Tropical Storm Michael expected to hit Gulf Coast as a hurricane
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Tropical Storm Michael formed near Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula, but it is expected to threaten Florida’s Gulf Coast as a hurricane later this week, the National Hurricane Center said Sunday.
"It’s a tropical storm at the moment,” said Brian Fortier, a senior meteorologist at the Weather Channel. “Looks like it will become a hurricane in the next 24 hours and stay a low-grade hurricane before it comes onshore and moves northeast across Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina.”
People swim in the turbulent sea at a beach in Cancun, Quintana Roo, Mexico, on Oct. 7, 2018. Alonso Cupul / EPA“I don’t know how much rain they can take because of how saturated the ground is,” he said. “It’s going to be very concerning and create some localized flash flooding.”
The National Hurricane Center forecast that Michael would become a hurricane on Monday, only two days before it is expected to reach the Gulf Coast. The hurricane center warned residents the storm could bring dangerous surges, rainfall and winds.
Michael was moving north-northeast at about 3 mph Sunday but was expected to pick up speed over the next few days before striking the Gulf Coast on Wednesday. Minimum sustained winds were at about 50 mph and extended outward up to 205 miles, according to data collected by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft. Those winds are expected to strengthen before Michael makes landfall.
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An unusual approach and track for this storm.
True, but storms can take some very strange paths...
Oh joy.
Looks a lot like Hurricane Opal back in 1995. I was a senior in HS and my dad and step mom had gone to Boston for their yearly trip. She came up the same way and knocked out power in my area for a few days. I was sick and slept through the whole thing (I also didn't know there was a hurricane coming). My dad called the next morning to make sure I was up for school and he thought I was lying LOL. He finally turned the weather on up there and verified I didn't make a hurricane up to skip school. I'm in metro Atlanta, on the NW side. I may miss most of the bad stuff, but it looks like I will be going out today or tomorrow to trim some crepe myrtle (sp?) branches that are close to my windows. I know we could sure use the rain, everything else associated with it, not so much. We had to deal with Irma last year as well. I hope everyone in his path stay safe and listen to evacuation warnings.
My boy is in the path of this storm
Good morning, Trout. I hope he stays safe. I haven't heard of any evacuations yet, in fact, they had a Weather Channel reporter on this morning from PCB and he said all the hotels were full. I guess they had some pirate thing last week and this week kicks off Octoberfest down there. I know several people around here have canceled their plans to go on vacay this week because of the hurricane. (Most school districts get a week long fall break, ours was at the end of Sept)
He's stationed at Hurlbert Field and last October when a hurricane threatened them, he flew up to Little Rock to babysit his plane. He may get to do that again, but we'll all be up in the mountains fishing this week.
Hope he can get out of there.
I still remember that storm that hit near Keesler that took out a hotel just across the road from the beach hosting a hurricane party. I drove past where it hit a few times and where homes and buildings were, only slabs remained.
I hope he is able to get out of there as well
Thanks. The Air Force is pretty good at taking care of their planes and so the personnel that maintain the planes go with them
Thanks, Jenn!
I hope your son stays safe, Trout.
Hurricanes blow usually until Nov. Then we head into nor'easter season. But there have been a few hurricanes that came a bit later than that. That is what "A Perfect Storm" is about. A late season hurricane that blended with a nor'easter. It made a monster storm that last for 3 days. Took out the back wall of my 1st house.
Best wishes here.
I saw that movie. That was a monster storm fershure
I was really hoping that if that storm is heading for them, and since he came to LRAFB twice last year to babysit his plane that TPTB would say, "Hey, B....go ahead and go on leave, we got this"
Never happen, tho. I can't wait for him to put his 4th stripe on and then he can come back to Little Rock
Trout - he'll be fine. Was at Tyndall and Patrick for 'bout 13 years - saw/felt many "high winds", but nothing damaging. Homestead/Kessler - different story.
They're calling for a storm surge where he lives. He'll probably come to Little Rock with his plane before the storm, but his wife will still be there
Why leave the wife....Must be a small plane eh ?
LOL
But hey depending on the situation........
............................
In seriousness ... Of course I'm joking.
Ya do what you have to I know.
It's a AC-130 but yeah...not enough room
not enough room
Then sorry for the joke. I figured there was like a work reason, hope all turns out fine. Hurricanes suck !
Does his wife have a place have a place to go?
If that storm tracks as discussed, this could be a worse situation for the folks who were south of where Florence hit land, from a storm surge situation.
It's fine. I knew you were joking
She should. I believe that's one of the things that spouses are briefed on when they first get on station. There are supposed to be evacuation routes. Her parents currently live in Georgia, so she could go there
Cool, Just clarifying
I hate hurricanes. Humor helped got me thru many of them myself. One of the worse things is how long they can last. If one parks over you .... IT really SUCKS !
