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A Chinese ship just ran the US Hormuz blockade: 'This is a scary moment'

  

Category:  News & Politics

Via:  tig  •  7 months ago  •  31 comments

By:   Nick Hilden (Alternet. org)

A Chinese ship just ran the US Hormuz blockade: 'This is a scary moment'
President Donald Trump's war on Iran has brought numerous spiraling consequences, the most devastating of which was Iran's decision to block American allies from the Strait of Hormuz in response, which has sent gas prices skyrocketing and raised the specter of recession. Not to be outdone, Trump the...

One idiotic decision after another.


S E E D E D   C O N T E N T


President Donald Trump's war on Iran has brought numerous spiraling consequences, the most devastating of which was Iran's decision to block American allies from the Strait of Hormuz in response, which has sent gas prices skyrocketing and raised the specter of recession. Not to be outdone, Trump then declared that the United States would blockade the Strait to prevent any ships doing business with Iran from passing through.

This raised a number of questions from experts. While Trump had asserted that he would block "any and all ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz," many wondered, would that include Chinese or Russian vessels? And how would that exacerbate the situation?

Then on Tuesday morning, the first ship managed to pass through the American blockade. The ship — while flying a Malawi flag — is not only operated by China, but was already under U.S. sanctions for shipping Iranian oil in the past.

"Trump's blockade is getting an immediate test," said respected war strategy expert Phillips O'Brien. "A Chinese tanker has cleared the Strait of Hormuz. Will the US seize it? If the US does, is that an act of war? If it doesn't, does the blockade collapse? This is a scary moment."

When Trump announced the blockade on Sunday, O'Brien wrote that the president had "not fully thought out the implications of his actions and this can work out very differently than intended." At best, ships might decide to press through the blockade, and if successful, prove yet again that U.S. military might is not all it's cracked up to be. At worst, if a Chinese or Russian ship attempted to run the block and was attacked by the U.S., it could presage a disastrous global conflict.

On Tuesday morning, the Chinese Foreign Ministry called the U.S. escalation "dangerous and irresponsible," with a government spokesperson asserting that the U.S. "has increased its military deployment and adopted targeted blockade actions, which will only intensify contradictions, exacerbate tensions, undermine the already fragile ceasefire situation, and further impact the safety of passage in the strait."

Now, a Chinese ship under U.S. sanctions appears to have made it through, with three more currently in the Strait attempting to do the same. As this story develops, it marks a dangerous moment in the conflict.


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TᵢG
Professor Principal
1  seeder  TᵢG    7 months ago
"Trump's blockade is getting an immediate test," said respected war strategy expert Phillips O'Brien. "A Chinese tanker has cleared the Strait of Hormuz. Will the US seize it? If the US does, is that an act of war? If it doesn't, does the blockade collapse? This is a scary moment."

Wake up Congress!

 
 
 
devangelical
Professor Principal
1.1  devangelical  replied to  TᵢG @1    7 months ago

trump will give his friends in the authoritarian club a pass. no need to put his chinese trademarks and business interests at risk ...

 
 
 
Buzz of the Orient
Professor Expert
1.2  Buzz of the Orient  replied to  TᵢG @1    7 months ago

Maybe they let it go by due to respect for its age....

R-C.6d5cfd58a5046faefe3d20ed479944e0?rik=7Yae4h5dLSa%2fMA&riu=http%3a%2f%2fmedia.istockphoto.com%2fphotos%2fchinese-junk-ship-picture-id501422964%3fk%3d6%26m%3d501422964%26s%3d612x612%26w%3d0%26h%3dBraWY32vPN0rDf3jqSgK8CJvKfD-gxMhqZP1E4MhF78%3d&ehk=sgxGIhjOb7wn1L0ePn86NIiY9GREmN4qhjIvdc45qDo%3d&risl=&pid=ImgRaw&r=0

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
2  Sean Treacy    7 months ago

The Chinese ship did not run the blockade. 

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Sean Treacy @2    7 months ago

The headline is an exaggeration; not much I can do about that.

But the key point I wish to make is this:   What is Trump going to do if a Chinese ship refuses to be blocked?    Given China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil, they are not going to tolerate this for long.

If Trump backs down, the whole plan turns to shit.

If Trump does not back down, he could bring China into this mess.

To wit, this is yet another stupid move by Trump trying to fix the problems caused by his litany of other stupid moves.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1.1  Vic Eldred  replied to  TᵢG @2.1    7 months ago
The headline is an exaggeration; not much I can do about that.

Gee, I wonder why they "exaggerated?'


What is Trump going to do if a Chinese ship refuses to be blocked?  

