Will more blacks vote Republican?
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
As we churn through primary season, laying the framework for November's elections, we're seeing the emergence of a new face of the Democratic Party – more progressive, more left wing.
The Democratic Party is delivering more candidates around the nation like Stacey Abrams, recently nominated for governor in Georgia. She's unabashedly boilerplate, in-your-face, hard left. Pro-big government, pro-abortion, pro-LGBT rights.
Recent Wall Street Journal/NBC polling shows how the Democratic Party has changed. In 2004, 67 percent of Democrats identified as moderate or conservative and 31 percent identified as liberal. In 2018, we see a shift to the left of 20 points. Forty-seven percent identify as moderate or conservative and 51 percent as liberal.
Amidst all this, what might we expect from blacks, Democrats' most consistent voting bloc? In 14 presidential elections since 1964, Democratic candidates captured an average 88 percent of the black vote. But blacks generally don't fit the new far-left profile.
According to recent data from the Pew Research Center, black Democrats have very little religiously in common with white Democrats. Religious behavior of black Democrats is much more closely aligned with white Republicans.
Forty-seven percent of black Democrats say they attend church at least weekly, compared to 45 percent of white Republicans and 22 percent of white Democrats.
Ninety-two percent of black Protestants say they believe in God as described in the Bible, compared to 70 percent of Republicans and 45 percent of Democrats.
But it's not just religious attitudes that raise questions about black monolithic affinity for the Democratic Party.
In the Pew Religious Landscape study published in 2014, 36 percent of historically black Protestants described themselves as conservative and 24 percent as liberal.
Regarding the role of government, 23 percent of historically black Protestants say they prefer smaller government and fewer services and 70 percent say they prefer larger government and more services.
Regarding government aid to the poor, 27 percent of historically black Protestants say government does more harm than good and 66 percent say government does more good than harm.
You might say that these responses regarding the role of government explain why blacks vote disproportionately for Democrats.
But that's not correct.
The data reported above is for what Pew defines as "historically black Protestant" – which, according to Pew, consists of 53 percent of all blacks. However, according to Pew, 79 percent of blacks identify as Christian.
Pew reports in addition to 47 percent of all black Democrats saying they attend church at least once per week, 74 percent say they pray daily, and 76 percent say religion is "very important" in their lives.
So data that Pew reports for historically black Protestants seems to be a reasonably rough sample of black attitudes in general.
When 36 percent identify as conservative, and when 27 percent say government assistance to the poor does more harm than good, yet on average, 88 percent of blacks are voting for Democrats, something is amiss.
Voting Democrat is not written in black genes. From 1936 to 1960, the black vote for the Republican presidential candidate averaged 30 percent. In 1956, 39 percent of blacks voted for Dwight Eisenhower.
Black voting behavior has far-reaching implications, as America changes demographically into a country less and less white. In 1980, 88 percent of voters were white. In 2016, 70 percent were. This trend will continue.
In a new Harvard-Harris Poll, 33 percent of blacks say they are now "better off" in their financial situation and 32 percent of blacks approve of the way Trump is handling the economy.
Republican Party outreach to blacks has ratcheted up considerably since the Obama years.
If Republicans can succeed in courting these church-going black Christians, we could see a political realignment in the country that will change profoundly America's political landscape.
Tags
Who is online
142 visitors
These media sources are moderately to strongly biased toward conservative causes through story selection and/or political affiliation. They may utilize strong loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by using appeal to emotion or stereotypes), publish misleading reports and omit reporting of information that may damage conservative causes. Some sources in this category may be untrustworthy. See all Right Bias sources.
Factual Reporting: MIXED
Notes: OneNewsNow is a news and opinion website with a very strong Christian Right bias. OneNewsNow publishes unscientific news stories and does not source to legitimate sources. They do post some serious news that is not related to politics, that is fairly balanced. (12/15/2016)
Source:
Pew which is cited for most of this is a left leaning organization, hardly conservative. As usual you ignore the facts
You mean to you. Seems the public disagree's with you, (like most of the people here do as well).
These sources have minimal bias and use very few loaded words (wording that attempts to influence an audience by using appeal to emotion or stereotypes). The reporting is factual and usually sourced. These are the most credible media sources. See all Least Biased sources.
Factual Reporting: VERY HIGH
Notes: Pew Research is a nonpartisan American think tank which is based in Washington, D.C. It provides information on social issues, public opinion, and demographic trends shaping the United States and the world. It also conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis, and other empirical social science research. Pew Research Center does not take explicit policy positions. Pew is very factual and is mostly unbiased in reporting. (7/10/2016) Updated (4/26/2017)
Source:
I posted about one news now... Not pew.
Attacking sources will get you nowhere.
Fail to understand why the right wing and nationalist party would want more-------------black fetuses?
"the right" wants all kids to be born and live, regardless of color.
you fail to understand because it is the left who are the actual racists/bigots who only use race issues to divide people. therefore you can not imagine anything other than the division of people based on the color you see.
the future I see?
Yeah.......and we know where they will be coming from. We do seem to have a few misogynists among us here on NT that love to denigrate and demean women they think are not worthy of breathing their same air.
You might have better luck with a photo of Kellyanne Conway.
So basically it is saying that because some black people go to church they should vote republican? Please....
There are other minority groups that are growing at a faster rate than blacks that will contribute substantially to the overall growth of the non white population.
With that in mind what exactly is the article saying. That because blacks go to church they should vote republican. What about the other minorities that attend church, should they vote republican just because they go to church?
There is a very large population of Asians and Polynesians here in America as well, and there is no doubt that at least more of them go to church and vote as well.
Does Trump really think that blacks are the only minority population that votes? And I truly doubt that all of them vote GOP, or go to church. But, he is willing to pardon every black criminal in the country to try to win their votes. And he may get some of them, but, the chances of every black American in the country or abroad will vote for him are very slim. And the Electoral College may not work for him again, and he will have to contend with the vote of the people of America instead.
I will not be the least bit surprised when Trump pardons OJ.
Or Muhammed Ali LOL!
President says he’s ‘thinking about that very seriously’, seemingly unaware that supreme court overturned Ali’s conviction in 1971
Listen, republicans should stop trying to psycho-analyze Black and other minorities voters. Just do right by and listen to the complaints of all people in general, and folks will learn who and what the Republican Party is about from its example!