Biden brings the world closer to nuclear war
By: MSN
Over the past six months, the world has edged closer to nuclear war than it has been since the Cuban Missile Crisis. The Doomsday Clock is ticking toward midnight. The global power balance has been dramatically reshuffled, and the potential for disastrous miscalculation hasn't been so high in 80 years. The match and fuse for this is instability - an exaggerated sense of U.S. weakness and lack of capability and resolve - that could lead to huge, aggressive military miscalculations and mistakes by our enemies. The Biden administration has set the table for such a catastrophe.
© Getty Images President Biden speaks on Thursday's bombings in Kabul
The timing could not be more dangerous. China has changed strategic direction and has been building its nuclear stockpile and delivery systems. China also has continued to develop hypersonic weapons, including stand-off "carrier killers," space weapons and cyber capabilities to blind opponents' strategic and conventional systems. Russia has been advertising (mostly for domestic consumption, but nonetheless worrying) its "unstoppable" delivery systems, and has a very capable nuclear stockpile and military. Iran will continue to move forward with building nuclear weapons. Pakistan and India both have significant nuclear capability in an increasingly unstable part of the world. Nuclear-armed North Korea is again assuming a more belligerent posture. Israel has a full nuclear triad (land, air, subs) to respond to existential aggression. The U.K. and France have significant nuclear deterrents. The world is a powder keg.
In Hollywood terms, today's capacity for nuclear holocaust is thousands of times greater than the era portrayed in the Armageddon films "On the Beach," "Fail Safe," or "Dr. Strangelove." There would not be anything left for "Mad Max." Climate disasters may be unfolding over the next hundred years. Nuclear disaster is unfolding now. COVID-19 has killed more Americans than the flu typically does. Nuclear war could kill us all. Our leaders must get their priorities straight.
The danger lies in the growing global perception of weakness and incompetence in the Biden administration, combined with claims of the politicized weakening of the FBI, CIA, State Department and Defense Department. This has crystallized in Secretary of State Antony Blinken's unsure Anchorage meeting with the Chinese, Biden's wooden Geneva summit with Russia's Vladimir Putin, the colossal failure of the Afghan withdrawal, which may devolve into a humiliating hostage crisis for America, and the budget- and inflation-based defunding of Defense. In addition, the fully-politicized Intelligence and Armed Services Committees on Capitol Hill add to the danger. Our enemies may decide that now is the time to move.
It would be a huge miscalculation.
Catastrophic mistakes at this scale often unfold when isolated events light powder kegs, which then inexorably explode into global conflict.
An incident in Sarajevo lit a powder keg of nationalistic, economic and ambitious personality struggles in Europe to unleash World War I. A century later, possible "Sarajevos" are numerous: China's overly aggressive and self-confident People's Liberation Army pushing for the use of military force against Taiwan, calculating a weak and ineffective U.S. response, leading to the sinking of a U.S. carrier and a potential march toward nuclear exchange. Major North Korean aggression against South Korea, or an off-course North Korean missile hitting a Japanese city. A successful Iranian (Hamas, Hezbollah) terrorist attack against an Israeli city. The seizure of one or more Pakistani nuclear weapons systems by a Taliban or another terrorist-linked group. Overt aggression or a "misunderstanding" between Pakistan and India. A "Crimson Tide" communications error. Proof that a devastating bioterror attack was intentional. The list of potential doomsday scenarios is endless.
The one powerful factor holding back such miscalculations has been coherent U.S. foreign policy and resolve, combined with pragmatists in Moscow and Beijing. But in the past six months, the world's confidence in the U.S. leadership has begun to slip. An agonizing hostage crisis would make it even more dangerous. Added to that is the potential that a stubborn and wounded U.S. administration might overreact to try to show its strength. The U.S. has devastating counter-measures for all enemy strategies, and an enemy underestimating that power, combined with a White House trying to prove itself, could be disastrous.
Some will say it started with Donald Trump. That may be true, but it's irrelevant, and there is some evidence from China, Russia and North Korea that Trump's loud, unpredictable behavior kept things far more in check than Joe Biden's overt weakness and blunders.
In addition, there is no room for "disarmament," "peace movement" or "the squad" nonsense politics. Today, "treaties" are useful but cannot prevent disaster. The return to safe global strategic balance will require America regaining the world's respect, and our enemies' fear. That is the only course to create the strategic balance to avert Armageddon. And it requires full bipartisan support - recent patterns of cynical opportunism have no place when facing these threats.
The only way forward is to fully recognize the growing danger and for this administration to immediately replace the inept National Security Council, State Department, Defense and perhaps intelligence teams with truly capable, first-class, experienced leaders. Most of the current team should go. Global security demands an immediate leadership, strategy, organization and process re-set.
Grady Means is a writer (GradyMeans.com) and former corporate strategy consultant. He served in the White House as a policy assistant to Vice President Nelson Rockefeller. Follow him on Twitter @gradymeans1.
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I think I've seen this movie before.
The page link goes to "whoops!"
The last time I kissed my arse goodbye was 2 years ago, it was premature. Mr. Grady Means' is posturing his paranoia prematurely.
