Trump's 46 Defense - The Democrats Won The House Popular Vote By The Same Amount (7 pts) In 2018 As The Republicans Did In 2010, but won half as many seats
The ceiling for Trumpism has crystallized - 46%
Trump got 46% of the popular vote in 2016, and last night the Republicans got 46% of the popular national vote for the House of Representatives. That is all they can get. That is all Trump can get.
That is the ceiling, hopefully we will see some of the floor.
Because of GOP gerrymandering this decade, although the Democrats won the House popular vote total by 7%, they gained half as many seats as the GOP gained in 2010 when they also won the House aggregate by 7%.
In a presidential election, 53-46 is, in modern terms, a landslide. But because of the way Republicans have rigged the districts the Democrats don't see the benefit of that wide margin. Which is why winning governorships is so important. The new Democratic governors will have a say in how their states are redistricted going forward.
In the end though, now, the Democrats should feel very good about 2020. They already know what the number is they have to beat, and it is very beatable. Very few presidents have been elected or re-elected with 46% of the vote.
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The Pussycrats need to address all the ways that the Scum party cheats, and go after Trump HARD. But...they don't call 'em Pussycrats for nothing!
How does a party that loses popular votes by 7% attain power? They cheat.
There is plenty not Kosher about how the gop got into power to begin with...
Whatever. In 2010 there wasn't the specter of Russians or Russian money in the mix. Times have changed, Trump.
Trump's nuclear option is to bully, threaten, distract and fire his way through his troubles. Except now he won't have Nunes & cohorts to hide, bury, lose or distort for him.
The ceiling for Trumpism has crystallized - 46%
Well that is still a significant portion of the electorate behind this whatever you care to refer to it as. If that many folks feel left out enough to support the lunacy of the past few years, then perhaps we all need to do a bit of reflecting.
More than anything, one might want to take a look at what it exactly is (there are more than one issue) that is separating us. Though I certainly do not consider the media our enemy, I reluctantly must say they do not help the situation. Perhaps if they went back to reporting the news rather than being not only a part of it but considering it a form of entertainment, we would all be better served.
Do you actually fail to realize that millions of people fear the browning and blacking of America?
Trump's support is in part based on "racial grievance" on the part of whites who feel they are losing "their" country.
When Barack Obama became a serious presidential contender in 2008, and then it looked like he would actually win, millions and millions of whites had the realization that this thing was now headed in the "wrong" direction. Why do you think we got a"tea party" movement and protests less than three months after Obama took office?
I don't think white grievance totally explains Trump, but it is a noticeable part of it.
John, I was not only addressing the issue of race. Do you actually fail to realize that millions of people live in fear period?
There is something at the core of these folks angst and it has more things involved than race. 46% is fairly close to 50%, I'd be looking at the causes myself.