Crockett up by double digits in Texas Senate Democratic primary poll
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) holds a double-digit lead over her opponent in a hypothetical Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas, according to a survey released this week.
The two-week University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll , which concluded Feb. 16, shows the congresswoman leading Texas State Rep. James Talarico (D), 56 percent to 44 percent, among likely Democratic primary voters in Texas.
The poll was conducted just before the start of early voting , which began on Feb. 17 and lasts through Feb. 27. The primary will be held on March 3.
The survey also took place before Talarico got a boost of momentum last week from the national controversy surrounding his appearance on CBS’s “Late Show” with Stephen Colbert . The talk show host said CBS told him not to broadcast Talarico’s appearance, citing pressure from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), though the network denied the accusation.
Colbert pushed back, releasing the interview on YouTube, where it garnered millions of views and helped the campaign raise millions of dollars. Some political observers say the surprise development has the potential to be a last-minute game changer in the closely watched primary.
Talarico’s standing in the survey may reflect, in part, his relatively low name recognition, though that may shift after the CBS controversy.
While the congresswoman outpaces Talarico on favorability — with 71 percent of Democratic voters viewing Crockett favorably and 59 percent viewing Talarico favorably — more than a third of Democratic respondents say they don’t know of or have strong feelings about Talarico.
In the survey, 21 percent of Democrats say they don’t know or have no opinion of the Texas State representative, while 15 percent say they hold neither favorable nor unfavorable views of him. By contrast, 12 percent of the same group say they don’t know or have no opinion of Crockett, and 9 percent say they’re neutral on their feelings about her.
While polling has been sparse, other surveys have shown a tighter race , including at least one last month showing Talarico in the lead.
Talarico’s team on Wednesday also pointed to internal polling showing Talarico leading Crockett by four points. A spokesperson said the poll was conducted entirely before the Colbert interview.
On the Republican side, the survey shows the race to be closer, with Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn statistically tied at 36 percent and 34 percent, respectively. Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-Texas) follows with 26 percent support.
If no candidate wins a majority of the vote, the race will head to a runoff in May.
Texas has set a record for the most expensive Senate race in U.S. history, reaching a total of $110 million in campaign ad spending. Republicans have outspent Democrats, $88 million to approximately $22 million.
The survey was conducted Feb. 2-16 among 1,300 self-declared, registered voters in Texas, with a margin of error of 2.72 percentage points. The results of the hypothetical Democratic primary have a margin of error of 5.1 percentage points, while the GOP matchup has a margin of error of 5.24 percentage points.
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"The survey also took place before Talarico got a boost of momentum last week from the national controversy surrounding his appearance on CBS’s “Late Show” with Stephen Colbert . The talk show host said CBS told him not to broadcast Talarico’s appearance, citing pressure from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), though the network denied the accusation.
Colbert pushed back, releasing the interview on YouTube, where it garnered millions of views and helped the campaign raise millions of dollars. Some political observers say the surprise development has the potential to be a last-minute game changer in the closely watched primary."
I want to make sure everyone understands. The democrats don't think that the radical Jasmine Crockett (" You all" ) can win a statewide election in Texas. Therefore, Colbert was only going to give her democrat opponent airtime. Talarico is supposed to be the moderate democrat. It is very hard for a moderate democrat to beat a far-left democrat in a primary, but in this case the democrat party is trying to get the mostly unknown Talarico over the finish line.
You should have stopped right there. This is Texas and you don't have a clue,
No, "the democrats" would have been tickled to keep her in the House. She wasn't ready for Prime time and got into the race 3 months after Talarico.
How's that for a ballsy miscalculation?
Talarico kicked her butt.
Wesley Hunt also failed spectacularly in the Republican primary for the same Senate seat.
He too gambled and probably burned down a decent House career with the GOP.