Coronavirus cases are on the rise in Texas and other states that reopened early, former FDA chief says
Watch what happens in the next week or two in states such as Alabama, South Dakota, and Texas 
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Related:
Trump says Fauci’s warnings about reopening amid coronavirus crisis are not ‘acceptable’
- Top coronavirus health expert Dr. Anthony Fauci’s recent warning about the potentially dire consequences of reopening states and schools too soon was “not an acceptable answer,” President Donald Trump said Wednesday.
- Trump told reporters at the White House that he was “surprised” by Fauci’s answers during a hearing before the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions.
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Mike Pence refused to wear a mask when visiting The Mayo Clinic. (Business Insider)
Alabama, South Dakota and Texas have already begun to see an uptick in confirmed coronavirus cases since they eased coronavirus restrictions and begun reopening nonessential businesses.
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey let the state’s stay-at-home order expire on April 30, allowing retail stores to reopen at 50% capacity.
South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem never issued a stay-at-home order and has offered guidance to businesses and schools on how to limit capacity to practice social distancing.
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott announced the decision to reopen some businesses, including malls, on May 1.
The bottom line is a lot of states are now reopening activity against a backdrop that doesn’t meet the criteria that the White House set out in terms of when it would be safe to reopen. We’re going to see cases go up now that we’re reopening.”
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Alabama, South Dakota and Texas have already begun to see an uptick in confirmed coronavirus cases since they eased coronavirus restrictions and begun reopening nonessential businesses..
The bottom line is a lot of states are now reopening activity against a backdrop that doesn’t meet the criteria that the White House set out in terms of when it would be safe to reopen.
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The number of cases isn't of as much interests to me as is the death count from the virus. You can't hide body bags.
Of course the Trump administration is pushing to change how the CDC counts the bodies to cover for it's dismal response to the pandemic.
All of the major cities in Texas were in the midst of increasing hospitalizations day after day when Abbott announced the reopening
but fatalities are low so no one gives a damn
and the hardest hit 30 counties are heavily Democratic, the other 224 counties of cattle and oil, not so much.
It seems in most areas there's a pattern. The first cases appear. Then for a while there's an extremely quick increase in the number if new cases each day. Then while still increasing, the rate of increase slows a bit although the total number continues to increase.
Then-- the death toll begins to rise...
Eventually all this tapers off in those areas.....
There also seems to be another pattern that's beginning to emerge.
After the daily death toll in first, hardest hit areas begins to drop dramatically, the pattern starts again. But this time in the areas that were previously considered fairly safe.
After the daily death toll in first, hardest hit areas begins to drop dramatically, the pattern starts again. But this time in the areas that were previously considered fairly safe.
While the number of both new cases and deaths in the original areas approaches zero, the new cases begin to start in other areas.
(The original areas were densely populated so the virus spread quickly-- but he pattern is just starting to begin in the rural, more sparsely populated areas...watch what happens there over the next two weeks or so...)
I remember that in the first states to get hit hard (with daily numbers of new cases) for a while there were few if any deaths. That starts to happen a bit later...
Absolutely predictable.
Absolutely predictable
If you don't actually look at the data and accept cherry picked numbers, sure it's predictable what narrative you are going to get. For starters, South Dakota never locked down, so including it as a data point to confirm what going on in "newly opening" states is obviously wrong. Plus, it's numbers are about 1/3 of what they were at it's peak in April.
Maybe you noticed that the states that have been locked down for months are among those seeing the biggest growths? Illinois had the most new cases again today. When Georgia opened up, Illinois had about 2,200 cases a day. The numbers have spiked to about 3,000 new infections a day this week. Guess what happened to Georgia, who was supposed to see a big spike in cases 2 weeks after it opened? The daily number of new cases are down. The predicted spike never happened. Meanwhile, Virginia, which continues to maintain shelter in place, continues to see increasing numbers of new cases on a daily basis.
If you look at the data, and not partisan hackery like this article, you'd see it's a mixed bag. Some states that have been locked down forever are still going up, some opened states are going down. And vice versa. There is no correlation between states opening and spikes in the infection rate.