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Risk Assessment Group Says Trump Presidency Rated Among Top 10 Global Risks

  

Category:  World News

Via:  johnrussell  •  8 years ago  •  17 comments

Risk Assessment Group Says Trump Presidency Rated Among Top 10 Global Risks

The Economists' Intelligence Unit now ranks Donald Trump one of the Top Ten risks facing the world. The threat is assessed on par with a terrorist threat to destabilize the global economy.


 

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35828747

 


Trump presidency rated among top 10 global risks: EIU




Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Dallas, Texas Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption Donald Trump is moving closer to clinching the Republican presidential nomination despite opposition within party ranks

Donald Trump winning the US presidency is considered one of the top 10 risks facing the world,  according to the Economist Intelligence Unit.

The research firm warns he could disrupt the global economy and heighten political and security risks in the US.

However, it does not expect Mr Trump to defeat Hillary Clinton who it sees as "his most likely Democratic contender".

He is rated as riskier than Britain leaving the European Union or an armed clash in the South China Sea.

China encountering a "hard landing" or sharp economic slowdown and Russia's interventions in Ukraine and Syria preceding a new "cold war" are among the events seen as more dangerous.

"Thus far Mr Trump has given very few details of his policies - and these tend to be prone to constant revision," the EIU said in its global risk assessment, which looks at impact and probability.

The EIU ranking uses a scale of one to 25, with Mr Trump garnering a rating of 12, the same level of risk as "the rising threat of jihadi terrorism destabilising the global economy".

Global risk ranking by the EIU Image copyright EIU
Image caption The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) ranks global risks on a scale of one to 25

"He has been exceptionally hostile towards free trade, including notably Nafta, and has repeatedly labelled China as a 'currency manipulator'," the EIU said.

It warned his strong language directed towards Mexico and China in particular "could escalate rapidly into a trade war".

Mr Trump has called for a "big big wall" to be built on the US-Mexican border, paid for by Mexico, to keep its illegal immigrants and drug dealers out of the United States.

'Innate hostility'


On the campaign trail, Mr Trump has advocated killing the families of terrorists and invading Syria to eradicate the so-called Islamic State group and appropriate its oil.

"His militaristic tendencies towards the Middle East and ban on all Muslim travel to the US would be a potent recruitment tool for jihadi groups, increasing their threat both within the region and beyond," the EIU added.

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Tampa, Florida Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption Mr Trump has been accused of having become a "divisive" force in politics

Critics of Mr Trump have raised similar concerns.

However, the businessman is moving closer to clinching the Republican presidential nominee ticket after winning most of the popular vote.

Mr Trump, who has no prior political experience, has said  his supporters would "riot"  if he was denied the nomination.

In the event he does win the nomination and presidency, the EIU forecasts that domestic and foreign policymaking will be undermined.

"Innate hostility within the Republican hierarchy towards Mr Trump, combined with the inevitable virulent Democratic opposition, will see many of his more radical policies blocked in Congress," it said.



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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
link   seeder  JohnRussell    8 years ago

When was the last time a US presidential candidate was rated a global security risk by an organization that gives these sorts of ratings? The US is a laughingstock. 

 
 
 
Hal A. Lujah
Professor Guide
link   Hal A. Lujah  replied to  JohnRussell   8 years ago

I'm wondering how long it will take, after someone other than Trump wins the general election, for Trump and his constituents to go away.  Unfortunately, I see them lingering and making a mockery of this country for a while.  When truth doesn't matter, anything goes.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
link   seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Hal A. Lujah   8 years ago

One of the political analysts for the Today Show recently said that with Trump's success we are now in a "post-truth world", and said it not in a disparaging way, but rather in a matter-of-fact way. No particular reaction from the hosts either. 

Idiocracy.

 
 
 
LynneA
Freshman Silent
link   LynneA    8 years ago

The responsibility for Trump and his supporters lies flatly on the Republican Party, it's elected officials and their leadership.  After Obama took office, the leadership went on record with their stringent opposition.  Then came the TEA party and blew any chance of negotiating legislation, proceeded to shut-down our government and people applauded the action(s).  Where was the leadership the statesmanship?  Not evident anywhere.  We all watched the in-fighting of the party, some of us even concerned about our democracy and the political process. 

