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After Donald Trump is indicted, most Republicans still want him to run for president in 2024 | YouGov

  
Via:  John Russell  •  3 years ago  •  10 comments

By:   Linley SandersSenior Data Journalist (YouGovUS)

After Donald Trump is indicted, most Republicans still want him to run for president in 2024 | YouGov
This week, 61% of Republicans say Donald Trump should run, the highest share of Republicans who have said this since the question started being asked in July 2022.

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S E E D E D   C O N T E N T



Former President Trump has used the news of his New York indictment to raise funds for his 2024 election campaign in recent days — indicating that Trump's team sees an opportunity to turn his legal misfortune into political capital.

That effort could be successful among Republicans. In the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, most Republicans continue to want Trump to run for the White House in 2024. This week, 61% of Republicans say he should run, the highest share of Republicans who have said this since the question started being asked in July 2022. One-quarter of Republicans do not want to see Trump run for the White House next year.

Trump has held a comfortable lead over his presumed top rival for the GOP nomination, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, in recent head-to-head contests, after DeSantis had led last November in YouGovsurveys that asked the question slightly differently. In a February YouGov poll, Republicans and Independents who lean toward the Republican Party preferred Trump (47%) over DeSantis (36%) by a 12-percentage-point margin. (Numbers don't add up precisely because of rounding.) In this poll Trump's lead has expanded to 17 points: Trump 50%, DeSantis 33%. Other YouGov polling conducted after the indictment found that Republicans are rallying around Trump, but it remains to be seen whether that trend will continue.

DeSantis and Trump receive similarly favorable assessments from Republicans in this poll. DeSantis is thought of very or somewhat favorably by 73% of Republicans, up 3 points from two weeks ago. In both polls, 13% of Republicans say they are very or somewhat unfavorable toward him. Trump receives a favorable rating from 79% of Republicans (up 4 points in a week), with 19% now unfavorable towards him (down 1 point since last week's poll).

As for the possibility of another Trump vs. Biden contest in the 2024 general election, most Americans are not enthusiastic: Majorities say each of them should not run in 2024. Among members of each man's party, while 61% of Republicans want Trump to run, just 48% of Democrats want Biden to run. Democrats' enthusiasm for Biden's candidacy has consistently run behind Republicans' enthusiasm for Trump's campaign since at least last summer.

Registered voters are almost evenly split between Biden (42%) and Trump (44%), within the poll's margin of error, when asked to consider a hypothetical 2024 rematch between them. The margin is even tighter among Americans overall (38% for Biden, 40% for Trump).

Trump's standing has improved from a January poll, in which 46% of registered voters said they would vote for Biden and 42% for Trump. In that poll, 42% of Americans preferred Biden over Trump (36%).

—Carl Bialik and Taylor Orth contributed to this article

See the toplines and crosstabs from the Economist/YouGov poll conducted on April 1 - 4, 2023 among 1,500 U.S. adult citizens.

Methodology: Respondents were selected from YouGov's opt-in panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent's most recent answer given prior to June 1, 2022, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (34% Democratic, 31% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

Image: Getty Images (Joe Raedle)


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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JohnRussell    3 years ago

Trump receives a favorable rating from 79% of Republicans (up 4 points in a week), with 19% now unfavorable towards him (down 1 point since last week's poll).

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Hal A. Lujah
Professor Participates
2  Hal A. Lujah    3 years ago

I think they secretly want to lose the election, because complaining about how Democrats govern the country is so much easier than attempting to govern the country as a Republican.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
3  seeder  JohnRussell    3 years ago

According to this poll 4 out of every 5 Republicans hold a favorable view of Donald Trump. 

It is KNOWN, not speculated, KNOWN that he sat watching tv on Jan 6th for hours and did nothing to stop the rioting at the nation's capitol. 

A normal person would consider such behavior absolutely disqualifying for attempting to hold office in the future. I guess 80% of Republicans are not normal. 

Obviously this is a big problem for the country, but whose responsibility is it to fix it? 

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
3.1  Greg Jones  replied to  JohnRussell @3    3 years ago

"I guess 80% of Republicans are not normal." 

 I would speculate that your assumption is a sweeping generalization, based on wishful thinking.

Do you really think those wild eyed zealots would have paid any attention to anything Trump might have said?

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
3.1.1  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Greg Jones @3.1    3 years ago

Numerous people who were THERE testified to the Jan 6 committee that Trump watched tv during the period the riot was taking place. Eventually Pence had to be the one to order the National Guard to the capitol. These are not guesses or generalizations, they are facts. 

As far as the zealots not listening to Trump that day, what does that have to do with him watching tv instead of trying to do something to end the riot? 

The truth is right in front of everyones face. Trump didnt try and stop the riot or insurrection , because he wanted it to succeed. That was his last chance to stop the electoral vote count. 

No one in America should consider him fit to hold office again. 

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
4  Greg Jones    3 years ago

Unless Biden is replaced, Trump will likely beat him in a rematch.

Whoever ends up getting the Republican nomination gets my vote.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
4.1  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Greg Jones @4    3 years ago
It is KNOWN, not speculated, KNOWN that he sat watching tv on Jan 6th for hours and did nothing to stop the rioting at the nation's capitol. 

A normal person would consider such behavior absolutely disqualifying for attempting to hold office in the future. I guess 80% of Republicans are not normal. 

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
4.2  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Greg Jones @4    3 years ago
Unless Biden is replaced, Trump will likely beat him in a rematch. Whoever ends up getting the Republican nomination gets my vote

I guess you are losing faith in DeSantis. LOL. 

 
 
 
Thrawn 31
Professor Participates
4.3  Thrawn 31  replied to  Greg Jones @4    3 years ago
Unless Biden is replaced, Trump will likely beat him in a rematch.

Lol, dude... Biden campaigned from  his basement (as Trump loved to say) and beat Trump. Trump has NEVER had a positive approval rating. He lost the popular vote in 2016 and only won the presidency because of 74000 votes spread across 3 states (as razor thin imaginable), his candidates lost winnable seats in 2020 and 2022.

HE IS A FUCKING LOSER.

 
 

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