Joe Biden Hammering Donald Trump in Latest Head-to-Head Poll

  

Category:  News & Politics

Via:  jbb  •  3 weeks ago  •  33 comments

By:   Darragh Roche (Newsweek)

Joe Biden Hammering Donald Trump in Latest Head-to-Head Poll
The president's approval rating has been on an upward trend over the past month as Democrats' midterm chances have seemed to improve.

S E E D E D   C O N T E N T



President Joe Biden is leading former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch and candidates backed by Trump are more likely to be opposed by Americans, according to a new poll.

A YouGov poll conducted for Yahoo News has found that Biden enjoys a six-point lead among registered voters when it comes to another head-to-head contest with Trump.

The survey found that Biden leads Trump in a potential 2024 match-up with 43 percent to the former president's 40 percent among U.S. adults but enjoyed 48 percent support among registered voters, compared to 42 percent who opted for Trump.

biden-speaks-state-dining-room.jpg?w=790&f=a2578d8d4c82d893b42bca5b0e20f8d1 US President Joe Biden speaks during a signing ceremony for H.R. 5376, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on August 16, 2022. A new poll shows Biden defeating former President Donald Trump by six points in a potential 2024 rematch.MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images

The poll was conducted from September 2 to 6 among 1,643 U.S. adults. The number of registered voters polled was 1,247.

A Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted from July 28 to August 1 had found Biden beating Trump with 45 percent to 42 percent among registered voters.

In potentially good news for the president's party, the share of Democrats in the September poll who said they would definitely vote in the 2022 midterm elections was greater than the share of Republicans who said the same.

Among registered voters, 45 percent said they "definitely will vote" this year and of those, 48 percent of Democrats said they will definitely vote in 2022 compared to 45 percent of Republicans.

Americans also showed less disapproval of candidates endorsed by Biden than those endorsed by Trump. A combined 45 percent of registered voters said they would vote against a Trump-endorsed candidate, with 8 percent they "probably" would and 37 percent saying they "definitely" would.

Read more

  • Pro-Oz Group Releases Ad Black Democrats Fear Could Cost Fetterman Election
  • Ken Paxton's GOP Support Is Lagging and It Could Give Democrats a Win
  • Democrats are Clearly Ahead of Republicans With 2 Months Until Midterms

By contrast, 38 percent of registered voters said they would vote against a candidate endorsed by the president, with 8 percent saying they "probably" would and 30 percent responding that they "definitely" would.

Biden's approval rating has been on an upward trajectory over the past month and stood at 42.5 percent as of Wednesday, while disapproval of the job he's doing was at 53.2 percent, according to poll tracker FiveThirtyEight.

Neither Biden nor Trump have formally declared a 2024 White House run but both have indicated that they will run again. Trump remains the favorite for the GOP nomination. The only defeated president to subsequently return to the White House was Democrat Grover Cleveland in 1892.

The latest Yahoo News/YouGov poll is likely to be viewed as more good news for Democrats as the party's chances in the midterm elections appear to have improved in recent weeks.

Though polls earlier this year suggested the president's party would suffer major losses, more recent figures have suggested that Democrats could perform better than initially expected.

Democrats are slightly favored to retain control of the Senate, according to the most recent analysis by FiveThirtyEight. The GOP was favored to win the Senate in the same analysis as recently as July 25.

Republicans have remained favored to win the House of Representatives but with two months until midterms, there is still the possibility that Democrats could pull off an upset victory and keep both chambers of Congress.

That outcome appears unlikely based on the most recent polling but Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has indicated she is "absolutely" prepared to lead another Democratic majority.


Tags

jrDiscussion - desc
[]
 
JBB
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JBB    3 weeks ago

Mo Joe.. 

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2  TᵢG    3 weeks ago
Trump remains the favorite for the GOP nomination.

A loss of support should change that.   (One would normally expect.)

 
 
 
SteevieGee
Masters Silent
3  SteevieGee    3 weeks ago

Trump is last weeks news.  His legal woes have mounted to a point where it's going to be harder and harder to support him.  Only the most treasonous and unamerican will continue to help him.

 
 
 
afrayedknot
Freshman Quiet
3.1  afrayedknot  replied to  SteevieGee @3    3 weeks ago

“Only the most treasonous and unamerican will continue to help him.”

So easy to see. But just wait for those dancers so eager to disparage a poll when the results are contradictory to the agenda. 

 
 
 
Revillug
Freshman Guide
3.2  Revillug  replied to  SteevieGee @3    3 weeks ago

I'm not a Republican. I voted for Bernie every chance I had but I also voted for Hillary more than once in my life (I'm from New York). I provide this context because I am still unfamiliar to most.