Mutually Assured Destruction equals Mutually Assured Deterrence and my holy bodily fluids are doing just fine.
'The return to safe global strategic balance will require America regaining the world's respect, and our enemies' fear.'
And how, pray tell, is a world living in terror 'safe?'
You understand the concept of a self-negating premise, do you not?
Don't ask me. I didn't write the damned article. I just posted the opinion.
Say what, you don't grow into what you seed? ; - )
LOL nope
The last six months have shown that is far beyond the abilities if Joe Biden.
Says the man living in a country that instills fear and paranoia in both it's enemies and allies.
Really? How? I didn't think China was the world's policeman that goes and fights wars in other countries. In fact, China provides more soldiers for the UN Peacekeeping Forces than any other nation.
And you talk about CHINA instilling fear and paranoia....Here is how China looks at it....
US uses politics of fear to target China
The CCP did give the US diplomats (Biden's group) a good spanking at the Alaska meeting!
"Mr Yang said human rights in the US were at a low point, with black Americans being "slaughtered".
Translating betwen Chinese and English is somewhat difficutl. I would have used the word "murdered" instead of "slaughtered".
Either way, I think you could agree that Mr Yang put them in their place?
IMO huge benefits would be mutually enjoyed by both America and China and in fact the whole world if the accusations and bashing would stop and the countries started to cooperate. However, I know damn well that the Republicans would jump all over Biden if he were to try to normalize relations with China.
Recognize Taiwan?
Today you were “Too clever by half”. All you had to do was agree with me.
Gotta find SOMEWHERE to sell the arms, or where would the American economy be? Keep stirring the pot, it's good for business.
'...where would the American economy be?'
That's the thing. When your economy is based on the military industrial complex, world peace would be devastating.
Is it?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe arms exports average around a quarter of all American export income. That's quite a bite.
I dunno, which is why I'm asking.
It certainly seems like we stopped being the military industrial complex a long time ago and started being the healthcare industrial complex.
Our healthcare spending is about 6 times the defense budget.
Maybe if the CCCP government would actually allow you to get news outside of their propaganda machine once in a while.
Poor little picked on China. They remind of the high school bully that tormented me, who finally found out it was me that turned him into the police; and then acted shocked, simply shocked, that I could betray him that way! Said he would "Never trust another of his victims again!" That is the CCCP in a nutshell. They go around threatening everyone in the neighborhood; knowing that none of them can stand up against China- even combined (like that ever would happen). And then acts offended when the US shows up to and forces it to back down just a little.
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'...if the accusations and bashing would stop and the countries started to cooperate.'
Agreed! That things are where they are attests to the terminal corruption of our political system.
I guess the many times I've said this seems to have been ignored. Every day I watch and read the CTV Canada Television News, USA Today, BING news, The MSN conglomerate of multiple news sites for American news and the MSN conglomerate of multiple news sites for World news, and yes I do read the China Daily because unlike most, if not all, NT members I like to know BOTH sides of stories before I comment, and believe it or not I can open FOX News here, when I could use a laugh. And I have no VIP or special way to abridge censorship, but use a normal internet service same as most Chinese people.
The US is the largest arms exporter in the world by a long way.
No doubt. But that doesn't mean we're a "military-industrial complex".
We exported about $175 billion of arms in 2020. We spent over 20 times that on healthcare.
The defense budget was $714 billion, which dwarfs every other country in the world. We still spent well over 5 times that on healthcare.
So it appears that the "military-industrial complex" may be a somewhat antiquated idea.
Whether one believes there is or isn't a military-industrial complex this article is well worth reading and gives a different insight into the ''complex''
That article is quite an education. The scary thing is how important it is for the economy of the USA to keep producing weapons, and then looking for where to use them in order to make their production worthwhile. The 20-year war was a godsend. Now the fact that America is turning its eyes to China makes me somewhat uncomfortable.
Defense is one of those things like insurance. You're convinced you're spending far too much on it until all of a sudden you need it and then you wish you had better stuff than you do.
"Ah, but a man's reach should exceed his grasp, Or what's a heaven for?" (Andrea del Sarto - Robert Browning)
Could become the motto of the USA.
Biden brings the World closer to nuclear war? Really? How?
Besides, conservatism is dead. It's ideology is even more dead. All it tries to sell is fear, ignorance and the hollowness of the MAGA.
Funny how all these morons get on here "Biden's not brining the world closer to nuclear war" then provide absolutely NOTHING to back up their claims. Even propaganda like CNN are smart enough to provide at least ONE link, story or comment to substantiate their opinion.
You require backup for a denial of a claim for which there is no valid backup? LOL
The Doomsday Clock is an actual thing, managed by a group of atomic scientists who move the clock closer to midnight when the world is deemed to be in increasing peril. It HAS NOT been moved forward since Joe Biden became president.
It was moved forward three times during Trump's presidency though.
The hysteria in the seed has nothing to do with the Doomsday Clock.
'The hysteria in the seed...'
The saying 'desperate times call for desperate measures' applies here. Extremists want desperate measures. So continually they must peddle desperate times.' This is a tactic used with intentional malice to destabilize the state and drive it in the direction their narrative favors.
Good analysis.