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GOP is 'never going back' from Trump and party's future 'isn’t likely to be pretty': pollster

  
Via:  John Russell  •  3 years ago  •  58 comments


GOP is 'never going back' from Trump and party's future 'isn’t likely to be pretty': pollster
"...GOP base voters have shown no appetite for going back to the way the party was before Trump's 2016 election campaign,"

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P ollster Sarah Longwell has a dire message for Republicans who insist the party is ready to "move on" from   former President Donald Trump .


Writing in The Bulwark , the anti-Trump strategist says that conversations she's had with GOP base voters have shown no appetite for going back to the way the party was before Trump's 2016 election campaign, and she noted that even Trump imitators such as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are having trouble convincing the GOP base of their bonafides.

In fact, Longwell says that recent focus groups with GOP voters have shown them souring on DeSantis in the wake of Trump's attacks.

"Voters I talked to recently say they’re 'a little concerned' about DeSantis 'because he’s still establishment,' and that 'he seems like more of an open-borders, Paul Ryan kind of guy,'" she writes. "Others called him 'more of a politician than Trump is' and said 'he is very much one of those political, swampy guys.' Words that stood out when we asked voters to describe DeSantis: 'wishy-washy' 'a little shady,' and 'not trustworthy.'"








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JohnRussell
Professor Principal
1  seeder  JohnRussell    3 years ago
THERE ARE EVENTS SO EPOCHAL that they create clear periods of before and after: Hiroshima; the fall of the Berlin Wall; 9/11. Eight years after he declared his intention to run for president, it’s now clear that we should consider Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign not as part of America’s political continuum but as one of these temporal dividing lines.

In American politics, there were conventions and candidates that existed in 2015 Republican politics as  the before times.  2015 BT. Before Trump.  

Before the escalator and “grab ’em by the p***y.” Before Muslim bans and a wall Mexico would never pay for. Before we’d heard of Marjorie Taylor Greene, or Lauren Boebert, or the QAnon shaman. Before an American president sided with Vladimir Putin over his own government’s intelligence network. Before Donald Trump became the first president to turn his back on the peaceful transfer of power. 

This period has existed outside of nearly all established norms, yet many Americans seem to believe that it is an interregnum. An aberration. An accident of history that will undo itself—soon—as norms and the old equilibrium return.

I think this view misunderstands the true nature of what has happened to the Republican  party  because it does not see what has happened to Republican  voters . 

I’ve sat through hundreds of focus groups with GOP voters over the last four years and one thing is perfectly clear: The Republican party has been irretrievably altered and, as one GOP voter put it succinctly, “We’re never going back.”

 
 
 
Vic Eldred
Professor Principal
1.2  Vic Eldred  replied to  JohnRussell @1    3 years ago

The answer to that is the very one that Ron DeSantis must articulate: Donald Trump was a great President, but we have to move on or lose.

Let us not forget that it is the democrats who have made Trump a martyr.

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
2  seeder  JohnRussell    3 years ago

I and others have been saying for years now that things are going to get worse, and that Trump supporters are a greater danger than Trump himself. 

Things are going to get worse. 

 
 
 
cjcold
Professor Quiet
2.1  cjcold  replied to  JohnRussell @2    3 years ago

How ya gonna keep em down on the farm once they've drunk the Kool-Aid?

Ever since Fox empowered low IQ rednecks it's been a downward spiral.

"When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross"

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Senior Guide
2.1.1  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  cjcold @2.1    3 years ago

Were they low IQ rednecks and blue collar workers when they were electing Dems?

 
 
 
cjcold
Professor Quiet
2.1.3  cjcold  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @2.1.1    3 years ago

You mean way back when Dems were conservative and liberals were called republicans?

Funny how words morph after time. 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
2.1.4  Sean Treacy  replied to  cjcold @2.1.3    3 years ago
mean way back when Dems were conservative and liberals were called republicans?

You think FDR was a conservative? 

 
 
 
George
PhD Expert
2.1.5  George  replied to  cjcold @2.1.3    3 years ago

And yet Dems still are racists for the most part, they still feel African Americans can't succeed without their help. the stupid Mother fucker in the whitehouse thinks African American Women aren't smart enough to raise their own children without a white social workers help.

 
 
 
Greg Jones
Professor Participates
2.2  Greg Jones  replied to  JohnRussell @2    3 years ago

Oh...the horror of it all!

