2024 blowout brewing: Trump 45%-Biden 32%
By: Paul Bedard
Whoops!!
S E E D E D C O N T E N T
I n what would be one of the biggest political comebacks in American history, former President Donald Trump has surged into a double digit lead over President Joe Biden in the latest 2024 matchup poll.
In today’s Rasmussen Reports survey, likely voters picked Trump to beat Biden, 45% to 32% if the election were held today, a gap that is even higher among independents who have become the critical swing group. They chose Trump 47%-20%.
Added the poll analysis, "Only 69% of those who say they voted for Biden last year would vote for him again if the election were held today. Eight percent (8%) of Biden’s 2020 voters would switch to Trump, who would get 83% support from those who voted for him last year."
The surprising results follow months of bad polls for Biden since his team blundered the withdrawal from Afghanistan and a surge of support for Trump despite continued media obituaries and analysis from liberals that ignore the views of so-called “fly-over” country.
Other polls this week also show that Trump is leading in some key states Biden won in 2020, showing that the Republican is also leading in the Electoral College election.
What's more in polls of potential GOP primary opponents, including former Vice President Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Trump leads by miles.
Similar to 2016 surveys that found many voters supportive of Trump but not his sometimes abrasive style, when asked if it is a “good idea” that Trump act on plans to run again, 49% said it was a “bad idea” to 41% who like it. Women especially aren’t eager for Trump to run again, said the survey.
The gap on the “good idea” versus “bad idea” question of running again was much wider for Biden, with just 30% calling his plan to run for reelection a good idea and 56% a bad idea.
On that question, many more Democrats gave Biden a thumbs down. Rasmussen said that 27% of Democrats feel a reelection bid is a bad idea to 55% who like it. And among independents, the spread was 3-to-1 against.
Biden has been on a long fall that was punctuated by Virginia Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Terry McAuliffe’s surprising defeat earlier this month. Since, other Democrats have hinted that they hope Biden doesn’t campaign for them.
What’s more, Democrats have become willing to consider that Biden, who just turned 79, will not run for reelection though they are queasy over the possibility that Vice President Kamala Harris, who is even less popular than Biden, would win the nomination.
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I'll be damned. He, Mr. Biden, seems to be in deep shit. Go figure
Let the naysaying begin!!
The right-wing Rasmussen is 24th out of 28 polls as far as accuracy goes.
Oh ya, Biden's doing great/S
Pithy comeback.
Do the research.
I am all for throwing Biden and the Democrats out of power; but could the Republicans come up with someone other than Trump? I know that Trump is positioning himself for the run; and it seems that the qualified Republicans are standing aside to see what he will do; but I am not a Trump fan. There are others that can get the job done; and will have more standing to confront the Democrats on all their BS.
But if comes down to Trump and any Democrat- it will be Trump. (I will just stock up on antacids, popcorn, and ear plugs).
This.
10000 times this.
I hear you. I’m growing tired of voting for the one who stinks less
I used to vote for the best candidate regardless of party; mostly went 3rd party truthfully. But with the way things are since Trump was elected, it has to be the lesser of two evils from now on.
Right now the Democrats are unfit to lead at any level.
The thing the Republicans have that Democrats don't is a list of people who have made Democrats into the laughing stock we are dealing with today. One of them happens to be Donald Trump. Not only did he embarrass the Democrats but he was far more successful in 4 years than most of them have been in their entire careers. But on the other hand there are some good contenders as well that have handed it to the Democrats time and again like DeSantis and Abbott.
I would take a moderate Democrat that jumped ship like Manchin in a heartbeat. Even Tulsi Gabbard would be a breath of fresh air; and might keep us from doing "stupid shit" in foreign military affairs.
Neither are traditional Republicans- but then neither is Trump.
I think I would have had a hard time deciding if Tulsi had gotten the nod. She was one of THE best dems on those debate stages.
I really hope he runs.
So do I; but it seems unlikely that either will run- much the less as Republicans.
At this point I am just look for alternatives. Someone in the Republican Party needs to step up and soon; before Trump becomes a lock for the nomination. (Not looking at you Liz Cheney; never ever at you).
I think they could. They have a better bench than the Democrats.
Trump is an ass and a cad, but he is a much better presidential choice than ol joe ever hopes of being....
Even such he still won't get my vote...
Are we gonna have to watch the left do that shit again? That primary thingy?
Anyone who votes for Trump in 2024 will be in disgrace for the rest of their lives.
Trump is bad; but Biden is a thousand times worse. There is no defense of Biden or the Democrats at any level.