As with every ship leaving the strait, it will be stopped, boarded and if it has Iranian oil turned around. China is not going to do anything about it. If china wants to do somethng to stop it they need only pressure Iran to accept Trump's generous deal.

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
2.1.2  Hallux  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.1    7 months ago
Gee, I wonder why they "exaggerated?'

They're taking dancing lessons with the New York Post?

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1.3  Vic Eldred  replied to  Hallux @2.1.2    7 months ago
They're taking dancing lessons with the New York Post?

No, they are looking at the war in political terms. On Monday they called Trump a "warmonger." A day later when he said he was giving Iran time to negotiate they called him "Taco." They live in a 24-hour news cycle in which every incident is twisted to defame the President.

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
2.1.4  Hallux  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.3    7 months ago

My mistake, they taking shifting lessons with Trump.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1.5  Vic Eldred  replied to  Hallux @2.1.4    7 months ago

It is beyond a mistake. We have approximately 100,000 military personnel in the theatre risking their lives trying to prevent Iran from achieving its goals and wishing for failure is basically treason.

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
2.1.6  Hallux  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.5    7 months ago

Yes, yes ... for the nth time you have bought into wmds.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.7  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.1    7 months ago
Gee, I wonder why they "exaggerated?'

The same reason you exaggerate Trump's rare successes and downplay/ignore his many failures.

China is not going to do anything about it.

You do not know what China would do.   Trump has created a situation of tension due to his series of stupid moves.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.8  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.3    7 months ago
They live in a 24-hour news cycle in which every incident is twisted to defame the President.

Trump defames himself more than any PotUS I have ever seen.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.9  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.5    7 months ago
We have approximately 100,000 military personnel in the theatre risking their lives trying to prevent Iran from achieving its goals and wishing for failure is basically treason.

Their nuclear capabilities were 'obliterated' last year.   And if that was a lie (likely), then a proper move would be to complete that job.   Trump, however, started a war with the objective (it would seem) of regime change and has blundered into a worldwide economic crisis.

And you continue to try to defend this fool.

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
2.1.10  Hallux  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.3    7 months ago
No, they are looking at the war in political terms.

War is political, maybe they've read Clausewitz, Negri or Alliez instead of such vapidities as The Art of the Steal by TACO the troll.

 
 
 
goose is back
Junior Participates
2.1.11  goose is back  replied to  TᵢG @2.1.7    7 months ago
You do not know what China would do. 

Has China done anything?

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.12  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  goose is back @2.1.11    7 months ago

Apparently, you missed that my point is about potential.

The fact that China has not yet done anything is irrelevant.   Trump is creating the conditions that raise the potential for a conflict with China.

Since you missed the point entirely, here are some examples of the principle:

  • If you taunt a wild animal, does the fact that it has not yet attacked you mean that it never will?
  • If you keep borrowing money, the fact that you have not hit your credit limit does not mean that you never will.
  • If you have a habit of running red lights, the fact that you have not gotten a ticket does not mean you will not get one in the future.

See?

 
 
 
SteevieGee
Professor Silent
2.1.13  SteevieGee  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.5    7 months ago
It is beyond a mistake. We have approximately 100,000 military personnel in the theatre risking their lives trying to prevent Iran from achieving its goals and wishing for failure is basically treason.

Wishing for failure is NOT treason.

 
 
 
Right Down the Center
Professor Participates
2.1.14  Right Down the Center  replied to  SteevieGee @2.1.13    7 months ago

Considering some of the traitor accusations the left have been throwing around for the last 10 or so years, wishing for failure IS treaason.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.15  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Right Down the Center @2.1.14    7 months ago

When someone, including a PotUS, is doing something bad for the nation, it is patriotic to wish for him to fail in that wrong endeavor.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1.16  Vic Eldred  replied to  TᵢG @2.1.7    7 months ago
The same reason you exaggerate Trump's rare successes and downplay/ignore his many failures.

The story you posted is an outright lie. The ship was turned around and sent back. China dared not make a move and now Iran is facing economic catastrophy.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.17  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.16    7 months ago

It the seed's author got the facts wrong, that is not me lying; I was not there.   It is not even the author necessarily lying since several sources reported this.

The point I have made, however, remains quite valid:

What is Trump going to do if a Chinese ship refuses to be blocked?    Given China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil, they are not going to tolerate this for long.

If Trump backs down, the whole plan turns to shit.

If Trump does not back down, he could bring China into this mess.

To wit, this is yet another stupid move by Trump trying to fix the problems caused by his litany of other stupid moves.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
2.1.18  Vic Eldred  replied to  TᵢG @2.1.17    7 months ago
It the author got the facts wrong that is not me lying.   I was not there.

