Economist/YouGov Poll Swings Whopping Five Points in a Week
By: Alex Griffing (Mediaite)
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
The latest Economist/YouGov poll out on Wednesday showed a major swing on the generic ballot compared to the previous week, in the direction of the Democrats.
The poll conducted from October 22 to 25 showed 46% of respondents favoring the Democrats and 42% favoring the Republicans. Tom Bevan of RealClearPolitics noted of the poll, "New Economist/YouGov poll has Dems +4 in the generic congressional ballot, a 5-point swing in their favor over the last week. GOP lead in RCP Average shrinks to +1.9."
New Economist/YouGov poll has Dems +4 in the generic congressional ballot, a 5-point swing in their favor over the last week. GOP lead in RCP Average shrinks to +1.9https://t.co/hGaWL9iTNnpic.twitter.com/BYdE95Cvlj
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) October 26, 2022
Broken down by gender the GOP holds a 48/40% edge with male voters, while the Democrats lead among female voters 52/35%.
Democrats also hold an edge on voters 18 to 44, but the GOP takes a lead among 44 and older, making clear that turn out will considerably impact the outcome. The poll of 1,500 Americans carried a 3.2% margin of error.
Politico/Morning Consult's poll conducted from October 21 to 23rd also showed Democrats rebounding on the generic ballot leading 47 to 42%.
These last two polls are the first since mid-October to show Democrats leading, while a string of polls showed the GOP leading anywhere from 1 to 6% on the generic ballot.
RealClearPolitics' 2022 Generic Congressional Vote Polling Data
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It would be nice. There is reason to think that polling is not as accurate as it used to be though. They have trouble finding people who want to take part.
The early voting totals should be encouraging to the Democrats. Trump says only RINO's and communists would vote early so theyre pretty much all Democrats.
So you admit democrats are communists.
It depends on whether or not you listen to the likes of Trump. I dont.
You don't listen to anyone that is rational. Besides that I know that the head of the communist party in America said that the Democrat party was the best allies his party had.
I dont listen to you, thats for sure.
So you are admitting you don't listen to sane intelligent people.
No, I'm admitting that I dont listen to you.
[deleted]
Remember Remember the Eighth of Roevember...
I have already voted here in Oregon. I voted for Christine Drazan for governor Cortez-Deremer for Congress and whoever's running against Ron Wyden for senate.the person I voted for for Senator most likely won't win but Wyden only has a small apartment here. His wife and children live in New York. His wife has a business in New York. I don't really think he has Oregon's best interest at heart.
Oregon is going red..
www.cnn.com /2022/10/26/politics/red-wave-trump-political-benefit/index.html
Why the midterms are going to be great for Donald Trump
Chris Cillizza 2-3 minutes 10/26/2022
A version of this story appeared in The Point newsletter. To get it in your inbox, sign up for free here .
CNN —
With less than two weeks left before the November midterm elections , all signs are pointing to a strong Republican showing that would result in a switch of party control in the House and possibly the Senate.
That’s very good news for Donald Trump.
While Trump has been an uneven presence in the 2022 campaign – he has endorsed and held rallies for all sorts of GOP candidates, while only recently starting to air ads on their behalf through a super PAC – what you can be sure of is that if things go well for Republicans in 13 days, the former President will be at the front of the line to take credit.
As CNN’s Gabby Orr reported in a recent story on Trump and his 2024 machinations:
“[A]s Trump considers using a potential red wave as the backdrop for his presidential campaign launch, some Republicans said he is likely to demand more credit than he’s owed.”
Which makes perfect sense – because that is what Trump does.
He has repeatedly claimed credit for “making” any number of candidates from J.D. Vance in Ohio to Ron DeSantis in Florida. And he regularly brags about candidates he endorsed winning primaries.
So, you can imagine what Trump would do with a red wave – or anything close to it – sweeping the country on November 8. He will cast himself as the reason behind Republican gains and attempt to use it as a springboard for a campaign launch that could come shortly after.
And the thing is, there won’t be anyone within the GOP willing to step up and question Trump’s claims of credit. Because he is both the loudest voice in the room and the most popular person in the party.
The Point : A win for Republicans on November 8 would accrue to Trump’s political benefit – whether or not he should get as much credit for it as he will undoubtedly take.