The Biden Reality Check
I'm sure many have forgotten when I said that Joe Biden wouldn't last long as the front runner in the democratic presidential race. The national polls kept showing that he was out in front at all times. Even the democrats in the House who used their unique brand of progressive reasoning, surmised that the President was trying to dig up dirt on what was obviously his chief rival (as they described him). It even looked like old Vic may have been wrong about this one! Here's the thing - there is one sure fire way to verify when a poll is right or wrong - crowd size!
"Joe Biden is the front-runner by every measure — except big crowds. The former veep is leading the Democratic field in all the important categories except one. He’s dominating in the polls, his fundraising is going gangbusters and he’s showing broad support from key political players in the early presidential states."
Now that we know Biden finished fourth in Iowa, we again wonder about polling. The polling seems to be evolving now as we find Biden polling 4th in NH. Biden of course is still counting on the black vote in South Carolina.
The lesson of this is simple. When a candidate is drawing tiny crowds yet polling as a front runner, you can believe your eyes over the polling. We already learned what a winner looks like - that's the guy who fills arena's when polling claims he can't win!