Midterm Watch - Part 1: The Governors
Link to quote: https://nypost.com/2022/10/06/trafalgar-survey-suggests-kathy-hochul-barely-ahead-of-lee-zeldin/
We are now one month away from the midterm elections. The Republicans are expected to win the House and the Senate is still up for grabs, but another important story is how much, if at all, the radical policies of Joe Biden will effect the nation's governor's races. There are 36 Gubernatorial seats on the ballot this year. Some of these races like the race in California, aren't really contests. In the case of California, it isn't because Gov Newsom is so popular, it's because the state is so incredibly corrupt. However there are some very important races that are contentious and in some cases a true bellwether. Four races stand out.
Let us start with the suffering state of New York:
Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul, who served as lieutenant governor under Andrew Cuomo until his resignation, is running for Governor. We all remember when she took the helm, as Cuomo left under pressure and in disgrace. We knew little about her. Now that she has presided over New York's crime crisis, we know her well. She has done nothing about crime and has a legagy of awarding state contracts to her donors. New Yorkers might just be fed up enough to make a serious change.
Her opponent is Lee Michael Zeldin who has represented New York's 1st congressional district in the United States House of Representatives since 2015. Most importantly, he is a Republican running for Governor in a deep blue state. Shockingly, Zeldin is within 2 points of Hochul ( 44.5% to 42.6%) according to a reliable Trafalgar poll taken on Thursday:
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/NY-General-Poll-Report-1004.pdf
Arizona's open seat:
Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is term-limited. Arizona, once a red state has turned somewhat blue due to rampant illegal migration. This race has become one of the most closely watched gubernatorial races of 2022, featuring former TV anchor & Republican Kari Lake vs democrat Katie Hobbs. The problem for the GOP in this one is that Lake is what the media calls an election denier. It will be an uphill battle for Lake to overcome the 24/7 characterization.
Nevada and the re-election campaign of Gov. Steve Sisolak:
Sisolak like fellow democratic incumbent, U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, is in the fight of his political life. In this one the GOP has put forward a strong candidate in Joe Lombardo (not to be confused with the Outfit's street boss by the same name.) Sisolak has tried to make "abortion" the issue, while Lombardo has made Sisolak's performance as Governor the issue.
Oregon's open seat:
Here is another one where the Governor can not run because of term limits. That would have been radical democrat Kate Brown. This one is a 3 way race and each one of the candidates has a shot. Former House Speaker Tina Kotek, a democrat is running in big blue Oregon in hopes of becoming the first openly lesbian governor in the U.S. Credentials that could only be admired out on the west coast. The GOP has former state House Minority Leader Christine Drazan, who is well respected in crazyland. And as the fly in the ointment: former state Sen. Betsy Johnson, a democrat turned independent. The presence of the independent makes it a bit unlikely, but it is possible that a Republican could take this seat. In that ever happened, Oregon would be another bellwether in the coming red wave.
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There are 20 Republican and 16 Democratic Governor's seats up for grabs in 2022.
"Is Democrat Hochul in danger of LOSING the New York governor's race: Republican Lee Zeldin gains ground in deep-blue state - with razor-thin margins in the polls"
There is no way I would ever vote for Zelden. His anti-abortion stance is insanely severe and I have two daughters.
Btw, the latest poll is just one poll. Here is an aggregate of all polls:
I hate to disappoint, but even though he has a lot of money being pumped into his coffers, she maintains a healthy lead. He might of had a chance if he held a reasonable stance, but I don't see it happening even with parts of upstate and eastern Long Island voting for him.
In the state of New York crime will trump abortion as an issue. Perrie, the cats in the bag and the bags in the river.
You heard it here first!
Vic, not a chance, because this state is not ready to be a no abortion state. Let's mark these comments and talk later.
Ok.
Whitless is going to win in Michigan again.
The three counties in Detroit that will elect her are too stupid to see the forest for the trees.
That race is tightening:
"A poll released Friday by the Trafalgar Group shows Whitmer leading by six points (51% – 45%), indicating a much closer race than the previous polls from the Detroit News and Detroit Free Press showed. According to a Detroit News poll from the end of August through early September, Whitmer led Dixon by 13 points, while the Free Press had the governor ahead by 16 at the middle of last month."
