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Fact check: To attack Harris, Trump falsely describes new stats on immigrants and homicide

  
Via:  John Russell  •  4 days ago  •  11 comments


Fact check: To attack Harris, Trump falsely describes new stats on immigrants and homicide
Trump’s claims are false in two big ways. First, the statistics he was referring to are not specifically about people who entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration. Rather, those statistics are about noncitizens who entered the country under any administration, including Trump’s; were convicted of a crime at some point, usually in the US after their arrival; and are now living in the US while being listed on Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s “non-detained docket” — where...

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www.cnn.com   /2024/09/29/politics/fact-check-trump-harris-immigrants-homicide/index.html

Fact check: To attack Harris, Trump falsely describes new stats on immigrants and homicide | CNN Politics


Daniel Dale 11-13 minutes   9/29/2024





Washington   CNN    — 

Former President Donald Trump is wildly distorting new statistics on immigration and crime to attack Vice President Kamala Harris.

Trump falsely claimed Friday and Saturday that the statistics are specifically about criminal offenders who entered the US during the Biden-Harris administration; in reality, the figures are about offenders who entered the US over multiple decades, including during the Trump administration. And Trump falsely claimed that the statistics are specifically about people who are now living freely in the US; the figures actually   include people who are currently in jails and prisons serving criminal sentences .

“Kamala should immediately cancel her News Conference because it was just revealed that 13,000 convicted murderers entered our Country during her three and a half year period as Border Czar,” Trump wrote in  one  post on Friday, the day Harris   visited   the southern border in Arizona. Harris “allowed almost 14,000 MURDERERS to freely and openly roam our Country,” Trump wrote in another Friday   post . They “roam free to KILL AGAIN,” he   wrote , escalating his rhetoric, on Saturday.

Facts First Trump’s claims are false in two big ways. First, the  statistics he was referring to  are not specifically about people who entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration. Rather, those statistics are about noncitizens who entered the country under any administration, including Trump’s; were convicted of a crime at some point, usually in the US after their arrival; and are now living in the US while being listed on Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s “non-detained docket” — where some have been listed for years, including while Trump was president, because their country of citizenship won’t let the US deport them back there. Second, that ICE “non-detained” list includes people who are still serving jail and prison sentences for their crimes; they are on the list because they are not being held in immigration detention in particular.

The new statistics, released by ICE in  a letter  to a Republican congressman this week, said there were 425,431 total convicted criminals on the non-detained docket as of July 21, 2024, including 13,099 people with homicide convictions.

The statistics have been deployed by Trump and various   Republican lawmakers   and right-wing commentators as alarming evidence of Harris’ supposed mismanagement of immigration policy. But in addition to exaggerating her role on the file — she was   never actually “border czar”   — much of the chatter has inaccurately described what the statistics show.

A spokesperson for the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE, said in a Saturday email: “The data in this letter is being misinterpreted. The data goes back decades; it includes individuals who entered the country over the past 40 years or more, the vast majority of whose custody determination was made long before this Administration. It also includes many who are under the jurisdiction or currently incarcerated by federal, state or local law enforcement partners.”

It’s not clear how many of the 13,099 people with homicide convictions on ICE’s non-detained docket as of July 21 are currently incarcerated in jails and prisons. Regardless,   John Sandweg , an attorney who served as acting director of ICE during the Obama administration, said in a Saturday interview that it is “100% false” to say all the homicide offenders on the non-detained docket entered the US during Harris’ vice presidency. Sandweg added: “These are individuals who undoubtedly entered the United States over a long period of time. … A lot of them have probably been on the list for 20 years, where the US has just been unable to deport.”

CNN could not immediately find public statistics on how many people with criminal convictions were on the non-detained docket during Trump’s presidency. But there are public statistics from just before and just after his presidency — and those statistics, which we’ll discuss later in this article, make clear that Trump, too, presided over a non-detained docket that included hundreds of thousands of people with criminal convictions.

A Supreme Court decision requires ICE to release some offenders

Trump’s posts left open the impression that the homicide offenders on the non-detained docket had foreign homicide convictions but were nonetheless allowed to cross the US border and live freely in this country. In reality, public  data  makes it clear that the overwhelming majority of people with criminal convictions on the non-detained docket were convicted in the US, as Sandweg and  Aaron Reichlin-Melnick , senior fellow at the American Immigration Council, which supports immigration, both told CNN.

