​​Democrats hold 4-point advantage on generic congressional ballot: survey | The Hill

  

Category:  News & Politics

Via:  jbb  •  4 weeks ago  •  17 comments

By:   Caroline Vakil (The Hill)

​​Democrats hold 4-point advantage on generic congressional ballot: survey | The Hill
Democrats hold a 4-percentage point lead against Republicans on a generic congressional ballot, according to a new poll that comes amid low approval ratings for President Biden. The Politico-Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday found that 46 percent of respondents would choose the Democrat when asked which candidate they would most likely vote for if…

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by Caroline Vakil - 07/13/22 7:53 AM ET

Democrats hold a 4-percentage point lead against Republicans on a generic congressional ballot, according to a new poll that comes amid low approval ratings for President Biden.

The Politico-Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday found that 46 percent of respondents would choose the Democrat when asked which candidate they would most likely vote for if the election for Congress in their district was held today, compared to 42 percent who said the Republican.

A separate 12 percent either said they had no opinion or did not know.

In a New York Times-Siena College poll released this week, 41 percent of respondents said their preference for the outcome of November elections was Democratic control of Congress versus 40 percent who said Republican control. Another 19 percent in that poll said they did not know or refused to answer the question.

Those results, however, are within the margin of error, essentially meaning that respondents were tied over which party they would like to see control Congress.

The new polling offers a little optimism for Democrats, who are bracing for a challenging November election given rising inflation, the historical precedent that a sitting president's party generally suffers losses in the midterms and Biden's lagging approval ratings.

The Politico-Morning Consult poll found that only 40 percent of respondents approved of the job that Biden is doing as president and only 28 percent said he should run for president in 2024.

The survey of 2,005 adults was conducted July 8-July 10. Its margin of error is 2 percentage points.

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JBB
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JBB    4 weeks ago

Some yahoos round here have been celebrating the gop's victory in 2022 midterm elections since 2020!

And, they still cannot admit they lost badly in 2020...

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
1.1  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @1    4 weeks ago

There are democrats that still can't believe that Clinton lost in 2016, or that Gore list in 2000. 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1.1.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  arkpdx @1.1    4 weeks ago

original

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
1.1.2  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @1.1.1    4 weeks ago

And just where in my comment 1.1did I defend Trump or even mention him for that matter? The only one that mentioned him was you. 

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1.1.3  seeder  JBB  replied to  arkpdx @1.1.2    4 weeks ago

No, you tried to divert the topic to Hillary Clinton instead...

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
1.1.4  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @1.1.3    4 weeks ago

No I just showed the hypocrisy of the left when you butch about Trump but forget all about you and yours doing the same thing. I know you don't like to be told you are wrong or doing something wrong but that is what I'm here for

 
 
 
gooseisback
Freshman Silent
1.2  gooseisback  replied to  JBB @1    4 weeks ago
Some yahoos round here have been celebrating the gop's victory in 2022 midterm

I think you should start celebrating the Democrats victory in 2022.  Maybe add in the success of the economy, The cheap gas prices, the stellar immigration policies, defund the police, transgender women competing in girls sports, the "How To" withdraw from Afghanistan, they all sound like a winner.    

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2  TᵢG    4 weeks ago

Interesting to see any polls giving the Ds an advantage.   Well we have a number of factors at play this time.   I expect the economy to ruin the Ds chances no matter what.   It is the 800lb gorilla.   But the Roe v. Wade reversal is a big, big damn deal that might inspire people to get Ds in office to counter this major league swing on women's rights.

And I suspect that the GoP being tied at the hip with Trump is not an advantage.

Hard to buck the trend of party in power losing at midterms coupled with a bad economy, but nothing is impossible.

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1  seeder  JBB  replied to  TᵢG @2    4 weeks ago

People are voting for their personal representatives in the midterm elections and the gop insists on nominating unelectable candidates like J D Vance, Doctor Oz and Hershel Walker. I expect Democrats will actually gain seats in the Senate and may not even take back the House. Biden isn't on the ballot but Trump continues to make Trumpism an issue.

Women are mad and they vote in greater numbers!

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.1  TᵢG  replied to  JBB @2.1    4 weeks ago
Women are mad and they vote in greater numbers!

A sound hypothesis.

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
2.1.2  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @2.1    4 weeks ago
Biden isn't on the ballot 

Why is it that when the Republicans hold the White house, the mid terms are always about whoever the president is at the time but the midterms when the Democrats are in charge are never about their president an his policies?

 
 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
2.1.3  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @2.1    4 weeks ago
Women are mad and they vote in greater numbers!

Not all women are mad and many are even quite pleased with the turn of events. I would not hold my hopes up so high if I were you or are you getting ready for another scream session like you all had when you lost it '16?

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1.4  seeder  JBB  replied to  arkpdx @2.1.2    4 weeks ago

If Trump is running again that turns off midterm voters...

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
2.1.5  seeder  JBB  replied to  arkpdx @2.1.3    4 weeks ago

Not really...

 
 
 
arkpdx
PhD Participates
2.1.6  arkpdx  replied to  JBB @2.1.4    4 weeks ago

Trump is running for what office in the midterms?

 
 
 
Hallux
Sophomore Principal
3  Hallux    4 weeks ago

Steer clear of polls that are:

1: This far out.

2: Not of likely voters

3: Anything out of Rasmussen as they are only close 2 to 3 weeks before an election.

 
 
 
Revillug
Freshman Guide
4  Revillug    4 weeks ago

Political polls, like facts, are well known to have a liberal bias.

 
 

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