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The economy is not as great as Trump says.

  

Category:  News & Politics

By:  johnrussell  •  8 years ago  •  10 comments

The economy is not as great as Trump says.

In a new Monmouth University poll , the Trump tax cuts have lost 1/3 of the popularity they had in January, and now only 1 in 3 Americans approve of the tax cut. 

Most economic forecasters believe that economic growth in 2019 will be less than it is this year. 

Spending on business equipment has fallen so far this year

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We are at "full employment", but wage growth remains stagnated.  Wages have not grown under Trump any more than they grew under Obama. 

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The tax cut has mainly resulted  in companies giving cash back to shareholders.

"Stock buybacks hit a record in the first quarter of 2018 ($189.1 billion), surpassing the all-time high set in 2007 before the financial crisis, according to Howard Silverblatt of S&P Dow Jones Indices. Buybacks jumped nearly 40 percent from the final quarter of last year."

Trump said that the tax cut would ignite a frenzy of business spending. That has not happened.  

The US Chamber of Commerce says a survey reports that only 38 percent of American business plan increased investment in the next 3 years. 

Morgan Stanley reports that their research shows that business investment has "peaked" for now. 

Trump's trade war is not helping. 

related

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2018/06/29/not-what-we-expected-trumps-tax-bill-is-losing-popularity


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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  author  JohnRussell    8 years ago

See the source image

 
 
 
Bob Nelson
Professor Guide
2  Bob Nelson    8 years ago

Trump says "The greatest ever!"

So that must be true.......

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
2.1  author  JohnRussell  replied to  Bob Nelson @2    8 years ago

Why do many right wingers and Republicans believe the economy is the "greatest ever" ?   Because their Supreme Leader told them so. 

He creates "reality" out of thin air and/or exaggeration. All houses of cards eventually collapse though. 

 
 
 
Bob Nelson
Professor Guide
2.1.1  Bob Nelson  replied to  JohnRussell @2.1    8 years ago
All houses of cards eventually collapse though.

No.

The economy is doing well... according to certain criteria.

Not so well, according to other criteria.

Not so well as under Obama.

But hey! A reader must make a teeny-tiny effort to collect some data, in order to know whether Trump's trumpeting is true or false. And somehow... I do not see the Unthinking Faithful TM making that effort.   https://thenewstalkers.com/data/media/0/0/jrSmiley_35_smiley_image.gif','Oh no you don't');"> *(&%^)*(*&

 
 
 
Dean Moriarty
Professor Silent
2.1.2  Dean Moriarty  replied to  Bob Nelson @2.1.1    8 years ago

Looks like the Fed is headed for two more rate hikes this year in an attempt to slow the overheating economy. As your article a couple weeks ago pointed out inflation has already blown past the Feds two percent target rate. 

 
 
 
Studiusbagus
Sophomore Silent
2.1.3  Studiusbagus  replied to  Dean Moriarty @2.1.2    8 years ago

They won't have to the "overheating economy" is about to cool alarmingly.

All the gains in the market in 2018 have already evaporated and working on last year's gains. 

Retail is imploding, store closings are accelerating, that's the largest employment sector. Which means sales tax revenue is going to drop big time. As will the income tax revenue.

Small family farms are shutting down daily. The trade war will wipe out a bunch. In example, China stopped buying and cancelled future contracts for soy beans and sorghum. 1/2 of all US production of soy is planted for China.

Insurance companies just put us on notice for 19% - 30% rate hikes this year. 

Imported foods are going to get expensive and more costly to transport. 

Your $49.95 water pump for your car is going to be $64.99.

So far we have tax revenue loston two sections employment and sales. And expenses are going to jump putting a further squeeze on the consumer.

The market was on a steady upward trajectory for years. 10 months in to Trump's term it's declining and shaking like it was a polygraph tied to Trump's arm.

It's not overheating, it's about to break and not one Republican has a clue or the balls to say something....that just about every economist agrees on...it's coming.

 
 
 
Galen Marvin Ross
Sophomore Quiet
3  Galen Marvin Ross    8 years ago

Maybe Trump should check this out, of course it would burst his bubble.

 
 

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