Democrats, at least progressives, can't govern. They've turned the richest city in America into a a feces covered homeless camp. Organized looting of businesses has become an industry and revolving prison doors result in terrorists murdering people at parades. Most Americans don't want to live in a third world country, which is what progressives over them.
No ideologues can.
One of the progressives who wrote the book "The Emerging Democratic Majority" that so many Democrats took to mean they could go batshit crazy and would still win because of race has sounded the alarm. He recognizes how badly Democrats have alienated normal people and published a guide for Democrats to stay relevant. Nothing demonstrates how far gone the Democrats are as much as these statements are now outside the mainstream of Democratic orthodoxy:
My nightmare in 2015 was that Hillary and Trump would emerge as the 2016 nominees. My nightmare now is that Biden and Trump will emerge as the 2024 nominees.
The far-right wing propaganda machine lied long, hard and repeatedly about Hillary and Joe.
That has nothing to do with my position on Hillary (or Biden).
I don't think that will happen. Perhaps I'm being optimistic but I just can't see it...
I do not either. See @9.1
I do not either.
It likely depends on two things. If Biden is actually "declining" , as his enemies on the right have been saying for a few years now without much actual evidence, then I think it would be impossible to run again in 3 years.
The other deciding factor would be the outcome of the mid term elections.
I think it is a strategic blunder for the D party to promote Biden for a second term. Even if his presidency turns around, he is just too old. Nobody that old should be in such a position of responsibility. IMO a PotUS should be in their late 40's→ early 60's. Further, if he does run again, he damn well needs to get a VP running mate who would be a suitable PotUS. The idea of a president Harris is not pleasant. Sticking with Harris could give the election to the Rs (and if they run Trump, ...).
I think it was everyone's nightmare, That was an election Trump was destined to win with the baggage Hillary was carrying around with her... The real shame is the numbers said Bernie was the man he would have beaten all comers handily... but then he was an outsider, Hillary wasn't...
Biden-Trump will be a repeat of Hillary-Trump although it's WAAAAY to early to even speculate...
I'd rather think happy thoughts.
Me too, and right now Unknown R - Unknown D is about as happy as I can get... (at least it's a lot less stressful)
Ridiculous. Trump had far more baggage, not the least of which was that he was already known far and wide as a pathological liar. The idea that Trump should have been a viable "default" choice in the 2016 election is nothing short of bizarre.
I think Hillary's flaws were better known. Trump's flaws were mostly overlooked because he was seen as the anti-career-politician and people liked that change. The degree of Trump's flaws were more exposed during his presidency and then made crystal clear to anyone capable of objective reasoning with his Big Lie campaign to steal the election.
That said, Hillary was still positioned to win and likely lost due to very timely emotional shifts due to Comey.
Trump's flaws were known , before the 2016 election, to anyone who cared to look. He was on trial at the time for defrauding dozens of people out of their life savings with his "Trump University" scam for petes sake.
John, you know the level of research the electorate does; it is largely limited to what they hear from easy sources and from their circles. People cling to a few notions and run with them.
My point is that the Big Lie is sooooo blatant that everyone with a functioning mind can see that Trump is a lying narcissist who would trash the integrity of his office and that of the USA to get what he wants.
There is no excuse to support this miserable character for any position of power.
That is irrational. There are plenty of GOP members who you would find better than Biden. Supporting Trump is intentionally bypassing people who are suitable to hold the office of PotUS and seeking to put into office a person who has demonstrated that he will trash on the nation if it serves his interest. Unpatriotic.
Also, your description of Biden is ridiculous; it is juvenile and includes exaggerations and lies. The same kind of labeling that Trump would do. And the "Fuck You Biden" touch that you constantly repeat expresses christian values nicely.
If you ask stupid questions you get stupid answers.
I don't think Trump or Biden will be healthy enough to run
Seems like this survey speaks to two things clearly: One is that the American voter has an extremely short memory and attention span, and Two is that the messaging (propaganda) being put out by the Republican Fog Machine is more resonant than that of the Democratic Fog Machine.
Just over a year ago, a majority of people who voted in the presidential election picked Biden over the alternative. I don't know about most voters, but this voter would have voted for a cold bag of spit rather than let the countries highest official continue to drag the office and its associations through the mud. His conduct was so egregious that a whole lot of people must have felt similarly. So now the pollsters are saying that Biden is not as popular? Has to be mass amnesia. I like Biden and feel that he has done a reasonably good job as president, especially looking at the hand he was dealt by the Republican voters (who turned out to turn out the last guy) right off the bat. At least he got an infrastructure deal passed and signed into law.
Personally, I will be glad when I do not have to hear that name ever again.
How nice of you to volunteer others to engage in S&M. I'd pay to watch that shit show.