Someone Should Tell Donald Trump About America’s High Tariffs
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
In accusing other countries of cheating the United States, the president misleads the public about a complicated subject.
To hear President Trump tell it, every other country in the world is taking advantage of the United States by selling milk, cars, steel and other products to America while refusing to buy made-in-the-USA merchandise. His ceaseless complaint about trade — with neighbors like Canada and Mexico, allies in Europe or mercantilist China — is that the United States is getting a raw deal. Much of what the president has said is malarkey.
It’s true that America has run a large trade deficit for many years, and that some countries — China in particular — have used underhanded tactics like depressing their currencies to boost exports. But, by and large, the world is not ripping off the United States. Scratch the surface of many of the president’s statements about trade, and it’s hard not to conclude that he is either trying to confuse the public or is rather confused himself.
Jordan Awan
Recently, Mr. Trump has unleashed his Twitter account on one of America’s oldest and closest friends, Canada, criticizing the country’s decision to protect its dairy industry. Last month, the president railed about that country’s “270 percent tariff on Dairy Products!” — a statistic that sounds outrageous but really is not. Canada allows a small quota of American dairy imports to come in with low or zero tariffs. Imports above that amount are taxed at varying rates that can exceed 300 percent for some goods.
Do you know which other country protects its dairy industry in a similar way? You guessed it: the United States. American dairy quotas and tariffs are so restrictive that the vast majority of the milk, cheese and butter families in the United States buy is made domestically. In fact, dairy producers in Wisconsin and other states sold $792 million in products to Canada in 2017, while Canadian producers sold just $149 million of dairy to the United States, according to the Brookings Institution.
And yet the Canadian prime minister, Justin Trudeau, doesn’t bellyache incessantly on Twitter about unfair American dairy tariffs.
Another of Mr. Trump’s trade bugbears is the relative difference in the tariffs that the United States and the European Union apply to automobile imports. He points out that the American government charges a modest 2.5 percent tariff on imports of luxury sedans that BMW and Mercedes produce in Germany and elsewhere. But American-made Lincolns or Cadillacs are charged a 10 percent tariff when exported to the 28 E.U. countries.
This makes it sound like the United States is getting played by Machiavellian Europeans. But the American government also uses tariffs to protect its auto market — it has just chosen to protect a specific segment of the market (a far larger segment than luxury cars) and with much higher tariffs. President Lyndon Johnson imposed a 25 percent tariff on imports of pickup trucks in 1963, which remains in place today.
Other examples abound. For instance, when Mr. Trump talks about the trade deficit, he almost always refers to numbers for trade in physical goods — cars, steel, dairy and so on. He has repeatedly failed to take into account or talk about the trade in services — a broad category that includes movies, software, tourism, legal advice and the college tuition paid by foreign students to American universities. This omission serves the president well because it suggests that the United States is at a great disadvantage, buying many more goods from the rest of the world than it sells — an $807 billion gap in 2017, according to the Census Bureau. But in services, the United States had a large trade surplus last year, $255 billion, and including that makes the trade deficit smaller.
Even putting aside the inanity of using the trade deficit as a scoreboard to determine if the United States is “winning” or “losing,” most economists say larger economic forces determine the deficit, including the government’s fiscal deficit, which Mr. Trump’s has been busily increasing. Nevertheless, it makes no sense to ignore trade in services when looking at the deficit because that sector produces about two-thirds of American economic output and employs about 71 percent of workers.
On Tuesday, the day before a NATO meeting in Belgium, Mr. Trump again attacked European officials by citing data that excluded trade in services. He said that the E.U. “makes it impossible for our farmers and workers and companies to do business in Europe (U.S. has a $151 Billion trade deficit), and then they want us to happily defend them through NATO, and nicely pay for it.” He’s overstating the deficit by 50 percent. All told, the United States exported nearly $530 billion worth of goods and services to the E.U. last year, about $100 billion less than it imported. Clearly, many American farmers and businesses are doing quite a lot of business in Europe.
Mr. Trump thinks that it’s in his interest to paint America as a victim of cunning foreigners. That much is clear. It’s far less obvious why he believes that countries he has subjected to such baseless attacks will negotiate favorable trade agreements with a president who has shown he can’t be trusted.
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I see two possibilities:
1) Mr Trump doesn't know what he's talking about.
2) Mr Trump knows what he is saying is false, but thinks his followers are too stupid to understand.
What he's doing is called negotiating and attempting to level the playing field. Other countries have for decades taken advantage of the US passivity. Time for that to change. Trump actually doesn't like tariffs at all. Quit putting all your bets in the short term basket.
With whom do you think he's negotiating, Greg?
He has just told the people sitting across the table - who know the facts - that he is either a grandstanding buffoon... or a liar.
Can you explain to me how this is a good way to start negotiations? How this can lead to a durable agreement in which anyone might have confidence?
I don’t really understand how they can see LBJ’s tariffs as good and Trump’s as bad. Is the argument here that all the tariffs need to be resinded? Do LBJ’s tariffs benefit the country or just a small minority and is harmful to the rest of the country. I’d like to see all tariffs removed so free trade can exist. If China wants to sell us steel for less than it is worth subsidized by the Chinese taxpayers we should thank them.
Exactly. Sauce for the goose and sauce for the gander...
That's an argument that some actually defend. It benefits consumers over producers. The problem, of course, is that the same people are both producers and consumers... and if they don't produce then they have no money with which to consume.
The diametrical opposite position, isolationism, ensures that the producers earn... but that they must pay maximum prices.
The optimum is somewhere in between. That's the real world: messy!