Why Democrats Ought Not Celebrate Too Hard
By: Frank Miele
The future is bright for the GOP and for conservatives. Democrats think that they are all that but their future is thankfully bleak.
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
There is something unseemly about the Democrats’ insistence that the apparent defeat of President Trump in the recent election is a repudiation of Republican policies.
The two key words in that sentence are “apparent” and “repudiation.”
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First of all, as everyone knows but the news media refuse to acknowledge, Joe Biden’s Electoral College victory is unofficial, and if there were a plot to steal the election in battleground states such as Pennsylvania and Michigan, then Biden’s “apparent” victory could possibly turn into jail time for some high-placed Democrats.
One of the most compelling reasons why the GOP might be able to find evidence of election fraud is that so-called “repudiation” of Trump and his policies that Democrats have been trumpeting for the last two weeks. You know, the repudiation where the alleged white supremacist increased his share of the black vote nationwide from 8% in 2016 to 12% in 2020. The repudiation where “Build That Wall” Trump went from 28% of the Latino vote to 34% in four years. The repudiation where Trump’s support among women ticked upward – and did so among male voters as well.
Either way, I suppose the current status of the presidential election justifies a celebration by Democrats for the time being. Too bad for them – it may be the last celebration they get to enjoy for quite some while.
Up next will be the Jan. 5, 2021, runoff elections for two Senate seats in Georgia. On paper, this looks like a great opportunity for the Democrats to gain a majority in the upper chamber. (If they win both seats, the resulting 50-50 tally would allow presumed Vice President Kamala Harris to break tie votes in her role as president of the Senate.) But this is also a perfect chance for voters in a swing state narrowly carried by the Biden-Harris ticket to express buyers’ remorse.
Democrats are expected to spend at least $100 million to topple incumbent Republicans David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, but I suspect that all the money in the world could not entice Georgians to give Biden and Harris their socialist majority in the Senate. Divided government is all that stands between us and the stock market crash of 2021, and Republicans will make sure that everyone knows what’s at stake. Chuck Schumer, who would be majority leader if Democrats prevail, yelled excitedly at a rally, “Now we take Georgia, then we change the world!” This jarring overreach ought to scare the bejesus out of Americans who don’t want to see the Constitution rewritten by a power-mad clique of coastal elites.
If I am right, and Mitch McConnell remains as Senate majority leader for at least the next two years, then the Biden legacy will have to be based on executive orders and Trump policy plagiarisms because McConnell will make sure the new president gets just as much courtesy and compromise from the Senate that Nancy Pelosi showed Donald Trump in the House. Ain't payback a bitch?
As for Pelosi, does anyone think she will be a powerful speaker of the House in the next Congress? A few seats remain to be officially decided, but it looks like Democrats will have the slimmest majority imaginable with as few as 221 seats. Since 10 of those Democrats did not vote for Pelosi in the last Congress, it is entirely possible that she will be unable to get the 218 votes she needs to return as speaker. Even if she does, her majority will be so tenuous that it will be difficult if not impossible to get through the radical agenda envisioned by Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar. This is the most important untold story of the 2020 election.
But it gets even worse for Democrats.
Republicans didn’t just gain seats in the U.S. House; they gained seats in statehouses as well. That will strengthen the Republican hand as the legislatures in many states control the redrawing of U.S. House districts, which happens every 10 years following the census. The next census itself could also benefit Republicans if enough people moved out of historically blue states to pad the congressional delegations in states like Texas and Florida.
Without getting into the minutiae, Republicans can expect to gain between a half dozen and two dozen safe House seats going into the 2022 midterm elections, depending on how ruthlessly they wield their power. If so, that would give a President Biden just two years to accomplish his liberal transformation of the nation. In addition, if the House flipped to the Republicans in 2022, it would open up the possibility of using the impeachment power of the lower chamber against Biden in retribution for Adam Schiff’s overreaching attacks on President Trump.
What about the Senate in 2022? That’s the one bright spot for Democrats. Just as they were this year, Republicans will be on the defensive. Assuming that Georgia remains Republican after the Jan. 5 runoff elections, then the GOP would start with a 52-48 majority. Republicans would be defending 21 seats in 2022 while only 13 Democratic seats would be up for grabs. Democrats would only need a net gain of two seats to regain control of the chamber with a Democrat as vice president. It’s too early to game out all the possible scenarios, but it does provide a glimmer of hope for Democrats at the very least.
Nonetheless, when you consider all the components of political control for the next four years, if you are a Republican you have reason to be optimistic. And if you are a Democrat, you have good reason to start making excuses.
Oh, did I mention 2024? The worst nightmare for Democrats is that Donald Trump loses reelection this year but remains engaged with the electorate. With Richard Nixon, it was a joke, but with Trump, it sounds like a convincing campaign slogan: “He’s tan, he’s rested and he’s ready” — and he has unfinished business.
Frank Miele, the retired editor of the Daily Inter Lake in Kalispell Mont., is a columnist for RealClearPolitics.