They continued to stoke the fire after taking control of both houses, firmly staking "our way or the highway" attitudes.  Blaming everything on the current administration and now wonder why Trump would be the front runner.  The party created the atmosphere and ultimately the success of Trump.

Still at it today, look at the SCOTUS nomination.  The party who has screamed CONSTITUTION is laughable as it picks and chooses the parts of the constitution they'd like to entertain.  The idea of let the people speak, though the election cycle, is moronic.  The people spoke when they put each and every sitting member of our government in Washington, to do a job.  Not to redefine how and when the job will be done.

I grieve for our country.

 

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
link   seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  LynneA   8 years ago

The people spoke when they put each and every sitting member of our government in Washington, to do a job.  Not to redefine how and when the job will be done.

 

Well said Lynne. 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
link   Sean Treacy    8 years ago

This is pretty silly. A Trump Presidency is riskier than the breakup of the EU? What a joke.  This says it well enough:

This analysis is actually bull**** on stilts. I can understand how the EIU could be mistaken, having lived through the past eight years, into thinking that a president can do whatever he wants to do. But he can’t. For instance, a president’s hostility to NAFTA, etc., doesn’t mean a whole lot as trade deals are approved by Congress. A president can’t really start a “trade war” because the imposition of tariffs is a legislative function. Likewise military operations can only proceed to the extent that Congress funds them. Inarguably, the largest aid to jihadi recruiting is not overreaction to them, it is flaccid acceptance of Islamism in Europe that gives the completely understandable appearance of the jihadis actually winning.

A Trump presidency will be a global risk but for none of the reasons the EIU lays out. A Trump presidency will see a flocking of C and D list talent to the executive branch that will make the current crop of goobers and yahoos employed by Obama look like Nobel Laureates. He will be stymied by Congress as neither party will have any interest in working with him. Worse than that, Trump actually has no interest in the presidency, he just wants to be president. The result will be four more years of the accelerating national decline, militarily, politically, economically, and socially, that was put into motion by Obama.

 
 
 
Hal A. Lujah
Professor Guide
link   Hal A. Lujah  replied to  Sean Treacy   8 years ago

I need some reassurance that someone will be there to swat Donald's hand away from the button, when Kim Jong Un makes fun of his hands.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
link   seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Hal A. Lujah   8 years ago

Trumps First Wife - "Sanders Is A Communist"

Ivana Trump departs the 10th Annual Angel Ball 2007 that helps raise money for the G&P Foundation for Cancer Research (Christopher Peterson/Wikimedia Commons)

 

Donald Trump’s first wife, Ivana, recently attacked Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders, describing the senator from Vermont as a communist.

“Sanders is a communist. I was born in a communist country, so I know when I see them or hear them,” the mother to three of Trump’s grown children told  PageSix . “Hillary [Clinton] just lies a lot. Donald is very optimistic, and I think he will be a great president, and not because I’m his ex-wife. He will run this country as a business, and we need someone who will be able to make a decision. If he doesn’t win, he’ll go build another skyscraper. He has nothing to lose.”

Ivana, who was married to Donald Trump from 1977 to 1992, grew up in the Czech Republic in the Eastern Bloc. Sanders describes himself as a democratic socialist.

 

 

Well.... as long as we have it on good authority. crazy

 

 
 
 
Dean Moriarty
Professor Quiet
link   Dean Moriarty  replied to  JohnRussell   8 years ago

I've also pointed out Bernie's connection to communism it's widespread knowledge outside the liberal mainstream media and the illuminati's talking heads. The good news is the people are soundly rejecting Bernie's socialism the stepping stone to communism. 

 
 
 
Hal A. Lujah
Professor Guide
link   Hal A. Lujah  replied to  Dean Moriarty   8 years ago

Meanwhile, US executives are being paid hundreds of times more than their labor force, while their laborers are relying on food stamps to feed their kids.  Is that really necessary?

 
 
 
Dean Moriarty
Professor Quiet
link   Dean Moriarty    8 years ago

More good news for the Trumpinator and the antiestablishment movement. The illuminati is scared stiff of real change that would disrupt their control.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
link   seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Dean Moriarty   8 years ago

Thank you for your daily hallucination. 

 
 
 
Dowser
Sophomore Quiet
link   Dowser    8 years ago

I'm not at all surprised...

 
 

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