It's Over.......Now What?
A big shift in the House, a strong Republican showing in the Senate, seven Democratic gains in the Gubernatorial races. Significant gains by the Democrats in many state legislatures. Left turn votes on issues that were on the ballot. A few marquis races that are too close to call are still out there. What does it all mean?
1. The nation prefers a divided government. This is not new. Ever since the end of WWII, voters have almost always preferred government where one party provided a check and balance over the other party. It does appear that the Republicans and the Democrats are going to move to the center in order to get any substantial legislation done.
2. There are fewer and fewer moderates in both Houses. A reality is that both the left and right will move toward the center.
3. The 2020 election cycle is now much more interesting. The Republicans face a Senate electoral map much like the Democrats did this year. Twenty two Republicans vs. eleven Democrats are up for election in a Presidential year. It is now much more likely that a moderate Republican such as Kasich will primary Trump.
4. The redistricting of America is going to be much more difficult for Republicans with the Democrats making major gains in the states, both on a gubernatorial and legislative level.
5. Intelligent politicians are going to be more bi-partisan in passing legislation.
6. As the demographics of the country change, more and more people are voting Democratic. This election showed almost 10,000,000 more Democratic votes over Republicans.
7. The courts will continue to become more conservative as the nation becomes more liberal. Holding the Senate was the key victory for Republicans and the most satisfying area for President Trump. Courts will be stacked with as many conservatives as possible.
8. Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania went strongly Democratic. Only Mike DeWine in Ohio won his electoral bid. Every other major political office in the rust belt went Democratic. If the 2020 elections hold on to this trend, President Trump might be a one term President.
9. Public sentiment on the many issues of the day is becoming more left. Questions on Medicare expansion, legalization of recreational marijuana, transgender and gay rights, all won in states as diverse as South Dakota and Massachusetts.
10. It is likely that the "wall" is dead. Since the Democrats won the House, they also control the spending of this nation. There is going to be a more reasonable tone on these issues.
11. Some of the reddest states in the Union are moving toward purple status. The overall results of this election signify that. Texas, Georgia, Florida, Arizona and other former Republican bastions are moving toward, or have already moved toward purple status. This may be the largest take away from this election.
12. There will be a number of investigations from the House that were stymied during the first two years of the Trump Presidency. House Oversight, Ways & Means, Judiciary, etc. will be bringing some old and some new scandals of this administration to the forefront. There might even be a shift of the Mueller investigation under the Judiciary committee.
13. The election demonstrated a marked shift in gender. More women than any time in history have been elected to office.
This is, of course, not a comprehensive list of take-aways from the election. There are numerous other possibilities that abound. This election, however, does signal a new day in American political history. The playing field is changing. We'll see how much it does change in the next two years. Bottom line, it's on to 2020 and the continued d/evolution of the United States.