Ohio Special Election Results: 12th Congressional District
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Ohio Special Election Results: 12th Congressional District
What to watch: Voters in Ohio’s 12th District are choosing a replacement for Representative Pat Tiberi, a Republican who resigned to work for a business group. The candidates are Troy Balderson, a Republican endorsed last week by Mr. Trump, and Danny O’Connor, a Democrat.
The race is expected to be close, and both national parties are spending heavily. But whoever loses will get a rematch in the regularly scheduled election in just three months.
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With 50% of the vote counted Democrat Danny O'Conner leads the gopper Balderson 52% to 47.3%...
This is a district Democrats have not won for over thirty years and which Trump won by 20% in 2016...
This special election is a bellwether for the coming mid-term elections which portends badly for the gop.
This race has tightened with Balderson moving into a slight lead with 66% of the votes tallied...
Democrat Danny O'Connor (49.9% to 49.3%) has gone ahead slightly again with 73% of the vote counted...
Danny O'Conner (D) is back on top 50.1% to republican Balderson's 49.3% with 81% of the vote counted...
Right down to the wire.
It's going to come down to Delaware County, which is 94% white and hasnt voted for a Democrat for president in a hundred years.
If O'Connor can stay within three or 4 points in Delaware, he should win. Right now he is down in Delaware County by 5 pts, 52-47. It looks like the Republican maywin a close one. Trump won this district by 11 pts a year and a half ago.
Balderson's lead is 1,031 votes at last update. O'Conner could still pull lit off. On edge of my seat...
Balderson won 6 of the 7 counties.
O'Connor won Franklin by about 22,000 votes.
5 of the other six are in and Balderson won those by a total of appx 18,000. This means that if he wins Delaware by more than 3,000 , or so, Balderson will win. Right now he leads Delaware by 3000. Basicalyl O'Connor will have to win among the Delaware County votes that havent been counted yet. That seems unlikely. The Republican might win by a couple thousand votes. The percentage will be maybe 51-49. Far less than Trump won by 20 months ago.
Maybe some of those white voters have changed their minds about the asshole in office now. We can only hope.
Democrat O'Conner's lead has been cut to only 100 votes with 85% of the votes counted. A Nail Biter...
O'Conner has moved ahead again. The lead has changed five times already tonight. Still counting...
In a district Trump won easily and the gop has held for 30 plus years this race should not be close...
Balderson has taken the lead by seven hundred forty one votes with 93% of the vote counted so far.
If the GOP candidate wins by one vote Trump will claim victory.
Let the crowing begin. The Democrats will get second chance at this seat in November...
pretty stupid to declare a loss win your candidate actually wins.
Balderson (R) leads O'Conner (D) by almost two thousand votes with only a few precincts left to report....
Dems chose a good candidate in this. He isn't spouting nonsense like abolish ice and claocialist stuff. He was charismatic compared to the wet rag republican on this. I'll give you that.
however before Dems start patting themselves on the back for at least making it close. You should look at the voter turnout. Republicans had less than half from 2016 show up. People stayed at home knowing it was up again in November. November comes... it's going to be 7-9 points again republican win
Or they are tired of Trump.
Realistically, this election just continues the trend. When Republicans face Democrats iv "special elections" since Trump took office, the Republicans are almost always under performing what they did in 2016. This is most likely showing an erosion in support for Trump. If Trump were as popular as he says he is, the GOP candidate wouldnt have won by only 1% tonight.
If there wasn't another election in November I might agree with you on this. However... notice how special election after special election the best democrats have to say is "oh we were so close this time!".... haven't seen someone celebrate losing that much since I lived with a browns fan lol.
It really depends on what type of places these special elections were held. When the GOP candidates are running 10% or more behind what they did in 2016, it is easy to predict that GOP candidates may lose in Nov. in districts that they won by less than 10% 2 years ago.
I actually think the trump effect has peaked already, in that he has gotten all the "non-base" support he is ever going to get. His antics as president are not winning him any new fans. I don't see anything happening between now and November that will swing swing voters over to the GOP. I think the contrary will happen actually. These midterms are going to be a referendum on the Trump presidency. And from what I see from what is going on in the country, the GOP is going down.
Six of the seven counties in this district went for the Republican. Some of it is rural, typical Trump voters. Of the two non rural counties, one of them hasnt voted for a Democrat for president since 1916.
It should have been a cake walk for the republican.
Ehhh. Possibly. I'm not seeing it though. Especially since midterms are usually republicans to lose due to voter turnout low. Although I'm not going to put heavy money on it. I learned a while ago nothing is a sure thing until it is over. Polls are shit. Will be interesting to see though. Not far now. Anything can still happen between now and then.
From what I have read, he also didn't run a smear campaign against his opponent or the president. I like that in a candidate, tell me what your plans are and what your platform is and why I should vote for you
Watching and waiting .
Most likely a razor thin victory for Balderson which will be delayed by manually counting the mailed in ballots and the mandatory recount.
So basically both candidates will continue as if the election is in November.
If Balderson ever makes it to Congress, they will most likely be in recess to attend to their re-election campaigns.
Advantage, O'Connor?
With an over-90% reelection rate for incumbents, I don't believe so!
You will really consider who ever wins the seat for the next 90 days an incumbent?
Yep.
Why not?
Will he NOT be a sitting Congressman?
And now, let the spin begin!
Who will be the first to declare that because the race was close, it secretly was really, really a win for Democrats?
Who's up first?
Yes, let the spin begin. Neither candidate has declared victory or conceded, but the POTUS is already taking credit for getting Balderson eletced.
So I guess the President is up first........
I sincerely doubt that those uncounted ballots will result in a 1750+ vote change.
And the margin of the lead is currently .9%, which isn't small enough to qualify for an automatic recount.
There are procedures to still get a recount, but don't count on him asking for it.
If he's smart, he wouldn't, he would keep campaigning, and work on getting a few more voters to turn to him.
TROY WINS!!! ANOTHER HOME RUN FOR DONALD TRUMP!
"When I decided to go to Ohio for Troy Balderson, he was down in early voting 64 to 36. That was not good. After my speech on Saturday night, there was a big turn for the better. Now Troy wins a great victory during a very tough time of the year for voting. He will win BIG in Nov".....Donald J Trump
Thank God Trump made the effort!