First "Post-Roe" Poll Shows Swing To Democrats In Generic Ballot - Bonds & Currency News | Market News
First "Post-Roe" Poll Shows Swing To Democrats In Generic Ballot
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The first generic congressional ballot poll released since the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe Vs Wade has shown a dramatic swing to the Democrats.
- The NPR/Marist/PBS poll, based on data collected on 24/25 June, shows Democrats with a +7 lead in Congressional voter intentions.
- The poll has caused a significant uptick on Real Clear Politics generic congressional ballot tracker and could be an indication that the SCOTUS ruling will mobilise the Democratic base. It should, however, be caveated by warnings that it may be an outlier.
- Sarah Ewall-Wice of ABC News: "I'm skeptical over what holds this far out, but here's a NPR/PBS/Marist poll reversing generic congressional ballot: Pre-abortion opinion leak: 47% supported GOP candidate, 44% supported Democrat Post ruling Friday: 48% support Dems, 41% support GOP."
- More polls will be reported this week which may support the emergence of a trend.
Generic Congressional Ballot Real Clear Politics
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Up by 3% a week ago the gop is now down by 8%.
Some yahoos alrady been celebrating a gop win!
“Up by 3% a week ago”
that’ll change as soon as they have to buy something.
Good thing unemployment is not a problem and wages are increasing for working Americans.
The gop really pissed off the voters this time.
Ohhh, a picture, how cute. Where have i seen those before? [Deleted]
Exactly, FiveThirtyEight has Biden at a 39% Approval rating which is even below Trump at the same point, and amazingly 1.5% below Kamala's approval rating. On the generic Congressional ballot, the repubs are only up 2%.
The poll was about which party respondents intend to vote for, not Joe Biden's popularity...
Biden is not even on voter's ballots in Nov!
No shit?
The gop nominates unelectable candidates!
Of course higher gas prices and overall inflation means those same workers can buy less now than they could prior to Biden. What do you think will mean more to voters in November, being able to kill an unborn baby or being able to feed and transport the family they already have?
And yet nearly all businesses have positions open they can’t fill with quality employee’s.
You go Millennials and GenZers
Yep, they plan on running him out on the same rail they ran Breyer out on.
And Shrinkflation. Maybe Joe can do the same with gas. Make a gallon, a half a gallon.
Presto chango, three bucks a Biden gallon ...
"Shrinkaflation" is no joke, it's a method the manufacturers are using to fool the public into thinking they're still getting their money's worth, while they're being cheated.
very austute , but you know what IS on ballot?
His policies that have led to a rise in prices , and the issues of inflation, his inability to get things done , but that always happens in mid term elections, any fool knows this if they pay attention .
i dont know if james carville is still considered a democrat , but he hit the nail on the head when he said ,"its the economy stupid ..."
This mid term may very well turn out to be one of those where people ask are they better off today than they were 2 or 4 or 6 years ago.
And the voters will be honest when answering that question for themselves irregardless of party politics or affiliation .
Don't read the news do you?
That is the Democrat economic reality. Voters already know Democrats don't give a shit.
And the next three polls released show R+3, R+5, R+5.
Do you know what the word outlier means?
The RCP average on June 1 had Republicans by 2... On July 1, it was Republicans by 2.
The poll average is essentially the same on April 1 as it was on July 1, on both 538 and RCP. Dobbs hasn't changed anything. The average has gone from Republicans +2.1 to Republicans +2 since April.
By contrast, the polls had Dems +7 on election day 2020, and they barely won the House. What happens if there's a 9 point swing to Republicans from 2020, as it stands today?
Post Roe reversal polls are showing a big shift.
A shift away from the damn bassackwards gop.
I guess we know how to answer this question: Do you know what the word outlier means?
I forgot you deal in memes and not actual evidence.
Post Roe polls (note the use of the plural, not one handpicked poll) show no shift. It was Republicans plus 2 before Dobbs, and Republicans Plus 2 after.
For those who go by reality, and no memes:
The gop's chances of taking control of the US Senate have gone down from 50-50 to 0%!
The Senate, unlike the House remains competitive. You can only get to 0% is if your applying NYC fantasy math,
Inflation is a world-wide problem, although exacerbated in America due to tariffs on non-American products, blocking foreign products, and the fallout effects of the continuing and increasing sanctions on Russia (and other nations) created by America, while Biden and NATO keep providing more for maintaining the war rather than for ending it.
Roe vs Wade is a national American issue, and the right-wing/conservative/Republican support of its being overturned, causing IMO the enslavement of American women, along with revelations of Republican complicity in January 6th just might, for people who can think past their own noses, mis- and disinformation and FOX NEWS, cause a routing of the Republicans in November. Wish I had more faith in that regard.
The January 6th Hearings are not helping the gop!
Is that your best 'duh' observation?
only thing i see in that picture is one person that is out of a job , and the other is soon to be out of a job .
I see two women who are willing to suffer the abuse they are sustaining to tell us the truth!
Knowing they would get hurt. That is Courage.
as they say , different strokes for different folks .
No, honor and truth versus sedition and lies...
If you aren't on the side of truth what are you?
Hutchison's testimony devastated Trump!
what am i ? someone that doesnt give a shit what you think anyway .
but i do enjoy watching you chase your tail in circles , till you puke .
Only to TDS driven idiots that already made up their mind that Trump has to be gotten at all costs.
Hearsay is not admissible in a court of law; and that is all that she had.
Amazing that you presumably typed that with a straight face. Do you have any how demeaning that it is to actual slaves?
[Deleted]
From the top definition of slavery from a Microsoft BING search:
"restricted freedom"
Sure. An heiress with a multi-million dollar fortune who lives in luxury and has personal servants to take care of every whim lives a life no better than a field hand in the antebellum south. I'm sure the field hands feel nothing but pity for the poor heiresses of America.
In the race to be as hyperbolic as possible, do you ever stop and think what exactly it is you are arguing?
"restricted freedom"
So you consider yourself, and all residents of China, slaves?
An entitled American heiress? Like this one?
I guess. Some people claim her life is as hard as a slaves.
thats what progressives are now arguing.
Be proud.
Muuhwaaaahahaaa .... the Dems master plan is working ...... /S
More like the gop's masterplan is imploding on it!
You keep repeating that lie, over and over again but it isn’t working ..... damn bad luck for you sir.
Chronos doesn't care.
Meanwhile Hunter does another eightball ..... he doesn’t care either .....