Are those 3 counties inhabited by the usual democrat brainwashed robots?
Yep. Wayne, Oakland and Macomb ...... the hive.
I'm sorry to hear it.
Yeah, if Tudor wouldn’t have gone so radical on abortion, she would have won. A no exception abortion stance will never win in Michigan.
The abortion issue kills repub chances when they go extreme. It has been that way a long long time and somehow some of them are too stupid to see that.
She allowed Whitmer to hang her with that?
Even the ones who favor the 15 week restriction are not good at emphasizing that fact.
Typical dirty campaign. Many of her comments have been taken out of context by the media and opponents but she’s also done it to herself.
Very short sighted in the scheme of things.
Yep
You don't think she has any chance?
Whitless has outspent Tudor Dixon by a vast amount on advertising; and has a much bigger war chest left to attack with.
Dixon should have an easy time of attacking Whitless with all of her gaffs. Her abuse of power during Covid; and flaunting her own regulations should be enough to hang her on. But somehow she is getting a pass.
Also, Republicans in this state are what I like to call resigned to losing.
Very little.
Whitmer lives on the dark side.
She’s Darth Vader’s sister after all
Not me, I’m just being realistic.
Katie Hobbs says she won’t be part of "spectacle" of debating Kari Lake
https:// trib.al/SKW8TXm
Istead Hobbs will hide in her basement while the media smears Lake as an "election denier."
Arizona is interesting in watching the politics play out. Hobbs touts herself as a law & order type of person but the only law enforcement to endorse her are a couple of Sheriffs which are elected politicians. Police unions and Border Patrol endorse Lake. But yeah, the election denier part of Lake is pushed hard and heavy. She was dumb to jump into it and the news media has not let anybody forget she did.
It's amazing that the race is as close as it is.
God forbid that Hobbs gets into a debate on the economy
Really any topic. Hobbs defines the phrase 'Knowledge a mile wide and an inch deep'. She continues to get flustered when asked questions that are not scripted. Her latest one as from a moderator in the Hispanic Chamber of Commerce Forum.
As much as I dislike some of the ideas that Lake has, I would really hate for this empty glass to become out next governor.
You & me feel the same way. Lake is far and away the lesser of "one" evil.
“Lake is far and away the lesser of "one" evil.”
Please.
Her entire platform is based upon being an election denier. She has already planted the seed to deny the results of the upcoming election. She is a one-note, unapologetic maga-ite.
And she is somehow the lesser evil? She is the poster child for all that is wrong with aligning oneself with the worst aberration to ever infect our political dialogue…and an existential threat to our political processes should she be elected.
Is that why Hobbs won't debate her?
She is a one-note, unapologetic maga-ite.
She may just be the First Lady of MAGA.
She is the poster child for all that is wrong
Aren't you living in the US?
Don'y you feel inflation?
or high gas prices?
or rising crime
or a country loaded with illegal alients?
or school children being sexualized and indoctrinated?
“Lake is far and away the lesser of "one" evil.”
"Please.
Her entire platform is based upon being an election denier. She has already planted the seed to deny the results of the upcoming election. She is a one-note, unapologetic maga-ite.
And she is somehow the lesser evil? She is the poster child for all that is wrong with aligning oneself with the worst aberration to ever infect our political dialogue…and an existential threat to our political processes should she be elected."
She's a maga-it
We live in a degraded country. People will lie, in elections and on internet forums , in order to advance the political ambitions of traitors. The Founding Fathers are rolling over in their graves.
Kari Lake happily accepted the endorsement of Mike Lindell, perhaps the biggest political crackpot of the century. Now you say she is being "smeared". God help America, and i am serious. This country is in profound trouble.
I think they pretty much would understand the saying , " there are liars , damn liars , and then you have those that are the worst of all that make political promises they never intend to keep ..."
Exactly, you don't see that lying in other countries.
We have seen enough of Mike Lindell over the past few years to know, conclusively, that there is something deeply wrong with this man. Yet he keeps showing up in speaking roles at Trump rallys and the GOP candidate for governor of Arizona is sucking up to him (probably to please Trump).