When it comes to Biden vs. Whomever there is a lot of risk between now and 2024. Why did America vote for Biden? We wanted a way out of Covid and a return to normalcy. Covid wriggled away from us (400 to 500 Americns are still dying each day from it). And the economy? Christ, it's a mess. Inflation is high and there are labor market imbalances and it might take a brief recession to get the economic bones realigned.

And then there is and endless supply of racists in the electorate. I don't know if our elections reflect who we really are considering how many people simply don't vote, but our electorate sure is an ugly beast. 

Biden's advisers seem to buy into the theory that people don't for somebody but rather against the other guy.

If that other guy isn't Trump then there might be a problem for the Democrats in 2024.

 
 
 
Jeremy Retired in NC
PhD Guide
3.3  Jeremy Retired in NC  replied to  SteevieGee @3    2 weeks ago
Trump is last weeks news.

Not for you all on the left.  You all still haven't moved on from the "big lie" of 2016.  7 years later and you are STILL trying to prove some kind of wrong doing.  It took less time to investigate and identify key players in 9/11.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
4  Sparty On    3 weeks ago

Yeah, the guy with a 39% approval rating is winning.

Not!

 
 
 
Hallux
Junior Principal
4.1  Hallux  replied to  Sparty On @4    2 weeks ago

I note you jumped on one of the weaker pollsters. Reuters-Ipsos is a B- rating pollster and the poll in question surveyed 'adults', not the far more accurate 'likely voters' widely used by Rasmussen which has Biden at 45%.

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
4.1.1  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  Hallux @4.1    2 weeks ago

FiveThirtyEight has him at 44% of likely voters, still underwater but better.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
4.1.2  Vic Eldred  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @4.1.1    2 weeks ago

Have you noticed the new adjective being used to describe Rasmussen?

What a difference a favorable Poll makes!

 
 
 
bugsy
Professor Participates
4.1.3  bugsy  replied to  Hallux @4.1    2 weeks ago
Rasmussen which has Biden at 45%.

Liberals always refer to Rasmussen as an outlier and a far right pollster.

Why the change of heart?

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
4.1.4  TᵢG  replied to  bugsy @4.1.3    2 weeks ago

That is easy.   It is the same reason why MAGA conservatives turned on Liz Cheney.   If one agrees one is (temporarily) a friend;  if not, a foe.   Basic unsophisticated partisanship.

 
 
 
Hallux
Junior Principal
4.1.5  Hallux  replied to  bugsy @4.1.3    2 weeks ago
Why the change of heart?

There was none on my part. If I have any criticism of Rasmussen it is with their numbers this 'far' out, they have a long standing history of being an outlier until the final weeks. Post numbers from FOX with their A rating and I will not argue with them.

 
 
 
Hallux
Junior Principal
4.1.6  Hallux  replied to  Vic Eldred @4.1.2    2 weeks ago

I did not use an adjective to describe Rasmussen, merely the method they use. Election polls come out in 3 basic forms: Adults, Registered Voters and Likely Voters. Historically polls of Likely Voters are considered to be the more accurate of the 3 and especially so in the waning weeks.

           "What a difference a favorable Poll makes!"

What a difference thinking on your part might make!

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
4.1.7  Vic Eldred  replied to  Hallux @4.1.6    2 weeks ago

I called it, didn't I?

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
4.1.8  Sparty On  replied to  Hallux @4.1    2 weeks ago

Stop tilting at windmills.  

I picked the second poll that came up in a google search.    The one right below the 538 poll.

”Biden approval polls”

Google must be asleep at the switch to allow that poll to remain on the first page of that search .....

 
 
 
Hallux
Junior Principal
4.1.9  Hallux  replied to  Sparty On @4.1.8    2 weeks ago
Stop tilting at windmills.

It's part of the mellowing procession unto the grave, and honestly ... a lot of fun.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
4.1.10  Sparty On  replied to  Hallux @4.1.9    2 weeks ago

Lol ..... if you say so ....

 
 
 
squiggy
Sophomore Quiet
5  squiggy    3 weeks ago
  • Pro-Oz Group Releases Ad Black Democrats Fear Could Cost Fetterman Election

Here comes a true story about a vigilante and a shotgun.

 
 
 
SteevieGee
Masters Silent
5.1  SteevieGee  replied to  squiggy @5    2 weeks ago

Black people defend themselves all the time.  They don't call the cops.  The cops aren't around to protect black people.  The cops are there to protect white people.  That's the way is is.  It's been that way for so long that it's ingrained in black culture.

 
 
 
squiggy
Sophomore Quiet
5.1.1  squiggy  replied to  SteevieGee @5.1    2 weeks ago

You've obviously missed the boat. You, and many of the blissful, should search -  shotgun  fetterman  -  maybe even throw in -  racist  - and form your own opinions.

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
5.1.2  Ronin2  replied to  SteevieGee @5.1    2 weeks ago

The trust fund baby, Uncle Fester wannabe, is now black? You sure about that? That is the only way what you wrote makes any damn sense.