Why aren’t these people in immigration detention if they have been convicted of a crime as serious as homicide? Under a  2001 Supreme Court decision , the US government is not allowed to indefinitely keep someone in immigration detention after they have been ordered removed from the country. So if someone has served their criminal sentence for homicide and then is ordered to be removed from the US, but their  country is uncooperative with the US  on immigration and won’t take them back, they must be released in the US —  usually after no more than six months in immigration detention .

“Let’s say you have a Russian who was convicted of homicide. There’s nothing we can do there,” Sandweg said, given how Russia simply won’t accept the deportation. “There comes a point where you just have to release them.” He added that this doesn’t mean the person is “completely free” — people on the non-detained docket often have to check in with ICE or be monitored electronically — “but there’s just no more legal authority to continue the detention.”

Sandweg added: “ICE, of course, is not willy-nilly saying, ‘Okay, people convicted of murder, you’re not a priority.’ … We have a guy convicted of homicide, our strong preference is not to release them onto the streets.”

Reichlin-Melnick, who   noted Saturday   on social media that the non-detained docket includes people in jails and prisons,  wrote on social media on Friday  that “anyone on ICE’s non-detained docket with a homicide conviction has likely been in the country for decades, served a full criminal sentence, and can’t be removed because they’re from a country which restricts US deportations.”

Reichlin-Melnick continued: “There are others on ICE’s non-detained docket who have serious criminal records who, after serving their time, managed to win some form of protection and relief from removal. They are now here legally, but remain on the docket and are required to check in with ICE periodically.”

The list of convicted criminals on the non-detained docket includes both people who crossed the border illegally and people who came to the US legally, such as with a visa or green card, and then committed a crime and were placed in removal proceedings or were given a removal order.

What the numbers show

The non-detained docket is not a new creation of the Biden-Harris administration. In fact, there were hundreds of thousands of people with criminal convictions on the non-detained docket during the Trump presidency, too.

A reporter for Fox News, the right-wing outlet whose reporting on these statistics Trump repeatedly  promoted  on Friday,  noted  Friday evening on social media that “not all of these criminals entered during the Biden admin, as some are claiming” and that “some of these criminals go back many years across multiple administrations.”

A previous  official federal report  said there were 368,574 total convicted criminals on the non-detained docket as of August 2016, under the Obama administration, about five months before Trump became president. And another  federal document  said there were 405,786 total convicted criminals on the non-detained docket as of early June 2021, less than five months into the Biden-Harris administration. Again, the July 2024 number was 425,431 total convicted criminals.

In other words, the list grew about 10% between August 2016 and June 2021 — a roughly five-year period that included the four-year Trump administration — and then grew about another roughly 5% in the three-plus years under the Biden-Harris administration between June 2021 and July 2024.

Because official information on people on the non-detained docket with criminal convictions has only been released sporadically, with dates that don’t line up with the start and end dates of presidential administrations, it’s not possible to say how much of the increase happened under the Trump administration versus how much happened during the final months of the Obama administration and the first months of the Biden-Harris administration.

Regardless, there’s no basis for saying, as Trump kept doing Friday, that all of the people on the docket with homicide convictions came in during the Biden-Harris administration — and the numbers show “the docket certainly grew under the Trump administration,” Sandweg said. (He added that, to be fair, Trump faced the same stubborn issues with uncooperative foreign countries as other presidents.)

The crimes committed by people on the non-detained docket in July 2024 ranged from the most serious offenses, like homicide and sexual assault, to “gambling,” “liquor,” and “obscenity” offenses. The conviction categories with the highest number of people on the non-detained docket were “traffic offenses” (77,074), “assault” (62,231), “dangerous drugs” (56,533) and “immigration” (51,933).

CNN could not immediately find public data on the number of people with homicide convictions specifically who were on the non-detained docket in past years, including during the Trump administration.

It is clear that the  total  number of people on the non-detained docket, including people without any criminal conviction, has spiked during the Biden-Harris administration. (There are   numerous reasons   that people can end up on the docket; we won’t get into those here.) ICE  says  the docket jumped from roughly 3.3 million in the 2020 fiscal year, the last full fiscal year under Trump, to roughly 6.2 million in the 2023 fiscal year.

