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Rasmussen Poll has Trump at 50%

  

Category:  News & Politics

Via:  vic-eldred  •  8 years ago  •  25 comments

Rasmussen Poll has Trump at 50%

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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.

The latest figures include 33% who Strongly Approve of the way the president is performing and 39% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -6. ( see trends ).

Trump’s overall job approval rating is now running ahead of where Barack Obama’s was at this stage of his presidency .    

Rumors are swirling around that Paul Ryan may step down as Speaker of the House of Representatives.   While he is liked by a strong majority of Republicans, they wouldn’t be sad to see Ryan go .

Just 15% of all voters think Congress is doing a good or excellent job . That’s par for the course in recent years.

Most GOP voters want their party to follow Trump, not Senate Republicans . 

Democrats and liberal activists are angry at the Trump administration for adding a citizenship question to the upcoming 2020 U.S. Census.   But two-out-of-three Americans (66%) agree that the Census should ask respondents whether they are citizens of the United States .

(More below)


Retired Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens wrote an op-ed in  The New York Times    last week calling for repeal of the Second Amendment in light of the current gun control debate, but   most Americans reject that idea . 

While some government officials and activists are calling for tighter gun control laws following the massacre at a Florida high school in February,  Americans aren’t convinced stricter gun laws will reduce crime and don’t trust the government to fairly enforce those laws . By a 54% to 33% margin, Americans believe   the failure of government agencies to respond to numerous warning signs from the prospective killer is more to blame for the mass shooting in Florida  than a lack of adequate gun control. 

See “ What They Told Us ” in surveys last week. 


Some readers wonder  how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president  since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full  month-by-month basis.

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology ( see methodology ).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for  full-week results  are available for  Platinum Members .


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_apr02





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Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
1  seeder  Vic Eldred    8 years ago

Ok John, Fixed it

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1.1  JohnRussell  replied to  Vic Eldred @1    8 years ago

Rassmussen is not a highly regarded pollster. 

 
 
 
Krishna
Professor Guide
1.1.1  Krishna  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1    8 years ago

Well, my guess is that he is highly regarded by Conservatives!

I have been following politics, and have even been a political activist off and on..since High School! 

There have been many different polls, and over time I've noticed their various results are usually within a few points of each other. However Ive noticed that more often than not, Rasmussen's results are different than the others-- Rasmussen's results almost always have the Republican coming in higher than the percentages the the polls give the Republican!

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1.1.2  JohnRussell  replied to  Krishna @1.1.1    8 years ago

I suspect it is mainly Republicans who pay his bills too. 

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
1.1.3  seeder  Vic Eldred  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1    8 years ago

First let me thank you for the heads-up, in what would have been an embarrassing mistake.



Rassmussen is not a highly regarded pollster. 

Why do you say that?   I always liked the fact that their polls were based on "likely voters"

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
1.1.4  seeder  Vic Eldred  replied to  Krishna @1.1.1    8 years ago
There have been many different polls, and over time I've noticed their various results are usually within a few points of each other. However Ive noticed that more often than not, Rasmussen's results are different than the others-- Rasmussen's results almost always have the Republican coming in higher than the percentages the the polls give the Republican!

I guess we should have had Rasmussen handle all the polling in the 2016 election.  Trump is not a Conservative, though he has accomplished, against all odds a lot of the Conservative agenda. AS I told John the difference is - Rasmussen uses "likely voters"

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
1.1.6  Greg Jones  replied to  JohnRussell @1.1    8 years ago

It's not highly regarded by the left, but it turns out to be the most accurate, time and time again.

 
 
 
Old Hermit
Sophomore Silent
1.1.7  Old Hermit  replied to  Tessylo @1.1.5    8 years ago

I'm guessing it's closer to 40%, if that.

.

Good guess Tessylo.

More often than not, Rasmussen acts like a porn fluffer for Republicans than as an honest polling company.  Rasmussen polling style, "Come here big boy, lets get those numbers up for the camera.  How's that?  You like that question?, Sure you do!"

"Good, we got it up to 50%!, quick get that money shot before he loses IT!!"

Poll averaging is the better way of tracking.

Real Clear Politics 04-03

screenshotwww.realclearpolitics.com20180403014048.jpg

.

FiveThirtyEight 04-03

screenshotfivethirtyeight.com20180403014309.jpg

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
1.1.9  Greg Jones  replied to  Tessylo @1.1.8    8 years ago

It does with likely voters...look it up and do some research. Are y'all saying a CNN poll would be more accurate, since they are the prime purveyor of fake news?

 
 
 
Krishna
Professor Guide
2  Krishna    8 years ago

Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

And it also depends upon the bias of the organization doing the polling. Polling is not an exact since-- but my experience over many, many years is that mostpolls do their best to try to be accurate. (After all, if they have a consistant bias over time, people will start to notice...and will no longer pay them much attention).

As mentioned, the one exception is Rasmussen-- for whatever reason they have a definite right-wing bias.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1  seeder  Vic Eldred  replied to  Krishna @2    8 years ago
As mentioned, the one exception is Rasmussen-- for whatever reason they have a definite right-wing bias.

I have to disagree. Look back at the polling of the 2016 election. Who came closest, besides the LA Times?