 
 
 
Ed-NavDoc
Professor Quiet
2.3  Ed-NavDoc  replied to  JohnRussell @2    3 years ago

They already have gotten worse, Joe Biden got elected!

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
3  JBB    3 years ago

Is it any wonder the once Grand Old Party of Lincoln is now known in the lower case as merely "the gop"?

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4  Sean Treacy    3 years ago

Even if trump is the nominee and gets boat raced, the republicans will be back.  Every victory is temporary, a lesson democrsts never seem to learn despite their own history.  They nominated William Jennings Bryan and lost three times.  Didn’t stop them from electing Woodrow Wilson to two terms.  Republicans complete domination of the 20s didn’t prevent the democrats from obtaining massive majorities in the 30s and 40s. 

Nixon and Reagan won blowouts democrats have never come close to replicating, yet democrats recaptured the presidency within a few cycles. 

trump may matter a lot in 2024. He will be absolutely irrelevant to the results in 2032.

   

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
4.1  JBB  replied to  Sean Treacy @4    3 years ago

Please keep whistling past the gop's graveyard!

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4.1.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  JBB @4.1    3 years ago
lease keep whistling past the gop's graveyard!

I don' think you understand what that means. Less than six months ago the Republicans won a majority of House votes in the national election. 

Unless you have the brain power of a goldfish, it's clear that Democrats aren't even close to becoming a dominate party like they were in the 1930s or the Republicans were in the 20s.  

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
4.2  seeder  JohnRussell  replied to  Sean Treacy @4    3 years ago

until trump came along Ronald Reagan was the god.  now reagan is an afterthought in right wing circles. 

still reagan was up there for 35 years. and you think trump will be gone in 2032?  he might be dead by then but he wont be gone. 

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4.2.1  Sean Treacy  replied to  JohnRussell @4.2    3 years ago
came along Ronald Reagan was the god.  now reagan is an afterthought in right wing circles. 

And Bill Clinton was a god in Democratic circles until it became convenient for Democrats to oppose rape again in 2016 and now Clinton is an after thought, even though he's still alive. 

All Republicans did was invo

nd you think trump will be gone in 2032?  he might be dead by then but he wont be gone. 

The only way he's relevant is if he wins again. Do you think that happens.   

No one is voting for a candidate who's not been on a ballot in 8 or 12 years. Unless Trump wins in 2024, he'll be irrelevant by 2028.  

Look at Obama. Democrats will say a nice word about him on the trail, but he's totally irrelevant when it comes to people actually voting. 

 
 
 
Ozzwald
Professor Quiet
4.3  Ozzwald  replied to  Sean Treacy @4    3 years ago
Even if trump is the nominee and gets boat raced, the republicans will be back.  Every victory is temporary, a lesson democrsts never seem to learn despite their own history.

When was the last time a GOP candidate for President received more votes than the Democrat candidate?

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
4.3.1  JBB  replied to  Ozzwald @4.3    3 years ago

2004. Before that it was 1988...

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Senior Guide
4.3.2  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  Ozzwald @4.3    3 years ago

Bush 2004

 
 
 
Ozzwald
Professor Quiet
4.3.3  Ozzwald  replied to  JBB @4.3.1    3 years ago
2004. Before that it was 1988...

And that is more telling about the future of the democratic and republican parties than anything else.

Republican party is waning, while democratic party is waxing.

 
 
 
Drinker of the Wry
Senior Guide
4.3.4  Drinker of the Wry  replied to  Ozzwald @4.3.3    3 years ago

while democratic party is waxing.

I prefer bush but it's her choice.

 
 
 
Just Jim NC TttH
Professor Expert
4.3.5  Just Jim NC TttH  replied to  Drinker of the Wry @4.3.4    3 years ago

jrSmiley_10_smiley_image.gif

 
 
 
JBB
Professor Principal
4.3.6  JBB  replied to  Just Jim NC TttH @4.3.5    3 years ago

Do you really think it is funny the gop only won the popular vote in one Presidential election in the last thirty five years?  

 
 
 
Just Jim NC TttH
Professor Expert
4.3.7  Just Jim NC TttH  replied to  JBB @4.3.6    3 years ago

Where'd you get that ass-umption? i was laughing at DotW's commentary on bush rather than "waxing"

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4.3.10  Sean Treacy  replied to  Texan1211 @4.3.8    3 years ago
nd you think trump will be gone in 2032?  he might be dead by then but he wont be gone. 