Harris critics are entitled to cite this real increase. Her presidential opponent, though, is criticizing her dishonestly.

CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez contributed to this article .



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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JohnRussell    4 days ago

Trump and MAGA cannot stop lying, and dont even want to stop. Our democracy is in danger due to out of control lying and stupidity. 

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
2  seeder  JohnRussell    4 days ago
  “The data in this letter is being misinterpreted.  The data goes back decades; it includes individuals who entered the country over the past 40 years or more, the vast majority of whose custody determination was made long before this Administration. It also includes many who are under the jurisdiction or currently incarcerated by federal, state or local law enforcement partners.”

It’s not clear how many of the 13,099 people with homicide convictions on ICE’s non-detained docket as of July 21 are currently incarcerated in jails and prisons. Regardless,      John Sandweg   , an attorney who served as acting director of ICE during the Obama administration, said in a Saturday interview that it is “100% false” to say all the homicide offenders on the non-detained docket entered the US during Harris’ vice presidency. Sandweg added: “These are individuals who undoubtedly entered the United States over a long period of time. … A lot of them have probably been on the list for 20 years, where the US has just been unable to deport.”

===========================================================================

Now look at exactly what Trump and MAGA say 

"it was just revealed that 13,000 convicted murderers entered our Country during her three and a half year period as Border Czar,” Trump wrote"

Its a lie.  Where are the Republicans and conservatives, and for that matter moderates, to oppose these lies?

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
3  seeder  JohnRussell    4 days ago
In other words, the list grew about 10% between August 2016 and June 2021 — a roughly five-year period that included the four-year Trump administration — and then grew about another roughly 5% in the three-plus years under the Biden-Harris administration between June 2021 and July 2024.
 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
4  seeder  JohnRussell    4 days ago

No apologies ?  LOL. 

 
 
 
Dig
Professor Participates
5  Dig    3 days ago
Trump falsely claimed Friday and Saturday that the statistics are specifically about criminal offenders who entered the US during the Biden-Harris administration; in reality, the figures are about offenders who entered the US over multiple decades, including during the Trump administration.

Trump knows that his supporters don't give a shit about his claims being debunked. It just rolls right off them. We can see it every day right here on NT, and NT is a small sample size.

 
 
 
Tessylo
Professor Principal
5.1  Tessylo  replied to  Dig @5    3 days ago

The proof is given time and again only to be questioned by the cult.  The brainwashing is complete.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
5.2  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Dig @5    3 days ago

Finally, a reply.  The conservatives on this site are avoiding this seed like the plague though. 

 
 
 
Dig
Professor Participates
5.2.1  Dig  replied to  JohnRussell @5.2    3 days ago

I think they're addicted to the outrage that Trump's demagoguery and outlets like proven-misinformer Fox News makes them feel. They WANT it, like a drug or something. The truth must feel like a buzzkill, so they blow it off. They prefer the lies.

 
 
 
Dismayed Patriot
Professor Quiet
5.2.2  Dismayed Patriot  replied to  JohnRussell @5.2    3 days ago
The conservatives on this site are avoiding this seed like the plague though. 

They hate being fact checked as much as their Dear Fuhrer does. They see being fact checked as an unfair attack on their "alternative facts". They see it as their God given right to believe whatever they want, facts be damned. They believe in the "truthiness" of their Qanon conspiracy theories and refuse to accept anything that might prove they're wrong no matter how damning the evidence and actual facts may be because they simply hate Democrats, liberals, progressives and any anyone who is "aware" of the actual facts aka "woke". They might as well call the "woke agenda" the "fact agenda", those 'damn liberals' are just silly for thinking facts could actually make any difference to how an unthinking zealot and diehard sycophant of Trump would vote or act. Clearly their hatred for those who are different than them, those who look different, act different, pray different and speak different, has been severely underestimated by those on the left.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
5.2.3  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Dismayed Patriot @5.2.2    3 days ago
Clearly their hatred for those who are different than them, those who look different, act different, pray different and speak different, has been severely underestimated by those on the left.

Look at the attendees at a Trump rally and you can know that is true. 

 
 
 
Trout Giggles
Professor Principal
5.2.4  Trout Giggles  replied to  JohnRussell @5.2.3    3 days ago

They do all look the same, don't they? Fat and stupid

 
 

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