 
 
 
bbl-1
Professor Silent
3  bbl-1    8 years ago

When Sinclair gets it's agenda running on all cylinders, Trump's approval rating and re-election will easily hit the 90% range.

The time of the weak and insipid has arrived.  MAGA!

 
 
 
Dowser
Sophomore Silent
4  Dowser    8 years ago

last week in hospital  they asked me who was president--  i couldn't think of trump.   strokes can be pleasant,

 
 
 
DocPhil
Sophomore Silent
5  DocPhil    8 years ago

Even the right wing republicans in congress agree that Rasmussen has a strong bias toward republicans. It is always an outlier poll. Look at Quinnipiac or MSN/Wall Street Journal or RCP for much more accurate polling data.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
6  seeder  Vic Eldred    8 years ago

"Even with their normally skewed parameters, CNN's latest poll on the president's approval rating shows Donald Trump soaring.

The latest poll — which surveyed 1,014 people ("29% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 46% described themselves as independents or members of another party") — showed Trump's approval rating at 42%. That's the highest mark in the liberal network's survey since the 100-day mark of the Trump presidency.

"Approval is up 7 points overall since February, including 6-point increases among Republicans (from 80% to 86% now) and independents (from 35% to 41% now)," CNN reported. "Trump's approval rating remains below that of all of his modern-era predecessors at this stage in their first term after being elected, though Trump only trails Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama by a narrow 4 points at this point in their first terms."

 
 
 
Atheist יוחנן בן אברהם אבינו
Junior Quiet
6.1  Atheist יוחנן בן אברהם אבינו  replied to  Vic Eldred @6    8 years ago
That's the highest mark in the liberal network's survey since the 100-day mark of the Trump presidency.

And it's still pitiful.  It's gone up over 40 in various polls from time to time and then goes back under again.  You're going to wear out your member if you "celebrate" with it like this every time it happens. 

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
6.1.1  seeder  Vic Eldred  replied to  Atheist יוחנן בן אברהם אבינו @6.1    8 years ago

Dosen't it just gall ya?

 
 
 
A. Macarthur
Professor Guide
7  A. Macarthur    8 years ago

REALLY?

5:18 pm

Trump Says His Approval Rate Is Near 50 Percent. It Is Not.

By 

On Sunday, President Trump made some ludicrous comments on Twitter. In other news, the sun rose in the east.

Ranking the president’s Sunday tweets in terms of   importance , his   claim   that the New York   Times   was lying about his efforts to hire a new lawyer to defend against Robert Mueller’s special investigation — which the paper   vigorously denied   — took the cake.

But in terms of sheer absurdity, it was a toss-up between Trump’s claim that Republicans are 5-0 in congressional races since he became president (which   conveniently ignores   a certain Alabama Senate race and a California congressional seat) and his contention that the lying media is ignoring how popular he actually is.

Donald J. Trump
✔ @realDonaldTrump

Rasmussen and others have my approval ratings at around 50%, which is higher than Obama, and yet the political pundits love saying my approval ratings are “somewhat low.” They know they are lying when they say it. Turn off the show - FAKE NEWS!

The latter assertion is so easy to disprove that it’s the Twitter equivalent of Trump complaining at a rally that CNN won’t show his crowds, followed by a camera shot of an empty arena.

Josh Jordan
✔ @NumbersMuncher

Most recent Trump approval ratings by pollster:
Rasmussen 44%
Marist 44%
Economist 41%
Quinnipiac 38%
Monmouth 40%
Reuters 40%
Gallup 39%

Not a single pollster has Trump approval "at around 50%" and it takes less than 10 seconds to fact-check this delusional tweet. https:// twitter.com/realDonaldTrum p/status/972853747750711296  …

Taking a broader view, multiple websites track Trump’s aggregate approval rating day by day, and none of them have registered anywhere near 50 percent approval since … ever. FiveThirtyEight   has him at 40.7 percent   — well under President Obama’s 49.1 percent rating at the same juncture in his presidency — while RealClearPolitics   has him at 40.9 percent.   These ratings are actually on the high side of Trump’s persistently low ratings, which have usually hovered in the high 30s since last summer.

Even Trump’s beloved Rasmussen, a polling outfit that shows higher approval ratings for the president than other surveys, has   mixed-at-best news   for the president. The last time Rasmussen had Trump at 50 percent was on February 27. He hit the number on February 23, too, but before then he hadn’t reached those lofty heights since all the way back in June.

Trump’s Rasmussen cherry-picking isn’t new, nor is the specific sentiment he voiced on Sunday. In June, he tweeted a very similar statement, including the obligatory comparison to President Obama:

Donald J. Trump
✔ @realDonaldTrump

The new Rasmussen Poll, one of the most accurate in the 2016 Election, just out with a Trump 50% Approval Rating.That's higher than O's #'s!

His proclamation was   almost as wrong   back then.

The president has been deeply unpopular for a long time. But Trump lies so much to inflate his wealth, importance, and popularity that it’s sometimes hard to remember   just how disliked   he really is.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
7.1  seeder  Vic Eldred  replied to  A. Macarthur @7    8 years ago

Hum, March 11th....Oh well, Trump is usually ahead of the game with his gut reactions, isn't he?

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
8  seeder  Vic Eldred    8 years ago

Thank you all

 
 

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