In 2013, when he was mayor, Mr. Fetterman used his shotgun to stop an unarmed Black jogger and detain him, telling the police that he had heard shots fired near his home and spotted the man running, according to the police report. “Fetterman continued to yell and state that he knows this male was shooting,” the police report says. Two other people told police they had heard several shots as well.

An officer who patted down the man, Christopher Miyares, then 28, found no weapons. The officer noted that Mr. Miyares was wearing running clothes and headphones. Mr. Miyares was released.

On Tuesday, in response to questions from The Times, Mr. Fetterman’s campaign shared a new two-and-a-half minute video in which the candidate described the incident and defended himself — a sign that his campaign anticipated that the events from eight years ago would resurface with potential political fallout for his Senate bid.

In the video, Mr. Fetterman says that he was outside his home with his 4-year-old son when he heard “this crushing burst of gunfire,” and “I immediately made a series of split-second decisions.”

He said he saw someone “dressed entirely in black and a face mask” running in the direction of an elementary school. Noting that the date, in January 2013, was not long after the Sandy Hook school shooting, Mr. Fetterman said, “I made the decision to stop him from going any further until the first responders could arrive.”

According to accounts Mr. Fetterman gave in 2013 to local media, he chased the man in his pickup truck and used a 20-gauge shotgun he kept in the truck to hold him until the police appeared.

“I believe I did the right thing,” Mr. Fetterman told WTAE-TV at the time. “But I may have broken the law in the course of it. I’m certainly not above the law.”

Mr. Miyares told the TV station in 2013 that Mr. Fetterman had pointed the gun at his chest; the mayor denied doing so. Mr. Miyares said the incident unnerved him, and he maintained that what Mr. Fetterman took to be gunshots were bottle rockets set off by a group of kids. Mr. Fetterman said no traces of fireworks were found in the area.

No charges related to the incident were brought against Mr. Fetterman, who was in his second of four terms as mayor. A search of public court records did not find any complaint or action taken by Mr. Miyares following the incident. A spokesman for the Allegheny County Police Department said on Tuesday that Mr. Miyares never filed a complaint with the department.

The all powerful D behind Fetterman's name saved him. Seems Democrats don't give a shit about racists in their own party. "Heard gun shots. Quick chase down the nearest black male in my pickup and hold him hostage at gun point until authorities arrive". Fetter broke the law. There is no damn "may have" about it. You are correct about one thing. His victim didn't file charges because he knew a white male Democrat is above the law.

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
6  Drinker of the Wry    2 weeks ago

Shotgun, Fetterman - an easily weaponized issue.

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
6.1  Texan1211  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @6    2 weeks ago
Shotgun, Fetterman - an easily weaponized issue

I am sure our more liberal Democratic friends will manage to spin it somehow.

 
 
 
bugsy
Professor Participates
6.1.1  bugsy  replied to  Texan1211 @6.1    2 weeks ago

I feel like they will say the black guy was probably a Republican, so he deserved the shotgun drawn on him.

 
 
 
Texan1211
Professor Principal
6.1.2  Texan1211  replied to  bugsy @6.1.1    2 weeks ago

That's as good of a guess as any.

Maybe it was just fake news!

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Freshman Principal
6.1.3  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  Texan1211 @6.1.2    2 weeks ago

maybe, but I liked the pun.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
6.2  Sparty On  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @6    2 weeks ago

Shotgun fetterman ..... shotgun joe ..... coincidence?
I think not .....

 
 
 
Tacos!
Professor Expert
7  Tacos!    2 weeks ago
President Joe Biden is leading former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch

Yuck. I hope neither one of them runs again. I didn’t like this choice in 2020, and I like it even less now. Please, someone else - someone with sharp mental faculties and pulse - run for this office.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
7.1  Vic Eldred  replied to  Tacos! @7    2 weeks ago
Yuck. I hope neither one of them runs again.

The younger versions will run. Newsom vs DeSantis will make it easy on all of us.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
8  Vic Eldred    2 weeks ago

Here are some interesting polls:

"Georgia Republican Senate nominee Herschel Walker and incumbent GOP Gov. Brian Kemp are both widening their leads over their Democratic opponents, according to a poll."

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/polling/georgia-republicans-walker-kemp-widen-lead-over-democratic-opponents-poll?utm_source=sf&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=twjs

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Principal
8.1  Sparty On  replied to  Vic Eldred @8    2 weeks ago

Well .... that poll must be wrong and worthless.

It just can’t be accurate .......

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
8.1.1  Vic Eldred  replied to  Sparty On @8.1    2 weeks ago

Can you imagine if it were a Rasmussen Poll?

 
 

Who is online

arkpdx
shona1
JohnRussell
Ed-NavDoc


33 visitors