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If I am right, and Mitch McConnell remains as Senate majority leader for at least the next two years, then the Biden legacy will have to be based on executive orders and Trump policy plagiarisms because McConnell will make sure the new president gets just as much courtesy and compromise from the Senate that Nancy Pelosi showed Donald Trump in the House. Ain't payback a bitch?
As for Pelosi, does anyone think she will be a powerful speaker of the House in the next Congress? A few seats remain to be officially decided, but it looks like Democrats will have the slimmest majority imaginable with as few as 221 seats. Since 10 of those Democrats did not vote for Pelosi in the last Congress, it is entirely possible that she will be unable to get the 218 votes she needs to return as speaker. Even if she does, her majority will be so tenuous that it will be difficult if not impossible to get through the radical agenda envisioned by Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar. This is the most important untold story of the 2020 election.
But it gets even worse for Democrats.
Republicans didn’t just gain seats in the U.S. House; they gained seats in statehouses as well. That will strengthen the Republican hand as the legislatures in many states control the redrawing of U.S. House districts, which happens every 10 years following the census. The next census itself could also benefit Republicans if enough people moved out of historically blue states to pad the congressional delegations in states like Texas and Florida.
Without getting into the minutiae, Republicans can expect to gain between a half dozen and two dozen safe House seats going into the 2022 midterm elections, depending on how ruthlessly they wield their power. If so, that would give a President Biden just two years to accomplish his liberal transformation of the nation. In addition, if the House flipped to the Republicans in 2022, it would open up the possibility of using the impeachment power of the lower chamber against Biden in retribution for Adam Schiff’s overreaching attacks on President Trump.
https://thenewstalkers.com/vic-eldred/group_discuss/11085/why-democrats-ought-not-celebrate-too-hard
More to the point, when Trump stretches forth his hand to effect the overthrow of constitutional rule, where will YOUR allegiance lie?
He’s not going to do that. He’s not a democrat.
I agree. Democrats shouldn't celebrate too much. They should take their time to slowly, carefully, fully and thoroughly penetrate the politics of their sick disgusting piece of shit loser opponents. Let the full length of that huge massive plurality of Americans ram their will into the sore abused political anus of the derelict useless Republicans. Democrats should make sure their feckless opponents feel the full length and breadth of their defeat, truly burn it into their political opposites fleshy ring of shallow tiny minds so that perhaps, just maybe, the ignorant whiny shit for brains bigots are able to grasp, at minimum, a clue that they might use to desperately pull themselves out of their reckless and monumentally stupid broken right wing ideology. But, I hope too much and will no doubt be called an unmitigated optimist.
What defeat? We have a majority of state legislatures and legislative members, we have a majority of governors, we control the 2020 census reapportionment in twice as many districts as Dems do and demographics favor states we dominate that process in. We kept the senate and increased our strength in the house by as many seats as we were supposed to lose and are in position to take it back during Biden’s midterm. Sorry but you didn’t win anything but a 2024 rematch with Trump who was not repudiated nor were his ideas.
Slip Sliding Away – A.F. Branco Cartoon
Fox News has been moving more left, soon they’ll be just like CNN, MSNBC, NPR, ABC, etc. Political cartoon by…
the recent election is a repudiation of Republican policies.
It's more a repudiation of trump, and some republican policies.
There was no repudiation of anyone and certainly not any policies. The GOP added house seats, kept the senate, added state legislatures and a governor and strengthened at most state and local levels. The GOP doubled the number of pro life women in the house and added a good number of women, minority groups, and veterans to our house numbers. In California alone we added a Chinese American woman, a Korean American woman, an Arab American man, and likely two Hispanic men to our house numbers.
trump lost.
https://www.instagram.com/tv/CHjCOV7D6iS/?igshid=18plshbzj7y3w
https://www.instagram.com/p/CHjY6lpJsZ1/?igshid=1hauzewj201m
Trump and Goliath – A.F. Branco Cartoon
Trump is fighting against a Goliath giant made up of Big Tech, MS Media complex, Democrat machine, and the deep…
Not yet he hasn’t.
The House of Representatives is closer to its final make up as New Jersey 7 stayed democrat after all and California 21 flipped to the GOP. The current make up is 222-210 with Dems losing 9 and GOP gaining 10. The GOP picked up the Libertarian seat. There are three races left to be decided. All current democrat all led by the Republican. Too close to call. NY22, Iowa 2, and Ca. 25. With the census reapportioning, added GOP governor and state legislative strength, and a possible Biden midterm election, control of the House by the GOP in 2022 is a virtual certainty.
Maybe, but his party and those within it who hold to his ideals did not lose. We are actually strengthened and going into a Biden midterm election rather than a Trump 6th year mid term will work to our long term advantage.
The GOP gained a governorship and increased strength in state legislatures and more local elections. We addded about a dozen house seats instead of losing 10-15 as projected and we will barring ultimate corruption keep the Senate.
America is an awesome and wonderful nation.
https://www.instagram.com/tv/CHjZSs_hE-c/?igshid=1hwgeiwnbcg3w