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Norway calling out Russia's jamming shows European policy shift

  

Category:  World News

Via:  perrie-halpern  •  6 years ago  •  8 comments

Norway calling out Russia's jamming shows European policy shift
"There is a wider policy shift to call out Russia, because of the increased intensity of challenges," one expert said.

S E E D E D   C O N T E N T



By   Alexander Smith

The accusation was direct and unflinching: Russian forces stationed in the Arctic Circle had been jamming NATO's GPS signals during the alliance's largest military exercise since the Cold War.

The alleged incident happened during   Trident Juncture , a huge, two-week drill hosted in Norway last month, involving 50,000 personnel from 31 countries.

Last week Norway revealed that Russian forces stationed in the nearby Kola Peninsula had been jamming their GPS signals during the exercise. Finland summoned the Russian ambassador and NATO called it "dangerous, disruptive and irresponsible."

Russia denies the allegations. And experts say attempting to disrupt a military exercise on its doorstep is nothing new.

But the incident was notable because it showed how Washington's European allies are changing their tactics to deal with Moscow's alleged misdeeds.

Before, Western countries may have tried to address Russia's actions in closed diplomatic sessions. Now they are openly reprimanding them.

NATO and its partner states have shifted to a "public engagement campaign, which basically calls people out for cyber attacks, jamming and disruptive behavior to try and deter and discourage it," said Jack Watling, a research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), a think tank based in London.

This change was not an official one; there was no speech, written statement or policy document signalling that allies were going to take a different approach.

But analysts say that it's been clear nonetheless; a demonstrable change of tactic after the ex-spy Sergei Skripal was poisoned —   allegedly on Kremlin orders   — on British soil in March this year.

"There is a wider policy shift to call out Russia because of the increased intensity of challenges," ranging from military threats and spying to hacking and signal jamming, according to Gustav Gressel, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank. "That policy-shift is shared by most NATO countries."

The Europeans now feel that "it does not make sense to address these issues in closed diplomatic sessions with Russia, as Russian diplomats would only deny and outright lie," Gressel added.

With Skripal, U.K. authorities   laid out in painstaking detail   how two men they identified as agents with Russia's military intelligence agency, commonly known by its old acronym, the GRU, had traveled to the English city of Salisbury and poisoned their target.

Six months of meticulous investigation allowed British police to trace the route they had taken, right down to the flights they boarded, the trains they rode and the hotels where they stayed.

That incident appeared to signal that the gloves were off.

In April, Dutch authorities busted an alleged GRU plot to hack into the headquarters of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in the Hague.

When they   r evealed the sting months later , as with the Skripal case, their investigators showed in forensic detail how the four men had traveled from Moscow to the Netherlands — right down to their taxi receipts.

Hours before this information was made public, back in early October, the British government, backed by New Zealand and Australia,   again named and shamed the GRU   as being behind a number of "indiscriminate and reckless cyber attacks targeting political institutions, businesses, media and sport" around the world.

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Perrie Halpern R.A.
Professor Expert
1  seeder  Perrie Halpern R.A.    6 years ago

What has surprised me, is that it took this long for the world to wake up to the fact that Russia is really a bad player on the world stage. "Why?" is really the big question. 

 
 
 
epistte
Junior Participates
1.1  epistte  replied to  Perrie Halpern R.A. @1    6 years ago
What has surprised me, is that it took this long for the world to wake up to the fact that Russia is really a bad player on the world stage. "Why?" is really the big question. 

Russia wants to be top dog in the world power stage and this is how they plan to do it. They want to show everyone that they are vulnerable if the Russians choose to act. The Russians have been disrupting elections across Europe and it is very likely that they can blackmail Trump if they choose to do so, so he is their puppet by disrupting normal politics and the economy in the US.

 
 
 
Nowhere Man
Junior Participates
1.1.1  Nowhere Man  replied to  epistte @1.1    6 years ago

Well didn't take long to blame this on T-rump also....

