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What Happens To Ukraine And NATO If Trump Gets Back In Office ?

  
Via:  John Russell  •  2 years ago  •  21 comments


What Happens To Ukraine And NATO  If Trump Gets Back In Office ?
I think I know what his intention was when Trump pressed NATO allies to spend more. It wasn't the same reason that many of us for many, many years have pressed them to spend more to make NATO stronger. It was to push NATO into a position where he could announce withdrawal. And I think, I think that's still his motivation. I think Putin is just waiting for him to come back to do that.

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Rick Wilson -

You know, you and I I both come from the right side of the fence, but there was a great historical tradition in the US from Truman forward that we took the Russians with a big grain of salt. We tried to make sure that we addressed this,  that very pro Putin sort of position, the pinnacle of it being Helsinki and now the Republican flip on Ukraine. What do you see as the future right now of Ukraine in the course of this giant debate we're having in Washington over funding the additional military aid they need to keep up the fight against Putin?

John Bolton - 

I'm very worried about Ukraine. I think it's in a perilous position. I think the Tucker Carlson interview with Vladimir Putin demonstrates Putin is now doing something I was afraid of for the past year, he's now basically saying he's prepared to negotiate. I think he needs a ceasefire to regroup. He will basically double Russian control over Ukrainian territory, although with a terrible human cost from Russia's point of view. But if Putin is given time he'll be back at it. I think Biden will jump at the chance to negotiate a ceasefire in Ukraine, to take one major problem off the table in front of him I'm very much afraid the Europeans would just like to turn the page on the whole thing. The looming possibility of a Trump presidency has to worry Zelensky and his government

So with with our inability to get legislative approval of the necessary assistance for Ukraine ,Putin has moved into a prime position and I think Trump will exacerbate that with his comments. So it's it really requires people to speak up for the reasons why we aid Ukraine. This isn't charity for the Ukrainians. We're doing this because it's in our interest to do it, and I won't spell out all the arguments here, but  but this is the fundamental problem with explaining to the isolationist, both in the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that our way of life here at home depends on a strong position internationally. When we show weakness in Ukraine, it's not just to the Russians, it's to the Chinese. It's to Iran. It's the North Korea. It's to our allies as well, who worry about our staying power.

Rick Wilson -

.... What do you think happens to NATO if you know we get Trump back in office what's your thought on how what our security architecture looks if we don't help Ukraine and Trump comes back?

John Bolton

Well, I I think Trump will almost certainly try to withdraw from NATO. He almost did it in 2018. He's not changed his view. His comments are a little bit opaque at the moment, but I think I know what his intention was when Trump pressed NATO allies to spend more. It wasn't the same reason that many of us for many, many years have pressed them to spend more to make NATO stronger.

It was to push NATO into a position where he could announce withdrawal. And I think, I think that's still his motivation. I think Putin is just waiting for him to come back to do that. That would be a catastrophic mistake for the United States,  and would obviously have immediate negative implications for Ukraine. Trump has said is he would get Zelensky and Putin in a room together and solve it in 24 hours, which of course is ridiculous. A meeting like that would fail. Obviously it's not Donald Trump's fault, it never is when failure happens, it has to be somebody else. And I don't think he would blame his friend Vladimir Putin. So that's just another reason that underlines why we need to get this pending aid to Ukraine so they can stave off the the kinds of pressure I'm afraid they're about to see. 


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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JohnRussell    2 years ago

from someone who was in the room

I think Trump will almost certainly try to withdraw from NATO. He almost did it in 2018. He's not changed his view. His comments are a little bit opaque at the moment, but I think I know what his intention was when Trump pressed NATO allies to spend more. It wasn't the same reason that many of us for many, many years have pressed them to spend more to make NATO stronger.
 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1  Sparty On  replied to  JohnRussell @1    2 years ago

Now liberals trust John Bolton.

Hilarious! 

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1.1.1  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Sparty On @1.1    2 years ago

I trust him more than I trust Trump, which is sad to have to say. 

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1.2  Sparty On  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1.1    2 years ago

Of course.    [TROLLING]

My understanding of it was Trump held our NATO allies feet to the fire on paying their agreed upon percentage for NATO.    Which many to that date had not for many years.    The USA always has to my knowledge.

Many started working towards paying it after Trump pressured them.   The only President evidently willing to do that.  Democrat or Republican.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1.1.3  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Sparty On @1.1.2    2 years ago

John Bolton, who was in the room, says Trump wants to take the US out of NATO. 

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1.4  Sparty On  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1.3    2 years ago

Yes and now you trust his opinion.   Only because it is anti Trump.

Only.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1.5  Sparty On  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1.3    2 years ago

The guy in the room you trust:

Bolton came into office sharing with Trump a volcanic aversion to Obama’s Iran nuclear deal, which lifted sanctions in return for a pledge to follow more restrictions on uranium enrichment and to allow for U.N. inspections. Bolton had long advocated bombing Iranian nuclear-enrichment facilities, an argument he made with characteristic flair in a 2015 New York Times column headlined, “To stop Iran’s bomb, bomb Iran.”

Bolton got his chance in 2019 when Iran shot down an unmanned U.S. drone. He favored a retaliatory strike, but Trump ultimately opted against it after hearing estimates of possible civilian casualties. He said “he didn’t want a lot of body bags on television.”

“This was the most irrational thing I ever witnessed any president do,” Bolton wrote.

That passage has garnered attention from Bolton critics, including Fleitz — his former chief of staff — who said in an interview that it undercut a central thesis of Bolton’s book: that Trump has no principles.