It's the goldfish brain at work. Biden won a narrow victory so they can't conceive of ever losing. Democrats elected one person, Grover Cleveland,  between 1860 and 1912.  20 years later they were at their most powerful position in history. Things change. Always. Democrats think whatever the situation is today will last forever. 

 
 
 
Ozzwald
Professor Quiet
4.3.11  Ozzwald  replied to  Sean Treacy @4.3.10    3 years ago
Biden won a narrow victory
  • Biden had won about 81.2 million votes, the most votes a candidate has won in US history.
  • Biden won 306 electoral votes, while Trump had 232.

I think you need to re-examine your use of the word "narrow".

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4.3.14  Sean Treacy  replied to  Ozzwald @4.3.11    3 years ago
n about 81.2 million votes, the most votes a candidate has won in US history.

You mean the candidate who won the election with the most people voting ever got the most votes? Crazy. Does that make Trump the second most popular candidate ever since he got the second most amount of votes, ever? 

It's almost as if as the population grows, so to will the number of votes the candidates receive. 

n won 306 electoral votes, while Trump had 232.

45,000 votes switch in a few states and Trump wins.  

Convincing wins happened in 08, 88, 84, 72, 64  etc..   

 
 
 
Ozzwald
Professor Quiet
4.3.15  Ozzwald  replied to  Sean Treacy @4.3.14    3 years ago
You mean the candidate who won the election with the most people voting ever got the most votes?

Isn't that the way it is supposed to work?

Does that make Trump the second most popular candidate ever since he got the second most amount of votes, ever? 

Sure, you can look at it that way.  But it also makes him the biggest loser in history since he lost by more votes than any other presidential candidate in history.

It's almost as if as the population grows, so to will the number of votes the candidates receive.

You'd think, but it does not seem to be working that way for republicans.  Younger generations are going to the left.

45,000 votes switch in a few states and Trump wins.

Wins again while still losing the popular votes.  You are correct. 

Do you think elections should work that way, where the less popular candidate wins?

 
 
 
Sean Treacy
Professor Principal
4.3.19  Sean Treacy  replied to  Ozzwald @4.3.15    3 years ago
Isn't that the way it is supposed to work?

Of course.. You are the one who bizarrely argued that it means Biden's win wasn't narrow. 

Sure, you can look at it that way.  

but I don't, because I understand how percentages work. 

t it does not seem to be working that way for republicans

You must have missed the point where I pointed out Trump got the second most amount of votes in history. I'll say it again "as the population grows, so to will the number of votes candidates receive.

So it does, in fact, work that way for Republicans too. 

Do you think elections should work that way, where the less popular candidate wins?

I think the winning candidate should be able to command votes overs a geographically diverse area and appeal to different constituencies. 

 
 
 
Ozzwald
Professor Quiet
4.3.21  Ozzwald  replied to  Sean Treacy @4.3.19    3 years ago
but I don't, because I understand how percentages work.

You never equated your definition of "narrow" to percentage instead of number of votes.  If it makes you feel better, yes you can say the percentage made it a narrow victory without acknowledging that it equated to millions of votes.

You must have missed the point where I pointed out Trump got the second most amount of votes in history.

Once again, if you choose to look at it in a certain manner, yes you could say Trump got the 2nd largest number of votes.  However you also have to acknowledge that those do not equate to other candidates with the 2022 elections, and the failed "red wave" providing evidence of that.

So it does, in fact, work that way for Republicans too. 

And how did that 2022 "red wave" work out for republicans?

I think the winning candidate should be able to command votes overs a geographically diverse area and appeal to different constituencies.

Why do you reply to a question yet still refuse to answer it?

 
 
 
JohnRussell
Professor Principal
6  seeder  JohnRussell    3 years ago

What are the Republican (MAGA) issues here in April 2023?

White victimization .  A large portion of republicans believe whites are the real victims of racism .

Transgenders playing girls sports.

Defunding the FBI.

Hunter Biden.

being "anti-woke'. 

banning books and defunding libraries.

defending the Jan 6th rioters

NONE of these are at the top of the list of Americans concerns. MAGA is causing the Republican Party to commit self-abuse. 

 
 

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