But then how does one explain the aggressive flyovers of our naval ships in attack posture during the Obama Presidency?

Or the aggressive subversion tactics during the Bush administration?

Russia is getting aggressive cause of two reasons, they have greater resources and they have the opinion that we are weak and vacillating.

And trying out new technology in operational fashion is a good way to test it's effectiveness. WE do have to remember the Gulf War, almost everyone was gambling that our advanced tech weapons would not work in sustained conflict.

they were all caught with their pants down when they, for the most part, did... (and were 100 times more effective than anyone thought they would be especially taking all their electronics offline)

They have been playing catch-up ever since....

It's good that they are being called out, just don't make the mistake of allowing them to KNOW that they are catching up to us, that would be a very dangerous situation for the world.

 
 
 
Ronin2
Professor Quiet
1.1.2  Ronin2  replied to  epistte @1.1    6 years ago
and it is very likely that they can blackmail Trump if they choose to do so, so he is their puppet by disrupting normal politics and the economy in the US.

I am sure you have absolute proof of this? TDS, TDS, TDS.  Russia is still disrupting life in the US w/o needing to do one damn thing. The left has fallen for the faux Russia/Trump collusion hook line and sinker. The Russia bots had adds both for and against Trump during and after the campaign. They organized rallies both for and against Trump both during and after the campaign. But keep the damn blinders on.

Show us one example of Trump going easy on Russia.

Sanctions still in place? Yes, and increased since Trump took office.

So much so, the sanctions resemble a  Russian nesting doll : one sanction of top of another, on top of another.

Just last April, the Trump administration imposed  new sanctions  on Russia — including strict sanctions on seven of Russia’s richest individuals and 17 top government officials for their interference in our elections.

The sanctions directly penalized President Vladimir Putin’s inner circle by prohibiting them from traveling to the United States ever again. He did this by opening a bank account in the West, preventing them from doing business with the West and prohibiting anyone else to do business on their behalf.

The sanctions were significant — among the toughest sanctions ever placed on individuals in a foreign country, with the exception of perhaps Iran and North Korea. Yet like many of Trump’s successes, it received minimal mainstream media coverage.

During his first month in office in January 2017, President Trump  upheld strict sanctions  to punish Russia for its unlawful 2014 annexation of Crimea. With those sanctions, the Trump administration punished more than three dozen individuals and organizations that were behind the invasion of Ukraine.

Even Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin had a hand in the actions, stating that there would be no easing of the sanctions until Russia meets its obligations under the 2015 Minsk agreement — the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.

In August 2017, Trump  signed a bill  slapping even more sanctions on Russia — this time specifically aimed at the country’s energy and defense industries. Congress made the legislation Trump-proof, meaning that no executive order could ever undo such sanctions; yet Trump signed it anyway.

In fact it was Trump — not Obama — who  ordered the closure  of Russian diplomatic properties in San Francisco, Washington, D.C., and New York City that appeared to be a threat to American security.

It was also President Trump who shuttered the Russian consulate in  Seattle .

To be sure, Obama kicked 35  Russian diplomats  out of the country after suspected election meddling by Russia, but only after Trump won the 2016 election. It is questionable whether he would have done so had Hillary Clinton succeeded in being the victor.

Furthermore, it was President Trump who led the world in  expelling Russian diplomats  after the Russian government was suspected of carrying out a nerve agent attack in the United Kingdom against one of their former spies. President Trump moved swiftly to expel 60 Russian diplomats from U.S. soil, and other countries followed suit by expelling dozens as well.

In addition to stringent sanctions, President Trump has also called out Russia publicly.

During a landmark  speech  last year in Poland, Trump lambasted Russia for using oil to hold NATO’s Eastern European countries hostage. Trump underscored the dangers of those countries’ dependence on Russian oil deliveries to keep their people warm during the winter, leading to their inability to criticize Russia the rest of the year.

The Trump administration even offered to help identify alternative energy sources for the region. Trump’s remarks on European soil was the energy industry equivalent of Reagan’s “tear down that wall” speech.