None of these people should get within a million miles of elected office.
The right wing may think they will "restore" something if they win in November but the damage being done to the society is profound, and the good feelings of fleetingly winning an election will not last.
Changing demographics will inexorably change the national makeup, and nothing can stop that, nor should it be stopped. All Trumpism is doing is burning the house down.
Fuck off.
[deleted]
“you don't see that lying in other countries.”
Of course. So let us be diligent in exposing those lies so we do not succumb to blindly following along.
On that i would tend to agree, maybe thats why i dont listen to or pay the man no mind as to what he says .
Just as i agree that the change in demographics cant be stopped in one way or another , the issue actually is , no one can get others to do as they see is needed if the other disagrees , and it wont matter which party has control , people individually will make up their own minds and do as they are going to do anyway irregardless of what the other side thinks or feels .
and that is the reality to be faced .
that is why i like a saying i heard , " i CAN see your problem , the problem is you cant make it MY problem ." when it comes to the issues talked about .
Fair enough.
I’ve read a lot of stuff here from numerous people to realize there is something seriously wrong with them
Gotta love free speech ...
We have seen enough of Joe Biden over the past few years to know, conclusively, that there is something deeply wrong with this man.
Fixed it for you.
Sounds good.
I have more bad news for you. Last night Mark Levin had one of Trafalger's pollsters on his show. (You may recall that Trafalger is the one that usually gets it right.) They discussed the midterms and the pollster pointed out that Lake is a terrific candidate. He said he is confident that she is going to win.
You see John, everything the left has done in 18 months under Biden is what's really on the ballot, not who endorses Kari Lake.
You said that Kari Lake is being smeared when people say she is an election denier. That is a lie.
Kari Lake has explicitly denied that Biden is the legitimate president and she called for the 2020 presidential election to be "de-certified". That is election denial Vic.
Stop lying to your readers.
She is a crack pipe. Oh wait, crackpot. Funny to me people buy her schtick. Loud and bombastic, complain about everything, with no actual plans for anything.
So what?
After what the courty has been through, Lake stands for the opposition to all of it.
Then you don't understand what smearing means.
Anyone can question an election. Any democrat, based on what they have done is smearing when they talk about anything than the real issues. Cleary, none of them wants to debate because a debate leads to a discussion of inflation, crime and open borders.
What the country has been through is 7 insane years of Trumps political career, which you defend and even brag about at every turn.
Quoting Kari Lake is not smearing her. She is a danger to democracy , in Arizona certainly, and maybe eventually in the country at large.
This is utter nonsense, and ridiculous even by your non-existent standards.
Meanwhile Biden is driving the country into the ground today and you happily fiddle away while complaining about what happened seven years ago.
Pathetic.
Donald Trump is THE leader of the Republican Party RIGHT NOW, in 2022. What began 7 years ago is still going on. This is all far more important for the future of America than inflation and immigration, which are transitory issues that can be dealt with when this plague is gone.
The real threat is in office right now. Has been now for nearly 50 years. Your support for him and what he represents is part of the real plague.
Amazing!
Biden has been a threat for 50 years ! Wow, he must really scare you.
You might have a point if I posted about him non stop like you do Trump but since I don’t, like usual, you have no valid point ...
Didn't Stacey Abrams say that her previous election loss was a stolen election?
I don't see the media trying to define her as an "election denier" every time her name is mentioned.
Another maga-it freak in the maga-it freak show.
Deeply wrong with him and those he supports and their supporters.
All they've got.
They're fucking nuts. You'd have to be fucking nuts to vote for those freaks in that freak show that is today's gop/republicans/gqp.
You mean Fetterman and Hobbs???
Nut jobs like Fetterman are right in their wheelhouse.
Birds of a feather do tend to flock together.
I've never seen the democratic party put so many radicals on the ballot.
Ah yes, the hideyhole campaign gambit .... perfected by none other than shotgun Joe.
They are dead. They need to bury themselves.
Agree.,
No. It's always been somewhat blue and illegal immigration is not the reason it seems bluer now than before.