“Trump stood up to them on principles,” Fleitz said.

Remember that one?

 
 
 
Kavika
Professor Expert
1.1.6  Kavika   replied to  Sparty On @1.1.2    2 years ago
Many started working towards paying it after Trump pressured them.   The only President evidently willing to do that.  Democrat or Republican.

The trend started in 2014/15 to the current date and has climbed every year.

Yes, the US always has.

The only President evidently willing to do that.  Democrat or Republican.

No, he wasn't, Others have including Bush Jr. and Obama.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1.7  Sparty On  replied to  Kavika @1.1.6    2 years ago

I’ll take your word for it.   Tables on an iPhone are a bitch

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
1.1.8  Sparty On  replied to  Sparty On @1.1.2    2 years ago

The truth is never trolling …..

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
2  Ronin2    2 years ago

Ukraine already served it's purpose- it has degraded Russia's military to the point that it is no longer an immediate threat to Europe/NATO.

Ukraine offers the US absolutely nothing. 

It should be up to the EU/NATO(not including US) if they want to continue to support the war in Ukraine.

As for NATO- they have learned absolutely nothing from Russia invading Ukraine; except the US will rush to fill the breach caused by their unwillingness to pay to defend themselves.

Wasn't the EU supposed to start their own military the last time Trump scared them so damn badly?

President Donald Trump on Monday   unloaded on the U.S.’s European allies , and appeared to threaten to pull out of NATO, upon returning home from a World War I memorial event in Paris, where French President Emmanuel Macron openly rebuked Trump’s political philosophy in a speech the day before. Trump returned to his old talking points   — that the U.S. is treated unfairly within NATO while maintaining trade deficits with those countries — as   Macron talked up the idea of a European army   that would, in part, serve to protect the continent from the U.S.

So where is the fucking EU army to protect all of Europe? It has only been 6 years since Macron issued that "threat".

Europeans need to STFU and take care of their own defense for a change- instead of relying on the US to do the heavy lifting all of the damn time. We would welcome the break of having to finance a military that literally has to protect the whole damn planet.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
2.1  Sparty On  replied to  Ronin2 @2    2 years ago

Spot on.

 
 
 
Kavika
Professor Expert
2.2  Kavika   replied to  Ronin2 @2    2 years ago
Ukraine offers the US absolutely nothing. 

Then you should re-read your first comment and make necessary corrections.

It should be up to the EU/NATO(not including US) if they want to continue to support the war in Ukraine.

First off NATO is the organization for the defense of it's members, the EU is not nor do all the countries belong to both organizations. The US as a member is obliged to come to the aid of any other member that is attacked (article 5) just as all NATO countries came our aid after 9/11 the first time in history that Article 5 was invoked and some non NATO countries also came to our aid, Ukraine being one of them.

Wasn't the EU supposed to start their own military the last time Trump scared them so damn badly?

As explained before the EU isn't the military defense organization, NATO is.

Europeans need to STFU and take care of their own defense for a change- instead of relying on the US to do the heavy lifting all of the damn time. We would welcome the break of having to finance a military that literally has to protect the whole damn planet.

Not true these are figures.

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The US figure is less than 10% of the US annual DOD budget and for that, we have contributed to the destruction of the Russian army. We have learned much more about Russia and its capabilities and much more about how effective our and our NATO allies weapons are.

NATO and Non NATO countries have ordered billions of dollars worth of weapon systems from us over and above the orders pre Ukraine war.

US weapons sales overseas rose sharply last year, reaching a record total of $238bn (£187bn), as Russia's invasion of Ukraine stoked demand. The US government directly negotiated $81bn in sales, a 56% increase from 2022, the state department reported. Jan 29, 2024
 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
3  Nerm_L    2 years ago

Why do we need to waste more taxpayer money on a worthless European institution?  Vladimir Putin ain't afraid of Joe Biden, the United States, or NATO.  The invasion of Ukraine attests to that.  NATO was operating in Ukraine before the invasion but cut and ran at the first threat.  NATO is not a deterrent against Russia; that's what the Russian invasion of Ukraine means.  NATO does not serve a useful function any longer.

And Ukraine is nothing more than a money pit.  Ukraine will be another Turkey.  With allies like that we don't need to worry about Russia.

 
 
 
Kavika
Professor Expert
4  Kavika     2 years ago

Trump cannot if he becomes president again withdraw from NATO without the consent of Congress and a 2/3 vote.

Amid such rhetoric, the U.S. Congress passed a bill in December aimed at preventing any U.S. president from unilaterally withdrawing from the alliance without congressional approval.
 
 
 
Just Jim NC TttH
Professor Expert
4.1  Just Jim NC TttH  replied to  Kavika @4    2 years ago

That's why it is stupid as hell to discuss it at all.................

 
 
 
Kavika
Professor Expert
4.1.2  Kavika   replied to  Just Jim NC TttH @4.1    2 years ago

It's always best to clear up any misconceptions.

 
 
 
Sparty On
Professor Guide
4.2  Sparty On  replied to  Kavika @4    2 years ago

Exactly 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
5  Sean Treacy    2 years ago

Trump armed Ukraine, overturning Obama's policy and pushed for NATO to live up to its defense commitments, making it stronger.  Probably expect more of the same in a second term. 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
5.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  Sean Treacy @5    2 years ago

Was he wrong? "The fact is that Ukraine, a non-NATO member, is going to be vulnerable to military domination by Russia no matter what we do"

 
 

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