now exceeds the number of coal miners, and solar is adding jobs even as coal declines.

So you might expect people like Mr. Rubio, who says he wants to unleash our energy potential, and Mr. Bush, who says he wants to unleash the Energy Revolution, to embrace wind and solar as engines of jobs and growth. But they dont. Indeed, theyre less open-minded than Dick Cheney, which is quite an accomplishment. Why?

Part of the answer is surely that promotion of renewable energy is linked in many peoples minds with attempts to limit climate change and climate denial has become a key part of conservative identity. The truth is that climate impact isnt the only cost of burning fossil fuels, that fossil-fuel-associated pollutants like particulates and ozone inflict huge, measurable damage and are major reasons to support alternative energy. Furthermore, renewables are getting close to being cost-competitive even in the absence of special incentives (and dont forget that oil and gas have long been subsidized by the tax code.) But the association with climate science evokes visceral hostility on the right.

Beyond that, you need to follow the money. We used to say that the G.O.P. was the party of Big Energy, but these days it would be more accurate to say that its the party of Old Energy. In the 2014 election cycle the oil and gas industry gave 87 percent of its political
contributions to Republicans; for coal mining the figure was 96, thats right, 96 percent. Meanwhile, alternative energy went 56 percent for Democrats.

And Old Energy is engaged in a systematic effort to blacken the image of renewable energy, one that closely resembles the way it has supported experts willing to help create a cloud of doubt about climate science. An example: Earlier this year Newsweek published an op-ed article purporting to show that the true cost of wind power was
much higher than it seems. But it turned out that the article contained major factual errors, and its author had failed to disclose that he was the Charles W. Koch professor at Utah State, and a fellow of a Koch- and ExxonMobil-backed think tank.

Its unlikely, I guess, that energy policy will play as big a role as other issues, such as tax policy, in the 2016 election. But to the extent it does, you need to know whats really at stake.

While politicians on the right may talk about encouraging innovation and promoting an energy revolution, theyre actually defenders of the energy status quo, part of a movement trying to block anything that might disrupt the reign of fossil fuels.

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Enemies of the Sun

by Paul Krugman

NY Times