Joe Biden is Now Beating Donald Trump in the Majority of Polls
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
By Kate Plummer
Joe Biden is now beating Donald Trump in the majority of recent polls, just seven months before the presidential election.
Last month it was confirmed that the pair will face off against each other in November, with Biden and Trump both winning enough delegates to secure their respective parties' presidential nomination and teeing up a rematch of the 2020 election.
Since then, analysis has turned to who will come up on top. So far, polls have been fairly evenly split, with commentators suggesting the race is too close to call.
While that remains the case, polls appear to be moving in Biden's favor. The Democratic incumbent is predicted to win the popular vote in eight of the twelve most recent polls added to the RacetotheWH website, which tracks average polling.
Joe Biden delivers remarks about his administration's work to lower the cost of breathing treatments for asthma and COPD patients during an event. In the majority of recent polls, the President is predicted to beat...Joe Biden delivers remarks about his administration's work to lower the cost of breathing treatments for asthma and COPD patients during an event. In the majority of recent polls, the President is predicted to beat his Republican challenger in the 2024 election. More Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
In the most recent of these polls, which was done by Reuters and Ipsos, the Democrat is expected to garner 41 percent of the vote share while Trump is predicted to win 37 percent of the vote. Ipsos polled 833 registered voters between April 5 and 9 in this survey.
In another poll of 1,265 registered voters conducted between April 3 and 5 by IBD/TIPP, Biden is predicted to win the popular vote with a 3 percentage point lead, 43 percent to 40 percent.
Meanwhile a Marquette poll of 674 likely voters, conducted between March 18 and March 28, suggested Biden will get 52 percent of the vote and that Trump will get 48 percent of the vote share.
However, other polls suggest Trump might have more supporters come election day. One poll of 6,236 registered voters by Morning Consult predicted that the Republican will win 44 percent of the vote share compared to Biden's 43 percent.
Another by Emerson College of 1,438 registered voters suggested Trump will take 51 percent of the vote and that Biden would get 49 percent of the vote. This poll was conducted between April 2 and 3.
Newsweek contacted representatives for Biden and Trump by email to comment on this story.
Despite apparent positive polling for Biden, Christopher Phelps, a professor of modern American history at the University of Nottingham in the U.K., told Newsweek the race was "far too close to call."
He said: "There are any number of polls and determining which ones to give weight is difficult. That said, the greatest priority should not be given to the national polls but the polls that target the specific battleground states that have been most competitive in recent elections and are crucial for the Electoral College.
"These polls do not have a clear consensus. The Wall Street Journal just published a poll that showed Biden down in all but one of the eight battleground states. Other polls show Biden edging ahead in those states."
He continued: "By any measure, the race at this distance from November is far too close to call. And there are so many remaining wild cards. Will voters believe the economy is improving? Will the Israel-Gaza situation be somewhat resolved? Will women vote heavily on abortion rights? How much will voters prioritize immigration? Will Trump be found guilty in one of the many criminal trials against him? Will Biden have an episode that revives attention to his age? On any of these known unknowns, the race could hinge.
"We just can't know the outcome at this great distance in time."
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Sane and decent people have had enough of maga, the cult, and their turd leader, the former 'president'.
and their defenders - the neverending defenders of the indefensible - who are an extension of the cult
JR already posted this exact same seed earlier.
So what.
See #5 below..................
I'm not following polls until after the party conventions.
Don't get your hopes up just yet!
Oops!' MSNBC's Survey of Undecided Voters Did NOT Go the Way They Were Hoping – Twitchy
awwww... too bad the election isn't tomorrow, huh?
This particular point in time is prescious to the MAGA because for this one golden moment the gop believes Trump has a chance to win...
One of the reasons it is hard to keep a non-political article visible on the Front (Home) Page is when a seed is posted THREE HOURS AFTER AN IDENTICAL SEED HAS ALREADY BEEN POSTED. When that happens, the right thing to do is to DELETE the later-posted seed, or at the very least, LOCK IT. I can understand it if a seed is posted within minutes of a previous one, but THREE HOURS?????
I find it interesting that the same people that are youting this article and proclaiming the polling as accurate when it is positive for their side will conversely denounce the polls as bad and poorly framed.
I find it is interesting MAGA think Trump who has never polled above 50% and never earned even half the votes in any election is a winner...
Whiner? The biggest ever.
Wiener? You bet!
Winner? Not in a million years...
Agreed!
Couldn't come up with anything to prove me wrong?
BTW there was someone better than Trump that actually had a chance to win , I would vote for them. Biden does not even come close to fulfilling that.
True Believers MAGA are amusing. Wrong, but kind of cute in a pitiful way. Biden will whoop Trump by over ten million votes...
[deleted]
Who won the presidency in 2016?
Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary by a few million votes but somehow won the Electoral Colege in 2016.
But, Biden whooped Trump by 8,000,000 in 2020...
There was no case where Trump got most votes.
He has never polled over 50% or won a majority...
So bill Clinton is a loser? He never won 50% of the votes.
Bill Clinton won the popular vote bigly in three man races...
By your standards, he's a loser.
Kinda a good thing we don't elect the president by national popular vote in this country. [deleted][✘]
Your earlier opinion of polls seems to have changed
Again polls are not significant in this case:
This was your view of polls of the very low approval rating of VP Harris
But I am sure you have a meme for that right
You are confusing me with someone else. I never said that. I have said all along that Trump and Biden will both poll in the low 40 percentiles but when it comes down go voting women, minorities and most independent voter will give Biden-Harris a significant victory...
Trump's criminal trial featuring Stormy Daniels and illegal payoffs and write-offs starts on Monday. That should be entertaining...
I copied that excerpt from one of your comments, soi it is you that are confused.
You did use your words a little, but your need for a meme to try and make a point continues.
Then you should be able to easily provide a link to this comment since you just now found it to copy. So, please link us to it now...
I'm calling bullshit...
Your comment 6.2.35 CB replies to RiO @ 6.2.34 on the Biden seen as more likable article.
You probably have a meme for your bullshit,
[deleted][✘]
I am not CB @ 6.2.35 and did not reply to RiO @ 6.2.36. CB did.
I am JBB!
You are correct and I offer my apologies
I totally screwed that up and apologize
Confused is one thing yet misrepresentation another. You specifically said that you had copied my comment. You are excused, but frankly I was quite off put by it as I stand by my words, own my opinions and am confident in them...
You called Vice President Harris "Unqualified". I asked who you thought was more qualified than the former California Attorney General, US Senator and current Vice President of the United States? You never replied. I remember that without looking...
After thinking on it, I am sorry for the "lied" part. You were mistaken and to that I can relate. There was that once...
no worries you are right to be pissed, I screwed the pooch big time on this