Garvey now in statistical tie with Schiff in California Senate race: Poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
R ep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) and Republican candidate Steve Garvey are now in a statistical tie in California’s nonpartisan Senate primary, polling released Friday shows.
The poll from the Institute of Governmental Studies (IGS) at the University of California, Berkeley found Garvey with 27 percent support and Schiff at 25 percent.
Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.) came in outside of the top-two with 19 percent, while Rep. Barbara Lee (D-Calif.) trailed with just 8 percent.
In California’s nonpartisan primary system, the top two vote-getters will advance to a runoff in November, regardless of party affiliation. The candidates are looking to fill the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s (D) vacancy, which is currently being filled by temporary appointee Sen. Laphonza Butler (D).
Schiff, who has been leading in other polling over the last few weeks, has appeared to try to elevate Garvey — since spectators say a Democrat-Republican showdown would be easier for Schiff to win than a battle between lawmakers in the same party.
The Berkeley IGS poll notes a “large increase” in support for Garvey over the last several weeks, and he fares even better in the partial-term race on the California ballot.
Schiff, Porter, Garvey and Lee are running both for a full term in the Senate that starts in January 2025, and also for a partial term to take over from Butler between this November and the start of the next term.
Garvey boasts the lead in the partial term race, according to the Berkeley IGS poll, with 29 percent to Schiff’s 23 percent, followed by Porter at 20 percent. That boost appears to be due to fewer Republican names on the partial-term ballot compared to the full-term ballot, the poll notes.
California is seeing notably low turnout for the primary, just days before Super Tuesday, and data indicates it’s predominantly older Californians casting ballots at this point.
The Berkeley IGS poll found nearly two-thirds of the likely electorate were 50 or older, tripling the number of voters under 40.
“Garvey is the chief beneficiary in a low turnout election scenario, as he holds a huge advantage over the field among fellow Republicans and both he and Schiff are the two most preferred candidates among older voters, whites, and homeowners,” the poll release reads.
The poll was conducted Feb. 22-27 among 6,536 California registered voters, of which 3,304 had already voted or were likely to vote. The estimated sampling error is approximately plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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Evidently, they didn't poll the illegal migrants.
Sorry to burst your bubble Vic but unless Garvey gets to 50% he's a goner
the top two make the runoff which will likely be Schiff and Garvey and all those democratic votes that went for those other Dem candidates are going to go to Schiff and he's going to win easily
of course it is only California
I know all about the asshole rank voting system. That's why I mentioned the illegals. After all, they saved Newscum from a recall.
That is complete bullshit.
California allows illegals to obtain driver's license and if you have a CA driver's license you can participate in the voting process.
They even get to hold office.
Its possible Garvey wont even make the runoff
That is utterly and entirely untrue regarding all statewide and national elections everywhere in the US. It remains a major state and national crime for non-citizens to vote for President, Congress, Governor, Senator or any other high statewide or national office in California or anywhere else in the US . And no, we are not talking about school boards and city councils. So, no stupid quibbling about that kind if bullshit. This is why this is not a real problem or even a real issue, in all truth! You have had this explained to you repeatedly. Why do you continue to spread rank preposterous misinformation?
Its fun?
Absolutely everyone who has or ever will read this comment thread knows damn well that non-citizens cannot legally vote in any statewide or national elections in the USA!
Everyone!
Voter fraud is extremely difficult, highly illegal, easily detected and harshly proscuted nationwide. It requires a huge conspiracy to accomplish any results, even on a small scale. It is nothing but a far far right-wing bugaboo issue in all reality!
It was also illegal for the illegal aliens to cross the border or overstay their visas but they did it anyways. If the going to ignore one law what's stopping them from from breaking another. Of course having so many liberals on theiside doesn't hurt them none.
He has no facts?
Did Kelly Wong not have a driver's licence?
She is not a citizen, therefore she should not be an election commissioner.
or any other position of authority or public trust.
That issue is adequately dealt with on the original topic seed. I made my position clear there, even though I stood on the "other" side (of the ocean as well).
You win, for the time being.
That is the only issue.
It doesn’t matter. The Republicans only need one seat to change, and that will probably happen in West Virginia anyway.
I guess since salwell is too broke, Schiff the Maryland resident is the perfect representative for California. Another person who fled the state obsessed with spreading the poisonous ideology that’s ruined it.
I am a lifelong Dodger fan, and when I was growing up, Steve was our First Baseman for like 11 years. I’m a fan of his - as a baseball player. But I can’t fathom why that means I should put him in the Senate.
Steve Garvey the perfect fit for the party of family values.
I had season tickets to the Dodgers with Garvey, The Penguin, Russell and Lopes the perfect infield, Steve was really good if he was on the ball field, off it oh my that boy was a dog family values all the way, well sort of.
I'd have to vote for him for his game 4 walk off in the NLCS, but nobody actually likes Steve Garvey.
Sorry we all can't support career criminals like Democrats know and love. The Clintons and Bidens come to mind. Though the Obamas are fighting hard to catch up. I would name House and Senate Democrats- but all Congressmen seem to profit from insider trading and writing laws that benefit themselves.
Nor can we support those that employ and in one case sleep with Chinese spies. Swalwell and Feinstein.
Not surprised leftists attack Garvey- while ignoring the human piece of garbage they put into the House Schiff- who literally lied repeatedly, fabricated evidence, and was the leader in breaking House rules behind Pelosi in the "Get Trump at all costs" venture.
congress exposes that jockstrap has-been to a whole new meat market, and an excuse to be away from home.