The State Department notified Congress on Wednesday of the first of two potential tranches of sanctions required under the 1991 law. Unless Russia takes certain steps, a second set of penalties -- more stringent than this first round -- must follow, according to the law.
The first set of sanctions targets certain items the US exports to Russia that could have military uses -- so-called dual use technologies. These are sensitive goods that normally would go through a case-by-case review before they are exported. With these sanctions, the exports will be presumptively denied.
A senior State Department official said there would be carve-outs however.
The US would then require Russia to assure over the next 90 days that it is no longer using chemical or biological weapons and will not do so in the future. Additionally, the criteria in the law call for Russia to allow on-site inspectors to ensure compliance.
The official said that if Russia did not meet the demands, the US "will have to consider whether to impose a second tranche of sanctions as specified by the statute."
Dmitry Polyanskiy, first deputy permanent representative of Russia to the UN, dismissed the sanctions in a tweet on Wednesday responding to the news.
"The theater of absurd continues. No proofs, no clues, no logic, no presumption of innocense, just highly-liklies. Only one rule: blame everything on Russia, no matter how absurd and fake it is. Let us welcome the United Sanctions of America!" Polyanskiy tweeted.
The United Kingdom welcomed the move from the US on Wednesday. In a short statement, a government spokesperson said, "The strong international response to the use of a chemical weapon on the streets of Salisbury sends an unequivocal message to Russia that its provocative, reckless behaviour will not go unchallenged."

Not the 'last shoe to drop'

A former Defense Department official, Mark Simakovsky, said a second tranche would target Russian exports to the US and theoretically could include flights by the state airline Aeroflot as well as a downgrade of diplomatic relations. Simakovsky said he was highly skeptical a second round would be applied. That said, he added, "I don't think this is the last shoe to drop" because of political pressure, criticism from Democrats and the looming midterm elections.
Also, if Trump was a Russian puppet why would Putin allow him to insert US ground forces in Syria; upping the ante yet again?

The U.S. has had a military presence in Syria since early 2016 to train and advise Kurdish and Arab rebel forces fighting ISIS in northern and eastern parts of the country. Those troops are backed up by forces from other countries like the United Kingdom and France that make up the anti-ISIS coalition .

The size of the U.S. force in Syria has grown to roughly 2,000 troops -- up from 500 at the beginning of last year -- and the troops have aided their Kurdish and Arab partner forces, known as the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), in making massive strides in the fight against ISIS.

The U.S.-led fight against ISIS has continuously been distracted by Syrian-, Russian-, and Iranian-affiliated forces, operating in an ever-congested battlespace. At times, the U.S. has had military encounters with each of those forces.

Over the summer, the U.S. conducted airstrikes against Iranian-backed militias and shot down pro-regime drones that encroached on American forces in a remote corner of southern Syria.

Even more dramatically, the U.S. shot down a Syrian aircraft after it dropped a bomb near SDF fighters. It was the first time the U.S. had shot at a manned aircraft since 1999.

In early February, a force that included Russian mercenaries opened fire on U.S. forces east of the Euphrates River, causing the Americans to kill at least “dozens” of Russians, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry.

But the U.S. military says the goal continues to be the defeat of ISIS, even as the U.S. presence acts a deterrent from other regional powers gaining a foothold in other parts of Syria.

"The hard part, I think, is in front of us," Gen. Joseph Votel, the U.S. Central Command chief, told an audience at the U.S. Institute of Peace earlier this month, "and that is stabilizing these areas, consolidating our gains, getting people back into their homes, addressing the long-term issues of reconstruction and other things that will have to be done."

There are 11 USAID and State Department officials overseeing larger teams that work on de-mining, rubble removal, restoring services like water and electricity, and rebuilding schools and hospitals. The work will allow residents to return to their homes and stabilize the area from becoming a breeding ground for terrorist groups.