Good luck to all. Leave if recommended.
17 years of them taught me. Overestimating them is costly But underestimating them can be deadly. So I finally said "Enough."
We will be expecting pictures of that. And hope your son stays safe.
Thank-you, Mr Frost. I'm going to text him later today to see what's going on down there.
As for pictures.....I got a plan.
I hate little, I do hate hurricanes !
I left the wonderful state of Florida because of hurricanes. I lived there for 17 years and loved it ... except for the hurricanes.
My first encounter with a hurricane was two months after I bought my first home, a 600 mile wide 155 MPH 50 mile eye-wall monster heading on the map straight for my new purchase. (luckily 24 hours before hitting us full force, it turned, we only got a cat 2 out of it)
My next encounter with one was when I went and looked at the destruction at Homestead, as I looked out all I saw was nothing standing taller than a car for as far as I could see. There were a few things sticking up in the distance like bent over telephone poles or a tree striped of all but its bare trunk and a few larger branches. Homestead was a wasteland !
I started thinking maybe Fl was not paradise after all.
After many more less dramatic encounters with hurricanes I decided to “Get the Hell out while I could before losing everything I worked my whole life for.” So, eventually I relocated to Phoenix AZ.
The ironic thing is last week we got the remnants of the hurricane that had just hit Mexico and it made a mess here.
I hate hurricanes ! I really do !
LOL.
Homestead lost an AFB out of that hurricane.
I saw the destruction of Keesler when we went down not long after Katrina for a bowling tournament. Keesler is cleaned up and Biloxi is looking very good now
These things are so damn destructive sometimes I was just sick of worrying about losing everything I'd worked my ass off for all my life. It wasn't worth staying in florida to me any longer and chancing it. Many of my friends disagreed, they are still there 10 years later and OK, Ya never know, and that was enough for me.
Like I said ironically even in the middle of the damn desert here in Phoenix Arizona last week we were affected by one. Go figure ! lol
I actually passed through there just after it happened your description is not an exaggeration. We were actually supposed to stay overnight but my stepmom was afraid the starving, looting masses would come kill us (sort of a zombie apocalypse thing) so we carried on to Key Largo.
or perhaps something just short of it. I agree with your step mom....LOL
Glad your here to share.
lol
11am update: Michael has been upgraded to a hurricane and he is expected to reach cat3. My mets are saying he will still be a cat 2 when it gets close to Atlanta
..... Yea, think I will be trimming those branches today instead of tomorrow
Still a Cat 2 that far inland????
Holy crap!!!
Yea....they said he's going to be a quick one, unlike Flo who took her sweet ass time getting the hell out of the way.
I don't know squat about hurricanes but if they move fast, don't they tend to lose steam?
And sometimes the oppresive CoC gets blamed on mods! You'd best get your tadpoles in a row; there's a movement out to impeach you from your position!
#impeachthefish
I think going quickly they don't diminish as quickly, but slowly they do since they are "hovering" over land. Before he gets out of my state, he will diminish to a TS, looks like right before the SC border. I'm just going by what my local mets are saying. Hell, they are the only profession where you can be wrong 90% of the time and still keep your job LOL. They had Flo coming to my area too up until about 36 hours before landfall. This all could still change since I won't feel "impacts" until about Wed sometime as of now
I think going quickly they don't diminish as quickly
I think you are correct. When they move fast there can still be a lot of destruction and for further but when they go slow the devastation is usually concentrated.
Both suck for those in the path.
Keep safe, Jenn!
Thanks Jasp! We could use the rain and I love a good storm but..... LOL
I'm going to keep an eye on it, if it looks like it may be bad around here, I will probably keep my girls home, it's early release for them anyway on Thurs.
Stock up on paper towels.
President Trump will handle the paper towel needs personally!
Your obsession with my finger is getting me turned on. Just warning you!
As of the 8am advisory, it looks like Michael will go to the south of me. I am still expecting about 1-3 inches of rain and maybe some breezy conditions. If he decides to go a little west in the gulf, then it would change the "cone of uncertainty" back to cover my area. Definitely still a storm to watch since these things have a mind of their own.
Trout, give us an update on your son when you speak with him?
Thanks, Jenn.
I texted him earlier and he said that there were currently no plans to evaucate the base. I understand that the storm is moving away from him and towards Panana City and the armpit. He did ask if he could come to my house if he does get evacuated. I told him NO!
j/k of course I said yes
LOL!!!!! I'm glad to hear it
Trout, how is your son? Hoping he is safe!
It went to the East of him. Mr Giggles talked to him Saturday evening and he was grilling chicken. But Tyndall AFB is totally destroyed. However, Boy #1 is stationed at Hurlbert