Scientists warn 'greatest risk to civilisation' coming sooner than thought
By: Claudia Trotman (The Mirror US)
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
A study has warned the 'greatest risk to the future of civilization' could trigger societal breakdown much sooner than previously thought, with experts cautioning that the crisis may reach a tipping point within two decades
Scientists have issued a stark warning about when humanity could begin to see the collapse of civilization - and the clock is ticking faster than we think.
Previously, Elon Musk claimed that declining birth rates pose the "greatest risk to the future of civilisation." Currently, the fertility rate in the US hovers at 1.62, a figure that appears to trouble Elon. As of 2022, the UK registers even lower at 1.57. Research suggests nations need a fertility rate of 2.7 children per woman to sustain population levels.
Experts are now cautioning that within just two decades, we could be staring down the barrel of societal collapse. Previously, academics thought roughly 2.1 was adequate to ward off long-term extinction. However, the research team contended the original calculation didn't adequately factor in crucial elements such as mortality rates, sex ratio distribution, the reality that some adults choose not to have children, and natural fluctuations in family size. It comes after the late Professor Stephen Hawking predicted the exact date of the apocalypse.
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Musk, who regularly claims to be "banging on the baby drum" has been sounding the alarm on this alleged crisis for years. He claimed it would become "the biggest problem the world will face in years," reports the Daily Star.
He added that declining birthrates would also trigger fewer workers, mounting debt, overstretched healthcare and pension systems. He even suggested it might spark complete social chaos.
ictability] in fertility and mortality rates, and sex ratios, a fertility rate higher than the standard replacement level is necessary to ensure sustainability of our population."
The research team emphasized that maintaining population sustainability requires consistently achieving specific fertility targets each year. They contend that languages, ancestral lineages, diversity and cultural heritage all depend on meeting these demographic thresholds.
In their paper published in the journal Plos One, the researchers noted: "The underpopulation crisis has been a serious threat to the sustainability of developed countries."
They added: "The worldwide total fertility rate - the number of children per woman - has dropped from 5.3 in the 1960s to 2.3 in 2023."
Currently, the Republic of Korea has the world's lowest fertility rate at just 0.87. BBC News reports that specialists point to high living expenses, intense workplace expectations, and increasing desires for better work-life balance as contributing factors.
In the UK, birth rates have fallen dramatically over the past ten years. Latest figures connected to the 'baby bust' reveal that some boroughs have seen a 60% decline in women having babies since 2013.
Meanwhile, a doomsday map revealed the 4 safest US states to survive armageddon.
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I used to think that humanity would react to global warming and climate change in time to avert utter calamity. I dont think I feel that way any longer. There are too many people who would let the planet go to hell as long as they get theirs.
They are banking on having so much they can have their own private armies or alternatively just don't give a fuck because they will be dead by the time things deteriorate that much.
Musk wants to move humanity to Mars, more particularly those who can afford it.
the ultra wealthy are reverting back to their good old days, you know, feudalism ...
I’m all for Musk and his kind moving to Mars. They can take their money with them. Should do them a lot of good on a rocky, barren planet.
he hasn't yet figured out how to get all the workers needed there to run his neo-nazi maga nirvana to pay for their own ticket.
There have always been "ultra-wealthy" and there always will be.
There have been numerous attempts to "level the playing field" (in more modern times that's been called "Communism") but its never suceeded for any significant length of time.
I would think it would be more a case of those who actually want to go ...(regardless of wealth)!
diseased microbes from past earth atmospheres, once long frozen in the polar ice caps now melting, are mutating their way thru the food chain for the next pandemic. fortunately in north america, most of the human threats to civilization are anti-vax ...
Didn’t watch the video i see. Not surprised.
as soon as I saw that it was a fake journalist with $787.5 million settlement paid liar media credentials, I clicked it off. that's a valid reason to most maga, right?
Just admit you can’t refute ANY of the climate lies exposed in the video that suckers slurp up. It’s ok, really.
Your video deals with the more extreme predictions. Yes, it is unfortunate that bozos like Gore exaggerate. But the key is that the video does recognize that climate change is indeed happening.
Here is a rebuttal video that presents climate change and consequences in a factual, scientific manner.
Go to 14:52 to see the core claim of this video:
It is irresponsible (and stupid) to focus on exaggerations and mistakes and then conclude that the core understanding of climate change and its consequences is wrong.
Yes, the video does recognize that climate change is happening. No one i know denies that. The point of the video is to call out climate alarmist groups who sell fear and profit very well from that. That’s all. things are not nearly as bleak as a few of the comments make them out to be. Go ahead and have the last word.
According to my research:
and:
Did you not read what I wrote in my comment??
One can always find alarmists and extremists. They exist in every imaginable domain. So when someone focuses on the extremes, they are misrepresenting actual reality. Extremists, by definition, are a fringe minority.
And don't forget-- there are term limits in The Constitution!!!
Western economies that are built on an pyramid shaped population will struggle to survive demographic collapse. That's obvious.
The Cone Heads weren't real-- that's all fiction!
He's an idiot. We have far too many people on this planet as it is and the population keeps growing exponentially... We can't feed the people we have, and with the price food going through the roof, it's not going to get better.
Here is a site that lists global population by year.
Population is not "growing exponentially"
Less people are starving now than ever, despite more people sharing the planet than ever before.
These arguments were trendy in 1970. The world passed them by. .
I'll just assume you didn't follow the link....thanks.
Just an FYI? Since 1970 the planet has added just shy of 5 billion people. Have a great day.
very similar to the maga mentalities that we're dealing with ...
I've noticed my kids who were a bit indifferent to politics in the past, are very interested now, because of it's negative financial effects on them ...
Right. That's literally the point..
And where are widespread famines etc that people were predicting in 1970? Go read the Population Bomb written in 1968 making the same claims you are now and have a good laugh.
And a global fertility rate of 2.2 is not "exponential growth." It's barely any growth and negative growth in wealth generating countries. . Words have meaning.
And is fucking the atmosphere and running out of water, drill baby drill contributes to increased eathquakes.
Don't worry, be happy.
republicans were trendy in the 80's. the world passed them by ...
Exactly right.
There have always been people who operate more out of self-interest (as opposed to altruism).
He really is only banging the drum for white babies.
There are techniques you can use to delay orgasm!
Too bad Fred didn't use them indefinitely, though I'm sure Mary Anne was hoping for it to be over as fast as possible.
Like being anywhere near Trump.