The U.N. last estimated in December that about 715,000 people have been able to return to their homes -- in part due to these stabilization efforts.

There are currently an estimated 2,000 American troops in Syria, according to the Pentagon. The influx of forces transformed what had been an initial band of commandos in armored pickups into a scaled-down version of the sprawling military presence in neighboring Iraq.

They are spread across hundreds of miles of Syrian territory – contending with a potential Turkish offensive into Kurdish areas in Manbij, and into the middle Euphrates River Valley, where the remnants of the Islamic State are still holding out in the country’s east.

The Pentagon has said it is focused on eradicating the Islamic State extremists, and is fighting in areas that are uncomfortably near Syrian troops and Iranian forces. The United States military has had to deconflict airspace with Russian fighter jets in Syria. And American troops have crossed paths with Russian mercenaries and Iranian-backed militias, including a pitched battle in February and on the Iraqi border last spring. And in June, a United States military jet shot down a Syrian warplane that was trying to bomb American-backed fighters on the ground.

As a result, the combination of foreign actors, militants and local allies have vexed American commanders who are trying to keep their troops out of harm’s way without setting off an international confrontation.

Beyond the contingent of Special Operations forces, the American presence in Syria includes conventional troops tasked with securing rural outposts, engineers for base construction, airmen for flight operations and trainers for the Syrian Democratic Forces, according to defense officials.

If Trump is a Russian puppet he is a horrible one. Of course Russia couldn't be meddling in US elections as payback for the US flipping buffer states over to NATO; trying to remove a key Russian ally in Syria; and backing a anti-Russian coup in the Ukraine.  Putin couldn't have been anti Hillary over Bill's war with Serbia.  He wouldn't think twice about having Hillary in charge with her over the top push to remove Assad from Syria; and her calls for a US enforced no fly zone over Syria.  Better still the US has never meddled in any foreign elections, including those of our allies (Obama meddling in Israel's election being the most recent).

Putin must be laughing at how easy it is to divide the US.  No reason for him to stop trying to influence us now.

 
 
 
MrFrost
Professor Guide
1.1.4  MrFrost  replied to    6 years ago
Also...if Russia is controlling elections in the US

Who said they were controlling the elections? 

 
 
 
Dean Moriarty
Professor Quiet
2  Dean Moriarty    6 years ago

I’d say the US is just getting a taste of our own medicine as we have been hacking into their computers for a very long time. We will need another Edward Snowden for the truth to really come to light. 

 
 
 
dave-2693993
Junior Quiet
3  dave-2693993    6 years ago

So, with regards to Russia being a bad player at the international level these days, last weekend they began playing "games" with Ukraine again.

Sat on it until a somewhat coherent story could be pieced together.

I do not know how familiar folks are with the geography over there with regards to Odessa, Crimea, Black Sea, Sea of Azov and the Kerch Straigt, but it looks like this:

_104481833_ukraine_crimea_russia_v2_624map-nc.png

Okay, sometime during the weekend, Ukraine calls Russia to say they are going to move a tugboat from Odessa to Mariupol.

In case anyone has forgotten, Russia "annexed" (stole) Crimea from Ukraine a few years ago. Then, this past year, Russia completed a bridge from Russia to Kerch at the Kerch Strait.

A little later the tug and it's escort of a couple light gun boats show up at that bridge only to find this scene:

_104484525_ad27dbe7-b6bf-4c14-91bc-2300def1926a.jpg

I don't know about anyone else, that is not a place I would expect to park a freighter OR expect to see a freighter parked.

Of course, according to the FSB, it was a "provocation" when the Ukrainian boats arrived and wanted a way past. Notice the "anguish" in the Russians voice when he must lower himself to pronounce the word Ukraine.

As the world turns and Russia continues to move un-checked.

P.S. This story gives background insight regarding Trumps concerns voiced about Moldova following his visit to Moscow to speak with Putin.

P.P.S. 10 Ukraine regions are now under Martia law. That is worth a separate post.

 
 

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