But I never said you lied. I said the story you posted was a lie. You must know that we have members, now a majority in fact, who believe such stuff. As I recall we had a former member stake everything on a McClatchy Report that made a claim that Michael Cohen was in Prague. Remember that? So, we do have to be careful what we post.


The point I have made, however, remains quite valid:

What is Trump going to do if a Chinese ship refuses to be blocked?    Given China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil, they are not going to tolerate this for long.


China has already answered that question. Evidently, they aren't going to try anything militarily, most likely because Trump gave then a good look at what the US military is capable of and via his "madman act" a good look at what he is capable of.

It appears that China will do 2 things. 1) is to try and pressure Iran into a deal, but that won't be easy because the regime is all hard-core ideologues who are very straight forward about wanting to develop nuclear weapons to use on Israel and the US. 2) is to have an ambassador warn the US about a possible world-wide recession. That's been about it, unless you think they are holding back on a response as their tankers sit at anchor.


If Trump backs down, the whole plan turns to shit.

If Trump does not back down, he could bring China into this mess.

To wit, this is yet another stupid move by Trump trying to fix the problems caused by his litany of other stupid moves.

The final move has been made. It was always recommended by business leaders btw.

Have a good dat.

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
2.1.19  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @2.1.18    7 months ago
China has already answered that question.

No they have not!   They have not acted yet, but you cannot claim that they never will:

What is Trump going to do if a Chinese ship refuses to be blocked?    Given China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil, they are not going to tolerate this for long.

The final move has been made.

That is idiotic; the predicament continues thus potential actions continue.


Trump has foolishly created this situation and is damaging the world economy.

What drives you to continue to try to support this buffoon?

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
3  Nerm_L    7 months ago

Yes, the ship in question is the Rich Starry laden with methanol produced in UAE.  And I am convinced that China sent the ship through to 'throw down the gauntlet' so to speak.  It was a test to determine just how froggy the US Navy is going to be.   

So, why have the markets quieted?  Why are oil futures dropping?  I can only speculate that the markets are reacting to President Trump having to back down.  President Trump was forced to back down from his 'civilization-ending' threats.  And now President Trump's blockade is limited to Iranian ports and not the Strait itself.  Trump is being checked by more rational heads.  

Also keep in mind there is a lot of oil stored in the Persian Gulf.  When the Strait does finally open for all shipping traffic there will be a short lived glut of oil on the market.  Those trading oil futures don't want to get caught with orders for higher priced oil.

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
3.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  Nerm_L @3    7 months ago
can only speculate that the markets are reacting to President Trump having to back down.

What are you talking about? The whole point is to blockade Iranian ports, not the UAE. 

The blockade never had anything to do with the UAE.  The desperation to find something, anything, to claim the US is losing is bizarre. 

 
 
 
Nerm_L
Professor Expert
3.1.1  Nerm_L  replied to  Sean Treacy @3.1    7 months ago
What are you talking about? The whole point is to blockade Iranian ports, not the UAE. 

Which I addressed.  "And now President Trump's blockade is limited to Iranian ports and not the Strait itself.  Trump is being checked by more rational heads."  That's another Trump TACO.

The blockade never had anything to do with the UAE.  The desperation to find something, anything, to claim the US is losing is bizarre. 

Trump announced his own blockade of the Strait stating that no ships would be allowed in or out.  Vance backed up Trump's intent.  Apparently more rational heads in the US Navy intervened.

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
4  Vic Eldred    7 months ago

"A day into the U.S.-imposed military blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, several ships have apparently transited the narrow waterway, including at least two that reportedly had previously stopped at Iranian ports. However, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) is pushing back against claims that vessels ran the blockade. As we noted yesterday, CENTCOM said the maritime exclusion operation would be "enforced impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman."

Navy Turns Around Ships Trying To Run Blockade Of Iran (Updated)

 
 
 
TᵢG
Professor Principal
4.1  seeder  TᵢG  replied to  Vic Eldred @4    7 months ago

China is Iran's largest oil customer.

 
 
 
devangelical
Professor Principal
4.1.1  devangelical  replied to  TᵢG @4.1    7 months ago

it shouldn't take very long for 100 million chinese to dig a trench from iran to china for their new pipeline ...

 
 
 
Hallux
Professor Principal
4.1.2  Hallux  replied to  devangelical @4.1.1    7 months ago

No need the ESPO (Eastern Siberia-Pacific Ocean) pipeline carries 700,000 barrels per day.

 
 

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